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Hi @ucnvwqt - OK so two things I think are crucial at this point (where we're amazed that the correlation between calculated and measured solubility is so baaad).
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Stoplight paper. There's a dataset in there that was used to derive the algorithm. We need that plotted as you have done. Is the corrleation there still bad?
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Literature, more generally. We need to know who else has looked at this, and what they found. Ideally you should assemble such things on the wiki here, but you can use this issue to dump things if easier. Some wider reading might be found in the blog post I've linked to in the wiki section (why don't we reach out to the author of that piece, once we've done our homework?)
Christmas comes first, but if you're bored and in need of some science, I would do the above.