diff --git a/index-2024-08-31.md b/index-2024-08-31.md index fdf51f9b4..1fba1ae07 100644 --- a/index-2024-08-31.md +++ b/index-2024-08-31.md @@ -10,15 +10,15 @@ | Group | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | |:-----:|:-----------:|:------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:| -| European People’s Party | 188 | 184 | 178–189 |177–190 | 176–191 | 173–194 | -| Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats | 136 | 140 | 136–144 |134–145 | 133–146 | 132–148 | +| European People’s Party | 188 | 178 | 172–183 |171–184 | 170–185 | 167–188 | +| Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats | 136 | 138 | 134–142 |132–143 | 131–144 | 130–146 | | Patriots for Europe | 84 | 91 | 88–94 |88–95 | 87–95 | 86–97 | -| European Conservatives and Reformists | 78 | 79 | 76–83 |75–84 | 75–84 | 73–86 | -| Renew Europe | 77 | 71 | 69–74 |68–75 | 67–76 | 66–78 | +| European Conservatives and Reformists | 78 | 78 | 75–82 |74–83 | 74–83 | 72–85 | +| Renew Europe | 77 | 66 | 64–69 |63–70 | 62–71 | 61–73 | | European United Left–Nordic Green Left | 46 | 44 | 41–47 |41–48 | 40–49 | 39–50 | | Greens–European Free Alliance | 53 | 42 | 39–46 |38–48 | 38–48 | 36–50 | | Non-Inscrits | 32 | 32 | 29–34 |28–35 | 27–36 | 26–37 | -| Europe of Sovereign Nations | 25 | 27 | 24–30 |24–30 | 23–31 | 22–33 | +| Europe of Sovereign Nations | 25 | 24 | 21–27 |21–27 | 20–28 | 19–30 | | Parties currently not represented in the EP | 1 | 3 | 2–4 |2–5 | 2–5 | 1–5 | ### European People’s Party @@ -29,33 +29,33 @@ | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 171 | 0.1% | 100% | | -| 172 | 0.1% | 99.9% | | -| 173 | 0.3% | 99.8% | | -| 174 | 0.6% | 99.5% | | -| 175 | 1.0% | 98.9% | | -| 176 | 2% | 98% | | -| 177 | 3% | 96% | | -| 178 | 4% | 94% | | -| 179 | 5% | 90% | | -| 180 | 7% | 84% | | -| 181 | 8% | 78% | | -| 182 | 9% | 70% | | -| 183 | 10% | 61% | | -| 184 | 10% | 51% | Median | -| 185 | 9% | 41% | | -| 186 | 8% | 32% | | -| 187 | 7% | 24% | | -| 188 | 6% | 17% | Last Result | -| 189 | 4% | 11% | | -| 190 | 3% | 7% | | -| 191 | 2% | 4% | | -| 192 | 1.1% | 2% | | -| 193 | 0.6% | 1.1% | | -| 194 | 0.3% | 0.5% | | -| 195 | 0.1% | 0.2% | | -| 196 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | -| 197 | 0% | 0% | | +| 165 | 0.1% | 100% | | +| 166 | 0.1% | 99.9% | | +| 167 | 0.3% | 99.8% | | +| 168 | 0.6% | 99.4% | | +| 169 | 1.1% | 98.9% | | +| 170 | 2% | 98% | | +| 171 | 3% | 96% | | +| 172 | 4% | 93% | | +| 173 | 5% | 89% | | +| 174 | 7% | 84% | | +| 175 | 8% | 78% | | +| 176 | 9% | 70% | | +| 177 | 10% | 61% | | +| 178 | 10% | 51% | Median | +| 179 | 9% | 42% | | +| 180 | 8% | 32% | | +| 181 | 7% | 24% | | +| 182 | 6% | 17% | | +| 183 | 4% | 11% | | +| 184 | 3% | 7% | | +| 185 | 2% | 4% | | +| 186 | 1.1% | 2% | | +| 187 | 0.6% | 1.2% | | +| 188 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Last Result | +| 189 | 0.2% | 0.3% | | +| 190 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | +| 191 | 0% | 0% | | ### Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats @@ -65,29 +65,30 @@ | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 129 | 0% | 100% | | -| 130 | 0.1% | 99.9% | | -| 131 | 0.3% | 99.8% | | -| 132 | 0.7% | 99.5% | | -| 133 | 1.5% | 98.8% | | -| 134 | 3% | 97% | | -| 135 | 5% | 95% | | -| 136 | 7% | 90% | Last Result | -| 137 | 9% | 83% | | -| 138 | 11% | 74% | | -| 139 | 12% | 63% | | -| 140 | 12% | 51% | Median | -| 141 | 11% | 39% | | -| 142 | 9% | 28% | | -| 143 | 7% | 19% | | -| 144 | 5% | 12% | | -| 145 | 3% | 7% | | -| 146 | 2% | 4% | | -| 147 | 1.0% | 2% | | -| 148 | 0.5% | 0.8% | | -| 149 | 0.2% | 0.3% | | -| 150 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | -| 151 | 0% | 0% | | +| 127 | 0% | 100% | | +| 128 | 0.1% | 99.9% | | +| 129 | 0.3% | 99.8% | | +| 130 | 0.7% | 99.5% | | +| 131 | 1.5% | 98.8% | | +| 132 | 3% | 97% | | +| 133 | 4% | 95% | | +| 134 | 7% | 90% | | +| 135 | 9% | 84% | | +| 136 | 11% | 75% | Last Result | +| 137 | 12% | 64% | | +| 138 | 12% | 52% | Median | +| 139 | 11% | 39% | | +| 140 | 9% | 28% | | +| 141 | 7% | 19% | | +| 142 | 5% | 12% | | +| 143 | 3% | 7% | | +| 144 | 2% | 4% | | +| 145 | 1.0% | 2% | | +| 146 | 0.5% | 0.9% | | +| 147 | 0.2% | 0.4% | | +| 148 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | +| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | | +| 150 | 0% | 0% | | ### Patriots for Europe @@ -122,24 +123,24 @@ | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | | -| 73 | 0.5% | 99.8% | | -| 74 | 1.4% | 99.4% | | -| 75 | 3% | 98% | | -| 76 | 6% | 95% | | -| 77 | 10% | 88% | | -| 78 | 14% | 78% | Last Result | -| 79 | 15% | 65% | Median | -| 80 | 15% | 49% | | -| 81 | 13% | 34% | | -| 82 | 10% | 21% | | -| 83 | 6% | 12% | | -| 84 | 3% | 6% | | -| 85 | 2% | 2% | | -| 86 | 0.6% | 0.8% | | -| 87 | 0.2% | 0.2% | | -| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | | -| 89 | 0% | 0% | | +| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | | +| 72 | 0.5% | 99.8% | | +| 73 | 1.4% | 99.3% | | +| 74 | 3% | 98% | | +| 75 | 6% | 95% | | +| 76 | 10% | 88% | | +| 77 | 14% | 78% | | +| 78 | 15% | 64% | Last Result, Median | +| 79 | 15% | 49% | | +| 80 | 13% | 34% | | +| 81 | 9% | 21% | | +| 82 | 6% | 12% | | +| 83 | 3% | 6% | | +| 84 | 2% | 2% | | +| 85 | 0.6% | 0.8% | | +| 86 | 0.2% | 0.2% | | +| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | | +| 88 | 0% | 0% | | ### Renew Europe @@ -149,24 +150,25 @@ | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | | -| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% | | -| 66 | 0.9% | 99.7% | | -| 67 | 3% | 98.8% | | -| 68 | 6% | 96% | | -| 69 | 11% | 90% | | -| 70 | 16% | 79% | | -| 71 | 18% | 64% | Median | -| 72 | 17% | 46% | | -| 73 | 13% | 29% | | -| 74 | 8% | 17% | | -| 75 | 4% | 9% | | -| 76 | 2% | 4% | | -| 77 | 1.1% | 2% | Last Result | -| 78 | 0.5% | 0.9% | | -| 79 | 0.2% | 0.4% | | -| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | -| 81 | 0% | 0% | | +| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | | +| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | | +| 61 | 0.9% | 99.7% | | +| 62 | 3% | 98.8% | | +| 63 | 6% | 96% | | +| 64 | 11% | 90% | | +| 65 | 16% | 79% | | +| 66 | 18% | 64% | Median | +| 67 | 17% | 46% | | +| 68 | 13% | 29% | | +| 69 | 8% | 17% | | +| 70 | 4% | 9% | | +| 71 | 2% | 4% | | +| 72 | 1.1% | 2% | | +| 73 | 0.5% | 0.9% | | +| 74 | 0.2% | 0.4% | | +| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | +| 76 | 0% | 0% | | +| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | ### Greens–European Free Alliance @@ -230,21 +232,21 @@ | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 21 | 0.2% | 100% | | -| 22 | 0.9% | 99.8% | | -| 23 | 3% | 98.9% | | -| 24 | 8% | 96% | | -| 25 | 15% | 88% | Last Result | -| 26 | 21% | 73% | | -| 27 | 19% | 53% | Median | -| 28 | 14% | 34% | | -| 29 | 10% | 20% | | -| 30 | 6% | 10% | | -| 31 | 3% | 4% | | -| 32 | 1.1% | 2% | | -| 33 | 0.4% | 0.5% | | -| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | -| 35 | 0% | 0% | | +| 18 | 0.2% | 100% | | +| 19 | 0.9% | 99.8% | | +| 20 | 3% | 98.9% | | +| 21 | 8% | 96% | | +| 22 | 15% | 88% | | +| 23 | 21% | 73% | | +| 24 | 19% | 53% | Median | +| 25 | 14% | 34% | Last Result | +| 26 | 10% | 20% | | +| 27 | 6% | 10% | | +| 28 | 3% | 4% | | +| 29 | 1.1% | 2% | | +| 30 | 0.4% | 0.5% | | +| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | +| 32 | 0% | 0% | | ### Non-Inscrits diff --git a/party-2024-08-31-europeanconservativesandreformists.md b/party-2024-08-31-europeanconservativesandreformists.md index 3eab6fbe9..69941c1aa 100644 --- a/party-2024-08-31-europeanconservativesandreformists.md +++ b/party-2024-08-31-europeanconservativesandreformists.md @@ -1,24 +1,24 @@ # European Conservatives and Reformists -Members registered from **19 countries**: +Members registered from **18 countries**: -> BE, BG, CY, CZ, DK, EE, FI, FR, GR, HR, IT, LT, LU, LV, NL, PL, RO, SE, SK +> BE, CY, CZ, DK, EE, FI, FR, GR, HR, IT, LT, LU, LV, NL, PL, RO, SE, SK ## Seats Last result: **78** seats (General Election of 26 May 2019) -Current median: **79** seats (+1 seats) +Current median: **78** seats (0 seats) -At least one member in **17 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: +At least one member in **16 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: -> BE, BG, CY, CZ, DK, FI, FR, GR, HR, IT, LT, LU, LV, PL, RO, SE, SK +> BE, CY, CZ, DK, FI, FR, GR, HR, IT, LT, LU, LV, PL, RO, SE, SK ### Confidence Intervals | Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | |:-----:|:----:|:-----------:|:------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:| -| European Conservatives and Reformists | EU | 78 | 79 | 76–83 | 75–84 | 75–84 | 73–86 | +| European Conservatives and Reformists | EU | 78 | 78 | 75–82 | 74–83 | 74–83 | 72–85 | | Fratelli d’Italia | IT | | 26 | 23–28 | 23–29 | 23–29 | 22–30 | | Zjednoczona Prawica | PL | | 17 | 16–18 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–19 | | Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | RO | | 6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–7 | @@ -31,13 +31,12 @@ At least one member in **17 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: | Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga | LT | | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | | Ελληνική Λύση | GR | | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | | Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei | LU | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -| Domovinski pokret | HR | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | -| Most nezavisnih lista | HR | | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | +| Domovinski pokret | HR | | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | +| Most nezavisnih lista | HR | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Mouvement conservateur | FR | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | LV | | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | | Sloboda a Solidarita | SK | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | | Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο | CY | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -| Има такъв народ | BG | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | Eesti Rahvuslased ja Konservatiivid | EE | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Hrvatski suverenisti | HR | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Juiste Antwoord 2021 | NL | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | @@ -54,23 +53,23 @@ The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll a | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | | -| 73 | 0.5% | 99.8% | | -| 74 | 1.4% | 99.4% | | -| 75 | 3% | 98% | | -| 76 | 6% | 95% | | -| 77 | 10% | 88% | | -| 78 | 14% | 78% | Last Result | -| 79 | 15% | 65% | Median | -| 80 | 15% | 49% | | -| 81 | 13% | 34% | | -| 82 | 10% | 21% | | -| 83 | 6% | 12% | | -| 84 | 3% | 6% | | -| 85 | 2% | 2% | | -| 86 | 0.6% | 0.8% | | -| 87 | 0.2% | 0.2% | | -| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | | -| 89 | 0% | 0% | | +| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | | +| 72 | 0.5% | 99.8% | | +| 73 | 1.4% | 99.3% | | +| 74 | 3% | 98% | | +| 75 | 6% | 95% | | +| 76 | 10% | 88% | | +| 77 | 14% | 78% | | +| 78 | 15% | 64% | Last Result, Median | +| 79 | 15% | 49% | | +| 80 | 13% | 34% | | +| 81 | 9% | 21% | | +| 82 | 6% | 12% | | +| 83 | 3% | 6% | | +| 84 | 2% | 2% | | +| 85 | 0.6% | 0.8% | | +| 86 | 0.2% | 0.2% | | +| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | | +| 88 | 0% | 0% | | diff --git "a/party-2024-08-31-europeanpeople\342\200\231sparty.md" "b/party-2024-08-31-europeanpeople\342\200\231sparty.md" index 49bd6e0b4..93ffeaad1 100644 --- "a/party-2024-08-31-europeanpeople\342\200\231sparty.md" +++ "b/party-2024-08-31-europeanpeople\342\200\231sparty.md" @@ -1,24 +1,24 @@ # European People’s Party -Members registered from **27 countries**: +Members registered from **26 countries**: -> AT, BE, BG, CY, CZ, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, GR, HR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LU, LV, MT, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK +> AT, BE, CY, CZ, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, GR, HR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LU, LV, MT, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK ## Seats Last result: **188** seats (General Election of 26 May 2019) -Current median: **184** seats (-4 seats) +Current median: **178** seats (-10 seats) -At least one member in **27 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: +At least one member in **26 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: -> AT, BE, BG, CY, CZ, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, GR, HR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LU, LV, MT, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK +> AT, BE, CY, CZ, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, GR, HR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LU, LV, MT, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK ### Confidence Intervals | Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | |:-----:|:----:|:-----------:|:------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:| -| European People’s Party | EU | 188 | 184 | 178–189 | 177–190 | 176–191 | 173–194 | +| European People’s Party | EU | 188 | 178 | 172–183 | 171–184 | 170–185 | 167–188 | | Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands | DE | | 24 | 21–26 | 21–27 | 20–27 | 20–27 | | Partido Popular | ES | | 24 | 22–25 | 22–26 | 21–27 | 21–27 | | Platforma Obywatelska | PL | | 18 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 16–21 | @@ -30,9 +30,8 @@ At least one member in **27 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: | Νέα Δημοκρατία | GR | | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | | Les Républicains | FR | | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | | Fine Gael | IE | | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 | -| Hrvatska demokratska zajednica | HR | | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | +| Hrvatska demokratska zajednica | HR | | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | | Österreichische Volkspartei | AT | | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | -| Граждани за европейско развитие на България | BG | | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | | Kansallinen Kokoomus | FI | | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | | Moderata samlingspartiet | SE | | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | | Slovenska demokratska stranka | SI | | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 | @@ -54,7 +53,6 @@ At least one member in **27 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: | Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | SK | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 | | Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | LV | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | SI | | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | -| Демократична България | BG | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | ChristenUnie | NL | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Demokrati | SK | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Eesti 200 | EE | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | @@ -81,32 +79,32 @@ The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll a | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 171 | 0.1% | 100% | | -| 172 | 0.1% | 99.9% | | -| 173 | 0.3% | 99.8% | | -| 174 | 0.6% | 99.5% | | -| 175 | 1.0% | 98.9% | | -| 176 | 2% | 98% | | -| 177 | 3% | 96% | | -| 178 | 4% | 94% | | -| 179 | 5% | 90% | | -| 180 | 7% | 84% | | -| 181 | 8% | 78% | | -| 182 | 9% | 70% | | -| 183 | 10% | 61% | | -| 184 | 10% | 51% | Median | -| 185 | 9% | 41% | | -| 186 | 8% | 32% | | -| 187 | 7% | 24% | | -| 188 | 6% | 17% | Last Result | -| 189 | 4% | 11% | | -| 190 | 3% | 7% | | -| 191 | 2% | 4% | | -| 192 | 1.1% | 2% | | -| 193 | 0.6% | 1.1% | | -| 194 | 0.3% | 0.5% | | -| 195 | 0.1% | 0.2% | | -| 196 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | -| 197 | 0% | 0% | | +| 165 | 0.1% | 100% | | +| 166 | 0.1% | 99.9% | | +| 167 | 0.3% | 99.8% | | +| 168 | 0.6% | 99.4% | | +| 169 | 1.1% | 98.9% | | +| 170 | 2% | 98% | | +| 171 | 3% | 96% | | +| 172 | 4% | 93% | | +| 173 | 5% | 89% | | +| 174 | 7% | 84% | | +| 175 | 8% | 78% | | +| 176 | 9% | 70% | | +| 177 | 10% | 61% | | +| 178 | 10% | 51% | Median | +| 179 | 9% | 42% | | +| 180 | 8% | 32% | | +| 181 | 7% | 24% | | +| 182 | 6% | 17% | | +| 183 | 4% | 11% | | +| 184 | 3% | 7% | | +| 185 | 2% | 4% | | +| 186 | 1.1% | 2% | | +| 187 | 0.6% | 1.2% | | +| 188 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Last Result | +| 189 | 0.2% | 0.3% | | +| 190 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | +| 191 | 0% | 0% | | diff --git a/party-2024-08-31-europeofsovereignnations.md b/party-2024-08-31-europeofsovereignnations.md index 97b5dd767..224ad0b95 100644 --- a/party-2024-08-31-europeofsovereignnations.md +++ b/party-2024-08-31-europeofsovereignnations.md @@ -1,27 +1,26 @@ # Europe of Sovereign Nations -Members registered from **9 countries**: +Members registered from **8 countries**: -> BG, CZ, DE, FR, HU, LT, NL, PL, SK +> CZ, DE, FR, HU, LT, NL, PL, SK ## Seats Last result: **25** seats (General Election of 26 May 2019) -Current median: **27** seats (+2 seats) +Current median: **24** seats (-1 seats) -At least one member in **7 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: +At least one member in **6 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: -> BG, CZ, DE, FR, HU, PL, SK +> CZ, DE, FR, HU, PL, SK ### Confidence Intervals | Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | |:-----:|:----:|:-----------:|:------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:| -| Europe of Sovereign Nations | EU | 25 | 27 | 24–30 | 24–30 | 23–31 | 22–33 | +| Europe of Sovereign Nations | EU | 25 | 24 | 21–27 | 21–27 | 20–28 | 19–30 | | Alternative für Deutschland | DE | | 15 | 14–18 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 13–21 | | Nowa Nadzieja | PL | | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | -| Възраждане | BG | | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | | Svoboda a přímá demokracie | CZ | | 2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | | Mi Hazánk Mozgalom | HU | | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | | REPUBLIKA | SK | | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | @@ -38,20 +37,20 @@ The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll a | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 21 | 0.2% | 100% | | -| 22 | 0.9% | 99.8% | | -| 23 | 3% | 98.9% | | -| 24 | 8% | 96% | | -| 25 | 15% | 88% | Last Result | -| 26 | 21% | 73% | | -| 27 | 19% | 53% | Median | -| 28 | 14% | 34% | | -| 29 | 10% | 20% | | -| 30 | 6% | 10% | | -| 31 | 3% | 4% | | -| 32 | 1.1% | 2% | | -| 33 | 0.4% | 0.5% | | -| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | -| 35 | 0% | 0% | | +| 18 | 0.2% | 100% | | +| 19 | 0.9% | 99.8% | | +| 20 | 3% | 98.9% | | +| 21 | 8% | 96% | | +| 22 | 15% | 88% | | +| 23 | 21% | 73% | | +| 24 | 19% | 53% | Median | +| 25 | 14% | 34% | Last Result | +| 26 | 10% | 20% | | +| 27 | 6% | 10% | | +| 28 | 3% | 4% | | +| 29 | 1.1% | 2% | | +| 30 | 0.4% | 0.5% | | +| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | +| 32 | 0% | 0% | | diff --git a/party-2024-08-31-non-inscrits.md b/party-2024-08-31-non-inscrits.md index 2c29dc368..f46bdd90f 100644 --- a/party-2024-08-31-non-inscrits.md +++ b/party-2024-08-31-non-inscrits.md @@ -1,8 +1,8 @@ # Non-Inscrits -Members registered from **13 countries**: +Members registered from **14 countries**: -> CY, CZ, DE, ES, FI, GR, HU, LT, LV, PL, RO, SI, SK +> CY, CZ, DE, ES, FI, GR, HR, HU, LT, LV, PL, RO, SI, SK ## Seats @@ -40,6 +40,7 @@ At least one member in **8 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: | Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | SK | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Latvijas Krievu savienība | LV | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Liike Nyt | FI | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +| Pravo i Pravda | HR | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Resni.ca | SI | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Strana svobodných občanů | CZ | | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | diff --git a/party-2024-08-31-progressiveallianceofsocialistsanddemocrats.md b/party-2024-08-31-progressiveallianceofsocialistsanddemocrats.md index 4140266e7..e213f3962 100644 --- a/party-2024-08-31-progressiveallianceofsocialistsanddemocrats.md +++ b/party-2024-08-31-progressiveallianceofsocialistsanddemocrats.md @@ -1,24 +1,24 @@ # Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats -Members registered from **26 countries**: +Members registered from **25 countries**: -> AT, BE, BG, CY, CZ, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, GR, HR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LU, LV, MT, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI +> AT, BE, CY, CZ, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, GR, HR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LU, LV, MT, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI ## Seats Last result: **136** seats (General Election of 26 May 2019) -Current median: **140** seats (+4 seats) +Current median: **138** seats (+2 seats) -At least one member in **24 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: +At least one member in **23 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: -> AT, BE, BG, CY, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, GR, HR, HU, IT, LT, LU, LV, MT, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI +> AT, BE, CY, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, GR, HR, HU, IT, LT, LU, LV, MT, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI ### Confidence Intervals | Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | |:-----:|:----:|:-----------:|:------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:| -| Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats | EU | 136 | 140 | 136–144 | 134–145 | 133–146 | 132–148 | +| Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats | EU | 136 | 138 | 134–142 | 132–143 | 131–144 | 130–146 | | Partito Democratico | IT | | 21 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 18–24 | 17–25 | | Partido Socialista Obrero Español | ES | | 20 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 19–24 | 18–25 | | Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | DE | | 14 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–17 | @@ -33,11 +33,10 @@ At least one member in **24 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: | Partij van de Arbeid | NL | | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | | Partit Laburista | MT | | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | | Socialdemokraterne | DK | | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | -| Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske | HR | | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | +| Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske | HR | | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | | Κίνημα Αλλαγής | GR | | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | | Parti Socialiste | BE-FRC | | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | | Vooruit | BE-VLG | | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -| Българска социалистическа партия | BG | | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | | Demokratikus Koalíció | HU | | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | | Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei | LU | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | Socialni demokrati | SI | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | @@ -62,28 +61,29 @@ The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll a | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 129 | 0% | 100% | | -| 130 | 0.1% | 99.9% | | -| 131 | 0.3% | 99.8% | | -| 132 | 0.7% | 99.5% | | -| 133 | 1.5% | 98.8% | | -| 134 | 3% | 97% | | -| 135 | 5% | 95% | | -| 136 | 7% | 90% | Last Result | -| 137 | 9% | 83% | | -| 138 | 11% | 74% | | -| 139 | 12% | 63% | | -| 140 | 12% | 51% | Median | -| 141 | 11% | 39% | | -| 142 | 9% | 28% | | -| 143 | 7% | 19% | | -| 144 | 5% | 12% | | -| 145 | 3% | 7% | | -| 146 | 2% | 4% | | -| 147 | 1.0% | 2% | | -| 148 | 0.5% | 0.8% | | -| 149 | 0.2% | 0.3% | | -| 150 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | -| 151 | 0% | 0% | | +| 127 | 0% | 100% | | +| 128 | 0.1% | 99.9% | | +| 129 | 0.3% | 99.8% | | +| 130 | 0.7% | 99.5% | | +| 131 | 1.5% | 98.8% | | +| 132 | 3% | 97% | | +| 133 | 4% | 95% | | +| 134 | 7% | 90% | | +| 135 | 9% | 84% | | +| 136 | 11% | 75% | Last Result | +| 137 | 12% | 64% | | +| 138 | 12% | 52% | Median | +| 139 | 11% | 39% | | +| 140 | 9% | 28% | | +| 141 | 7% | 19% | | +| 142 | 5% | 12% | | +| 143 | 3% | 7% | | +| 144 | 2% | 4% | | +| 145 | 1.0% | 2% | | +| 146 | 0.5% | 0.9% | | +| 147 | 0.2% | 0.4% | | +| 148 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | +| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | | +| 150 | 0% | 0% | | diff --git a/party-2024-08-31-reneweurope.md b/party-2024-08-31-reneweurope.md index 6024ae155..a7516f033 100644 --- a/party-2024-08-31-reneweurope.md +++ b/party-2024-08-31-reneweurope.md @@ -1,24 +1,24 @@ # Renew Europe -Members registered from **24 countries**: +Members registered from **23 countries**: -> AT, BE, BG, CY, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, HR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LU, LV, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK +> AT, BE, CY, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, HR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LU, LV, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK ## Seats Last result: **77** seats (General Election of 26 May 2019) -Current median: **71** seats (-6 seats) +Current median: **66** seats (-11 seats) -At least one member in **19 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: +At least one member in **18 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: -> AT, BE, BG, DE, DK, EE, FI, FR, IE, LT, LU, LV, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK +> AT, BE, DE, DK, EE, FI, FR, IE, LT, LU, LV, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK ### Confidence Intervals | Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | |:-----:|:----:|:-----------:|:------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:| -| Renew Europe | EU | 77 | 71 | 69–74 | 68–75 | 67–76 | 66–78 | +| Renew Europe | EU | 77 | 66 | 64–69 | 63–70 | 62–71 | 61–73 | | La République en marche–Mouvement démocrate | FR | | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | | Freie Demokratische Partei | DE | | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | | Uniunea Salvați România | RO | | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | @@ -28,12 +28,10 @@ At least one member in **19 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: | Gibanje Svoboda | SI | | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | | Mouvement Réformateur | BE-FRC | | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | | Polska 2050 | PL | | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | -| Движение за права и свободи | BG | | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | | Democraten 66 | NL | | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | | Freie Wähler | DE | | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | | NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | AT | | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | | Suomen Keskusta | FI | | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | -| Продължаваме промяната | BG | | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | | Centerpartiet | SE | | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Demokratesch Partei | LU | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | Eesti Keskerakond | EE | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | @@ -77,23 +75,24 @@ The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll a | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | | -| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% | | -| 66 | 0.9% | 99.7% | | -| 67 | 3% | 98.8% | | -| 68 | 6% | 96% | | -| 69 | 11% | 90% | | -| 70 | 16% | 79% | | -| 71 | 18% | 64% | Median | -| 72 | 17% | 46% | | -| 73 | 13% | 29% | | -| 74 | 8% | 17% | | -| 75 | 4% | 9% | | -| 76 | 2% | 4% | | -| 77 | 1.1% | 2% | Last Result | -| 78 | 0.5% | 0.9% | | -| 79 | 0.2% | 0.4% | | -| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | -| 81 | 0% | 0% | | +| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | | +| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | | +| 61 | 0.9% | 99.7% | | +| 62 | 3% | 98.8% | | +| 63 | 6% | 96% | | +| 64 | 11% | 90% | | +| 65 | 16% | 79% | | +| 66 | 18% | 64% | Median | +| 67 | 17% | 46% | | +| 68 | 13% | 29% | | +| 69 | 8% | 17% | | +| 70 | 4% | 9% | | +| 71 | 2% | 4% | | +| 72 | 1.1% | 2% | | +| 73 | 0.5% | 0.9% | | +| 74 | 0.2% | 0.4% | | +| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | +| 76 | 0% | 0% | | +| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | diff --git a/party-europeanconservativesandreformists.md b/party-europeanconservativesandreformists.md index ce69f8cac..69941c1aa 100644 --- a/party-europeanconservativesandreformists.md +++ b/party-europeanconservativesandreformists.md @@ -1,8 +1,8 @@ # European Conservatives and Reformists -Members registered from **17 countries**: +Members registered from **18 countries**: -> BE, CY, CZ, DK, FI, FR, GR, HR, IT, LT, LU, LV, NL, PL, RO, SE, SK +> BE, CY, CZ, DK, EE, FI, FR, GR, HR, IT, LT, LU, LV, NL, PL, RO, SE, SK ## Seats @@ -18,25 +18,26 @@ At least one member in **16 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: | Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | |:-----:|:----:|:-----------:|:------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:| -| European Conservatives and Reformists | EU | 78 | 78 | 75–81 | 74–82 | 73–83 | 72–85 | +| European Conservatives and Reformists | EU | 78 | 78 | 75–82 | 74–83 | 74–83 | 72–85 | | Fratelli d’Italia | IT | | 26 | 23–28 | 23–29 | 23–29 | 22–30 | -| Zjednoczona Prawica | PL | | 17 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–19 | +| Zjednoczona Prawica | PL | | 17 | 16–18 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–19 | | Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | RO | | 6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–7 | -| Občanská demokratická strana | CZ | | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 2–6 | 2–6 | -| Sverigedemokraterna | SE | | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | +| Sverigedemokraterna | SE | | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | +| Občanská demokratická strana | CZ | | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 3–6 | | Independents | FR | | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | | Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie | BE-VLG | | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | | Perussuomalaiset | FI | | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | +| Danmarksdemokraterne | DK | | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | | Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga | LT | | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | | Ελληνική Λύση | GR | | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | | Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei | LU | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -| Danmarksdemokraterne | DK | | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | -| Domovinski pokret | HR | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | +| Domovinski pokret | HR | | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Most nezavisnih lista | HR | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Mouvement conservateur | FR | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | LV | | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | -| Sloboda a Solidarita | SK | | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | +| Sloboda a Solidarita | SK | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | | Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο | CY | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +| Eesti Rahvuslased ja Konservatiivid | EE | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Hrvatski suverenisti | HR | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Juiste Antwoord 2021 | NL | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Kresťanská únia | SK | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | @@ -46,29 +47,29 @@ At least one member in **16 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: ### Probability Mass Function -![Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](average-2024-07-31-seats-pmf-europeanconservativesandreformists.png "Seats Probability Mass Function") +![Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](average-2024-08-31-seats-pmf-europeanconservativesandreformists.png "Seats Probability Mass Function") -The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll average](average-2024-07-31.html) for European Conservatives and Reformists. +The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll average](average-2024-08-31.html) for European Conservatives and Reformists. | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | | -| 71 | 0.3% | 99.9% | | -| 72 | 0.9% | 99.6% | | -| 73 | 2% | 98.6% | | -| 74 | 5% | 96% | | -| 75 | 8% | 92% | | -| 76 | 12% | 84% | | -| 77 | 14% | 72% | | -| 78 | 15% | 58% | Last Result, Median | -| 79 | 14% | 43% | | -| 80 | 11% | 28% | | -| 81 | 8% | 17% | | -| 82 | 5% | 9% | | -| 83 | 3% | 4% | | -| 84 | 1.1% | 2% | | -| 85 | 0.4% | 0.6% | | -| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | -| 87 | 0% | 0% | | +| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | | +| 72 | 0.5% | 99.8% | | +| 73 | 1.4% | 99.3% | | +| 74 | 3% | 98% | | +| 75 | 6% | 95% | | +| 76 | 10% | 88% | | +| 77 | 14% | 78% | | +| 78 | 15% | 64% | Last Result, Median | +| 79 | 15% | 49% | | +| 80 | 13% | 34% | | +| 81 | 9% | 21% | | +| 82 | 6% | 12% | | +| 83 | 3% | 6% | | +| 84 | 2% | 2% | | +| 85 | 0.6% | 0.8% | | +| 86 | 0.2% | 0.2% | | +| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | | +| 88 | 0% | 0% | | diff --git "a/party-europeanpeople\342\200\231sparty.md" "b/party-europeanpeople\342\200\231sparty.md" index fe264c733..93ffeaad1 100644 --- "a/party-europeanpeople\342\200\231sparty.md" +++ "b/party-europeanpeople\342\200\231sparty.md" @@ -8,7 +8,7 @@ Members registered from **26 countries**: Last result: **188** seats (General Election of 26 May 2019) -Current median: **176** seats (-12 seats) +Current median: **178** seats (-10 seats) At least one member in **26 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: @@ -18,39 +18,39 @@ At least one member in **26 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: | Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | |:-----:|:----:|:-----------:|:------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:| -| European People’s Party | EU | 188 | 176 | 172–181 | 170–182 | 169–184 | 167–186 | -| Partido Popular | ES | | 24 | 21–25 | 20–25 | 20–25 | 20–26 | -| Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands | DE | | 23 | 22–25 | 21–26 | 20–26 | 20–27 | -| Platforma Obywatelska | PL | | 18 | 17–19 | 17–20 | 16–20 | 16–20 | +| European People’s Party | EU | 188 | 178 | 172–183 | 171–184 | 170–185 | 167–188 | +| Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands | DE | | 24 | 21–26 | 21–27 | 20–27 | 20–27 | +| Partido Popular | ES | | 24 | 22–25 | 22–26 | 21–27 | 21–27 | +| Platforma Obywatelska | PL | | 18 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 16–21 | | Partidul Național Liberal | RO | | 8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | | Tisztelet és Szabadság | HU | | 8 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | | Aliança Democrática | PT | | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 | +| Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern | DE | | 7 | 6–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | | Forza Italia | IT | | 7 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 5–11 | | Νέα Δημοκρατία | GR | | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | -| Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern | DE | | 6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | | Les Républicains | FR | | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | | Fine Gael | IE | | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 | | Hrvatska demokratska zajednica | HR | | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | -| Österreichische Volkspartei | AT | | 5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | +| Österreichische Volkspartei | AT | | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | | Kansallinen Kokoomus | FI | | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | | Moderata samlingspartiet | SE | | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | | Slovenska demokratska stranka | SI | | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 | | Partit Nazzjonalista | MT | | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -| Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe | PL | | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | +| Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe | PL | | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | | BoerBurgerBeweging | NL | | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | | Christen-Democratisch Appèl | NL | | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | | Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams | BE-VLG | | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | | Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei | LU | | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | | Erakond Isamaa | EE | | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | | Jaunā VIENOTĪBA | LV | | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | -| Liberal Alliance | DK | | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | +| Liberal Alliance | DK | | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | | Nieuw Sociaal Contract | NL | | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | | Starostové a nezávislí | CZ | | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | | Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai | LT | | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | | Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός | CY | | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | | Christlich-Soziale Partei | BE-DEG | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -| Det Konservative Folkeparti | DK | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | -| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | SK | | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | +| Det Konservative Folkeparti | DK | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | +| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | SK | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 | | Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība | LV | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | SI | | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | ChristenUnie | NL | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | @@ -58,53 +58,53 @@ At least one member in **26 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: | Eesti 200 | EE | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Erakond Parempoolsed | EE | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Familienpartei Deutschlands | DE | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | -| Inicjatywa Polska | PL | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | +| Inicjatywa Polska | PL | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Jaunā konservatīvā partija | LV | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Kristdemokraterna | SE | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | -| Kristillisdemokraatit | FI | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +| Kristillisdemokraatit | FI | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | | Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová | CZ | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | -| Magyar Szövetség | SK | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | +| Magyar Szövetség | SK | | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Mindenki Magyarországa Mozgalom | HU | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Slovenska ljudska stranka | SI | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Slovensko–Za ľudí | SK | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | -| TOP 09 | CZ | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | +| TOP 09 | CZ | | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | | Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România | RO | | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | | Ökologisch-Demokratische Partei | DE | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | ### Probability Mass Function -![Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](average-2024-07-31-seats-pmf-europeanpeople’sparty.png "Seats Probability Mass Function") +![Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](average-2024-08-31-seats-pmf-europeanpeople’sparty.png "Seats Probability Mass Function") -The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll average](average-2024-07-31.html) for European People’s Party. +The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll average](average-2024-08-31.html) for European People’s Party. | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 164 | 0% | 100% | | -| 165 | 0.1% | 99.9% | | -| 166 | 0.2% | 99.8% | | -| 167 | 0.5% | 99.6% | | -| 168 | 0.9% | 99.1% | | -| 169 | 2% | 98% | | -| 170 | 3% | 97% | | -| 171 | 4% | 94% | | -| 172 | 5% | 90% | | -| 173 | 7% | 85% | | -| 174 | 9% | 78% | | -| 175 | 10% | 69% | | -| 176 | 11% | 59% | Median | -| 177 | 11% | 48% | | -| 178 | 10% | 37% | | -| 179 | 8% | 28% | | -| 180 | 7% | 19% | | -| 181 | 5% | 13% | | -| 182 | 3% | 8% | | -| 183 | 2% | 5% | | -| 184 | 1.3% | 3% | | -| 185 | 0.7% | 1.4% | | -| 186 | 0.4% | 0.7% | | -| 187 | 0.2% | 0.3% | | -| 188 