Skip to content

Latest commit

 

History

History
23 lines (20 loc) · 836 Bytes

superspread.md

File metadata and controls

23 lines (20 loc) · 836 Bytes
name Doi title-paper software-package parameters example-papers keywords software-only links
10.1038/nature04153
Superspreading and the effect of individual variation on disease emergence
R0
dispersion
Superspreading
Dispersion
Control
Estimation
false

From the paper:

Here we present an integrated theoretical and statistical analysis of the influence of individual variation in infectiousness on disease emergence. Using contact tracing data from eight directly transmitted diseases, we show that the distribution of individual infectiousness around R0 is often highly skewed. Model predictions accounting for this variation differ sharply from average-based approaches, with disease extinction more likely and outbreaks rarer but more explosive."