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With the international tax model built, we should consider a profit shifting response, in which earnings and profits booked in CFCs respond to the tax shield from doing so. Use Dowd et al. (2017) (https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S004727271730018X) for the semi-elasticities. Changes in profits booked in CFCs would come from profits booked in foreign branches, and perhaps from profits booked domestically.
DEI = Gross income excluding subpart F, GILTI income, financial services income, dividends from 10% owned foreign corporations, domestic oil and gas extraction income, foreign branch income, and any deductions allocable to those excluded income categories.
In the actual model, this is income less constructive taxable income, dividends from foreign corporations and foreign branch income and deductions.
FDDEI: Similar to DEI, except only the portion of activities from selling goods, services or property to foreign unrelated parties or for foreign use by related parties.
DII = DEI - 0.1 * QBAI
FDII = DII * FDDEI / DEI
Deduction = FDII * 0.375
We don't actually have sufficient information to accurately calculate DEI and FDDEI separately, but we can approximate the ratio FDDEI / DEI using the share of sales by US MNE parent companies to foreign parties. Essentially, we would compute this using:
DEI = Net income (pre-tax) of US parents - Net income (pre-tax) of foreign affiliates of US MNEs
DII = DEI - 0.1 * Net PPE of US parents
FDDEI / DEI = Sales of US parents to foreign affliates and persons / Total sales of US parents
For balance sheet of parents, use the file PartI-L1-M2, sheet Table I.L 1. This has asset information on US parents by industry. For balance sheet of affiliates, use the file Part II-B1-B12, sheet Table II.B 11. This has asset information on majority-owned foreign affiliates by industry of US parent. For all foreign affiliates, the balance sheet information is not provided by industry of the parent company.
For income of parents, use the file Part I-N1-P1, sheet Table I.N 1 for the income statement and sheet Table I.O1 for sales to domestic and foreign recipients. For income of majority-owned foreign affiliates, use file Part II-D1-D13, sheet Table II.D 11. For income of all foreign affiliates, use the file Part 1-D1-D12, sheet Table I.D 10.
The international model should receive 3 types of improvements:
Improve data collection in code so it can be done by industry.
Add profit-shifting response. From issue Profit shifting response #141: