From 704f3dafe39b124e9f423cf2e1682958060b5b3d Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Filip Van Laenen Date: Sat, 21 Sep 2024 09:43:56 +0200 Subject: [PATCH] Auto-update of the index --- index.md | 296 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++---------------------------- 1 file changed, 147 insertions(+), 149 deletions(-) diff --git a/index.md b/index.md index 946a19549..c31c16422 100644 --- a/index.md +++ b/index.md @@ -10,15 +10,15 @@ | Group | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | |:-----:|:-----------:|:------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:| -| European People’s Party | 188 | 184 | 179–188 |178–190 | 177–191 | 175–193 | -| Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats | 136 | 138 | 134–142 |133–144 | 132–145 | 130–147 | +| European People’s Party | 188 | 183 | 179–188 |177–189 | 176–191 | 174–193 | +| Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats | 136 | 139 | 134–143 |133–144 | 132–145 | 130–147 | | Patriots for Europe | 84 | 91 | 88–94 |87–95 | 87–95 | 85–97 | -| European Conservatives and Reformists | 78 | 80 | 76–83 |75–84 | 75–84 | 73–86 | -| Renew Europe | 77 | 70 | 67–74 |67–75 | 66–76 | 65–78 | +| European Conservatives and Reformists | 78 | 80 | 76–83 |75–84 | 75–85 | 73–86 | +| Renew Europe | 77 | 70 | 67–73 |67–75 | 66–75 | 65–77 | | European United Left–Nordic Green Left | 46 | 44 | 41–47 |40–48 | 39–48 | 38–50 | -| Greens–European Free Alliance | 53 | 42 | 39–46 |38–47 | 37–48 | 36–50 | -| Non-Inscrits | 32 | 32 | 29–34 |29–35 | 28–36 | 27–37 | -| Europe of Sovereign Nations | 25 | 27 | 24–30 |24–31 | 23–31 | 22–33 | +| Greens–European Free Alliance | 53 | 42 | 39–46 |38–47 | 37–48 | 36–49 | +| Non-Inscrits | 32 | 32 | 30–35 |29–36 | 28–36 | 27–37 | +| Europe of Sovereign Nations | 25 | 27 | 25–29 |24–30 | 23–31 | 22–32 | | Parties currently not represented in the EP | 1 | 3 | 2–4 |2–4 | 2–4 | 1–5 | ### European People’s Party @@ -30,31 +30,30 @@ | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| | 172 | 0.1% | 100% | | -| 173 | 0.1% | 99.9% | | -| 174 | 0.3% | 99.8% | | -| 175 | 0.6% | 99.5% | | -| 176 | 1.0% | 99.0% | | -| 177 | 2% | 98% | | -| 178 | 3% | 96% | | -| 179 | 5% | 93% | | -| 180 | 6% | 89% | | -| 181 | 8% | 82% | | -| 182 | 10% | 74% | | -| 183 | 11% | 64% | | -| 184 | 11% | 53% | Median | -| 185 | 10% | 42% | | -| 186 | 9% | 32% | | -| 187 | 7% | 23% | | -| 188 | 6% | 15% | Last Result | -| 189 | 4% | 10% | | -| 190 | 3% | 6% | | -| 191 | 2% | 3% | | -| 192 | 0.8% | 2% | | -| 193 | 0.4% | 0.8% | | -| 194 | 0.2% | 0.4% | | +| 173 | 0.2% | 99.9% | | +| 174 | 0.4% | 99.7% | | +| 175 | 0.8% | 99.3% | | +| 176 | 1.4% | 98.6% | | +| 177 | 2% | 97% | | +| 178 | 4% | 95% | | +| 179 | 5% | 91% | | +| 180 | 7% | 86% | | +| 181 | 9% | 79% | | +| 182 | 10% | 70% | | +| 183 | 11% | 60% | Median | +| 184 | 11% | 49% | | +| 185 | 10% | 38% | | +| 186 | 8% | 29% | | +| 187 | 7% | 20% | | +| 188 | 5% | 13% | Last Result | +| 189 | 3% | 8% | | +| 190 | 2% | 5% | | +| 191 | 1.3% | 3% | | +| 192 | 0.7% | 1.4% | | +| 193 | 0.4% | 0.7% | | +| 194 | 0.2% | 0.3% | | | 195 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | -| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | | -| 197 | 0% | 0% | | +| 196 | 0% | 0% | | ### Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats @@ -64,26 +63,26 @@ | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 128 | 0.1% | 100% | | -| 129 | 0.2% | 99.9% | | -| 130 | 0.5% | 99.7% | | -| 131 | 1.0% | 99.3% | | -| 132 | 2% | 98% | | -| 133 | 3% | 96% | | -| 134 | 5% | 93% | | -| 135 | 8% | 88% | | -| 136 | 10% | 80% | Last Result | -| 137 | 12% | 70% | | -| 138 | 12% | 58% | Median | -| 139 | 12% | 46% | | -| 140 | 10% | 34% | | -| 141 | 8% | 24% | | -| 142 | 6% | 16% | | -| 143 | 4% | 9% | | -| 144 | 3% | 5% | | -| 145 | 1.4% | 3% | | -| 146 | 0.7% | 1.4% | | -| 147 | 0.4% | 0.6% | | +| 128 | 0% | 100% | | +| 129 | 0.1% | 99.9% | | +| 130 | 0.3% | 99.8% | | +| 131 | 0.8% | 99.5% | | +| 132 | 2% | 98.7% | | +| 133 | 3% | 97% | | +| 134 | 5% | 94% | | +| 135 | 7% | 89% | | +| 136 | 9% | 83% | Last Result | +| 137 | 11% | 73% | | +| 138 | 12% | 62% | | +| 139 | 12% | 50% | Median | +| 140 | 11% | 38% | | +| 141 | 9% | 27% | | +| 142 | 7% | 18% | | +| 143 | 5% | 11% | | +| 144 | 3% | 7% | | +| 145 | 2% | 4% | | +| 146 | 0.9% | 2% | | +| 147 | 0.5% | 0.8% | | | 148 | 0.2% | 0.3% | | | 149 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | | 150 | 0% | 0% | | @@ -98,19 +97,19 @@ |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| | 84 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result | | 85 | 0.5% | 99.8% | | -| 86 | 1.5% | 99.3% | | -| 87 | 4% | 98% | | -| 88 | 7% | 94% | | -| 89 | 12% | 87% | | +| 86 | 1.4% | 99.4% | | +| 87 | 3% | 98% | | +| 88 | 7% | 95% | | +| 89 | 11% | 88% | | | 90 | 16% | 76% | | -| 91 | 18% | 60% | Median | -| 92 | 17% | 42% | | -| 93 | 12% | 26% | | -| 94 | 8% | 13% | | +| 91 | 18% | 61% | Median | +| 92 | 17% | 43% | | +| 93 | 13% | 26% | | +| 94 | 8% | 14% | | | 95 | 4% | 6% | | -| 96 | 1.4% | 2% | | -| 97 | 0.4% | 0.6% | | -| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | +| 96 | 2% | 2% | | +| 97 | 0.5% | 0.6% | | +| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | | | 99 | 0% | 0% | | ### European Conservatives and Reformists @@ -121,24 +120,24 @@ | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 71 | 0% | 100% | | +| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | | | 72 | 0.2% | 99.9% | | -| 73 | 0.5% | 99.8% | | -| 74 | 1.3% | 99.3% | | +| 73 | 0.6% | 99.7% | | +| 74 | 1.4% | 99.2% | | | 75 | 3% | 98% | | | 76 | 6% | 95% | | | 77 | 9% | 89% | | -| 78 | 13% | 80% | Last Result | -| 79 | 15% | 68% | | -| 80 | 16% | 53% | Median | -| 81 | 14% | 37% | | -| 82 | 11% | 23% | | -| 83 | 7% | 12% | | -| 84 | 3% | 6% | | -| 85 | 1.5% | 2% | | -| 86 | 0.5% | 0.8% | | -| 87 | 0.2% | 0.2% | | -| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | | +| 78 | 12% | 80% | Last Result | +| 79 | 14% | 68% | | +| 80 | 15% | 54% | Median | +| 81 | 14% | 39% | | +| 82 | 11% | 25% | | +| 83 | 7% | 14% | | +| 84 | 4% | 7% | | +| 85 | 2% | 3% | | +| 86 | 0.7% | 1.1% | | +| 87 | 0.2% | 0.3% | | +| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | | 89 | 0% | 0% | | ### Renew Europe @@ -151,22 +150,22 @@ |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| | 63 | 0.1% | 100% | | | 64 | 0.3% | 99.9% | | -| 65 | 1.0% | 99.7% | | -| 66 | 3% | 98.7% | | +| 65 | 1.0% | 99.6% | | +| 66 | 3% | 98.6% | | | 67 | 6% | 96% | | -| 68 | 10% | 90% | | -| 69 | 15% | 79% | | -| 70 | 17% | 65% | Median | -| 71 | 16% | 48% | | -| 72 | 13% | 32% | | -| 73 | 9% | 20% | | -| 74 | 5% | 11% | | -| 75 | 3% | 6% | | -| 76 | 2% | 3% | | -| 77 | 0.8% | 1.4% | Last Result | -| 78 | 0.4% | 0.6% | | +| 68 | 11% | 89% | | +| 69 | 15% | 78% | | +| 70 | 17% | 63% | Median | +| 71 | 16% | 46% | | +| 72 | 12% | 30% | | +| 73 | 8% | 18% | | +| 74 | 5% | 10% | | +| 75 | 3% | 5% | | +| 76 | 1.4% | 2% | | +| 77 | 0.7% | 1.1% | Last Result | +| 78 | 0.3% | 0.5% | | | 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | | -| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | +| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | | | 81 | 0% | 0% | | ### Greens–European Free Alliance @@ -178,23 +177,23 @@ | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| | 34 | 0% | 100% | | -| 35 | 0.2% | 99.9% | | -| 36 | 0.7% | 99.7% | | -| 37 | 2% | 99.0% | | -| 38 | 5% | 97% | | -| 39 | 8% | 92% | | -| 40 | 11% | 84% | | -| 41 | 12% | 73% | | -| 42 | 12% | 61% | Median | -| 43 | 12% | 48% | | -| 44 | 11% | 37% | | -| 45 | 10% | 25% | | -| 46 | 7% | 16% | | -| 47 | 5% | 9% | | +| 35 | 0.3% | 99.9% | | +| 36 | 1.0% | 99.7% | | +| 37 | 3% | 98.7% | | +| 38 | 6% | 96% | | +| 39 | 9% | 90% | | +| 40 | 11% | 81% | | +| 41 | 13% | 70% | | +| 42 | 13% | 57% | Median | +| 43 | 12% | 45% | | +| 44 | 10% | 33% | | +| 45 | 9% | 23% | | +| 46 | 6% | 14% | | +| 47 | 4% | 8% | | | 48 | 2% | 4% | | -| 49 | 1.0% | 2% | | -| 50 | 0.4% | 0.5% | | -| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | | +| 49 | 0.9% | 1.4% | | +| 50 | 0.3% | 0.5% | | +| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | | 52 | 0% | 0% | | | 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | @@ -206,20 +205,19 @@ | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | | -| 37 | 0.3% | 99.9% | | -| 38 | 1.0% | 99.7% | | -| 39 | 3% | 98.7% | | -| 40 | 6% | 96% | | -| 41 | 10% | 90% | | -| 42 | 14% | 81% | | -| 43 | 16% | 67% | | -| 44 | 16% | 51% | Median | -| 45 | 14% | 35% | | -| 46 | 10% | 21% | Last Result | -| 47 | 6% | 12% | | -| 48 | 3% | 5% | | -| 49 | 1.4% | 2% | | +| 37 | 0.2% | 100% | | +| 38 | 0.8% | 99.8% | | +| 39 | 2% | 99.0% | | +| 40 | 5% | 97% | | +| 41 | 9% | 92% | | +| 42 | 13% | 83% | | +| 43 | 16% | 70% | | +| 44 | 17% | 54% | Median | +| 45 | 14% | 37% | | +| 46 | 11% | 23% | Last Result | +| 47 | 7% | 12% | | +| 48 | 3% | 6% | | +| 49 | 1.5% | 2% | | | 50 | 0.6% | 0.8% | | | 51 | 0.2% | 0.3% | | | 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | @@ -234,20 +232,19 @@ | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| | 21 | 0.1% | 100% | | -| 22 | 0.7% | 99.9% | | -| 23 | 3% | 99.2% | | -| 24 | 8% | 96% | | -| 25 | 15% | 88% | Last Result | -| 26 | 19% | 73% | | -| 27 | 19% | 54% | Median | -| 28 | 14% | 35% | | -| 29 | 9% | 21% | | -| 30 | 6% | 12% | | -| 31 | 3% | 6% | | -| 32 | 2% | 2% | | -| 33 | 0.6% | 0.7% | | -| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | -| 35 | 0% | 0% | | +| 22 | 0.5% | 99.9% | | +| 23 | 2% | 99.4% | | +| 24 | 7% | 97% | | +| 25 | 13% | 90% | Last Result | +| 26 | 19% | 77% | | +| 27 | 21% | 59% | Median | +| 28 | 18% | 38% | | +| 29 | 12% | 20% | | +| 30 | 6% | 8% | | +| 31 | 2% | 3% | | +| 32 | 0.5% | 0.6% | | +| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | +| 34 | 0% | 0% | | ### Non-Inscrits @@ -257,18 +254,19 @@ | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 26 | 0.2% | 100% | | +| 25 | 0% | 100% | | +| 26 | 0.2% | 99.9% | | | 27 | 0.8% | 99.7% | | -| 28 | 3% | 98.9% | | -| 29 | 7% | 96% | | -| 30 | 13% | 89% | | -| 31 | 19% | 76% | | -| 32 | 20% | 57% | Last Result, Median | -| 33 | 17% | 37% | | -| 34 | 11% | 20% | | -| 35 | 6% | 9% | | -| 36 | 2% | 4% | | -| 37 | 0.9% | 1.3% | | +| 28 | 2% | 99.0% | | +| 29 | 6% | 97% | | +| 30 | 11% | 91% | | +| 31 | 17% | 79% | | +| 32 | 19% | 63% | Last Result, Median | +| 33 | 18% | 44% | | +| 34 | 13% | 26% | | +| 35 | 8% | 13% | | +| 36 | 3% | 5% | | +| 37 | 1.2% | 2% | | | 38 | 0.3% | 0.4% | | | 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | | 40 | 0% | 0% | | @@ -281,10 +279,10 @@ | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 1 | 0.9% | 100% | Last Result | -| 2 | 30% | 99.1% | | -| 3 | 47% | 69% | Median | -| 4 | 20% | 22% | | +| 1 | 1.0% | 100% | Last Result | +| 2 | 31% | 99.0% | | +| 3 | 47% | 68% | Median | +| 4 | 20% | 21% | | | 5 | 1.4% | 1.5% | | | 6 | 0% | 0% | |