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result | -| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | | -| 190 | 0% | 0% | | +| 165 | 0.1% | 100% | | +| 166 | 0.1% | 99.9% | | +| 167 | 0.3% | 99.8% | | +| 168 | 0.6% | 99.4% | | +| 169 | 1.1% | 98.9% | | +| 170 | 2% | 98% | | +| 171 | 3% | 96% | | +| 172 | 4% | 93% | | +| 173 | 5% | 89% | | +| 174 | 7% | 84% | | +| 175 | 8% | 78% | | +| 176 | 9% | 70% | | +| 177 | 10% | 61% | | +| 178 | 10% | 51% | Median | +| 179 | 9% | 42% | | +| 180 | 8% | 32% | | +| 181 | 7% | 24% | | +| 182 | 6% | 17% | | +| 183 | 4% | 11% | | +| 184 | 3% | 7% | | +| 185 | 2% | 4% | | +| 186 | 1.1% | 2% | | +| 187 | 0.6% | 1.2% | | +| 188 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Last Result | +| 189 | 0.2% | 0.3% | | +| 190 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | +| 191 | 0% | 0% | | diff --git "a/party-europeanunitedleft\342\200\223nordicgreenleft.md" "b/party-europeanunitedleft\342\200\223nordicgreenleft.md" index d757da1a2..8c1c6ec15 100644 --- "a/party-europeanunitedleft\342\200\223nordicgreenleft.md" +++ "b/party-europeanunitedleft\342\200\223nordicgreenleft.md" @@ -8,7 +8,7 @@ Members registered from **18 countries**: Last result: **46** seats (General Election of 26 May 2019) -Current median: **45** seats (-1 seats) +Current median: **44** seats (-2 seats) At least one member in **12 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: @@ -18,35 +18,36 @@ At least one member in **12 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: | Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | |:-----:|:----:|:-----------:|:------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:| -| European United Left–Nordic Green Left | EU | 46 | 45 | 42–48 | 41–48 | 41–49 | 39–50 | +| European United Left–Nordic Green Left | EU | 46 | 44 | 41–47 | 41–48 | 40–49 | 39–50 | | Movimento 5 Stelle | IT | | 10 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 7–13 | | La France insoumise | FR | | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | -| Die Linke | DE | | 3 | 2–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–5 | -| Sinn Féin | IE | | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–6 | +| Sinn Féin | IE | | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 | +| Die Linke | DE | | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 1–4 | | Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | GR | | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | -| Podemos | ES | | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 | +| Podemos | ES | | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 | | Vasemmistoliitto | FI | | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | | Vänsterpartiet | SE | | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | | Bloco de Esquerda | PT | | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | -| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | DK | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | +| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne | DK | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 | | Euskal Herria Bildu | ES | | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Independents | IE | | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida | ES | | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–3 | -| Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz | DE | | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | +| Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz | DE | | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | | Parti du Travail de Belgique | BE-FRC | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | Partij van de Arbeid van België | BE-VLG | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -| Solidarity–People Before Profit | IE | | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού | CY | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | Coligação Democrática Unitária | PT | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Eestimaa Ühendatud Vasakpartei | EE | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Independents 4 Change | IE | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | AT | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | +| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | AT | | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Levica | SI | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Pace Terra Dignità | IT | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Partij voor de Dieren | NL | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | | Radnička fronta | HR | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Sinistra Italiana | IT | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Socialistische Partij | NL | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | +| Solidarity–People Before Profit | IE | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | +| Wandel | AT | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | déi Lénk | LU | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Κόμμα για τα Ζώα Κύπρου | CY | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | GR | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | @@ -54,27 +55,28 @@ At least one member in **12 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: ### Probability Mass Function -![Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](average-2024-07-31-seats-pmf-europeanunitedleft–nordicgreenleft.png "Seats Probability Mass Function") +![Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](average-2024-08-31-seats-pmf-europeanunitedleft–nordicgreenleft.png "Seats Probability Mass Function") -The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll average](average-2024-07-31.html) for European United Left–Nordic Green Left. +The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll average](average-2024-08-31.html) for European United Left–Nordic Green Left. | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 38 | 0.2% | 100% | | -| 39 | 0.5% | 99.8% | | -| 40 | 2% | 99.3% | | -| 41 | 4% | 98% | | -| 42 | 8% | 94% | | -| 43 | 13% | 86% | | -| 44 | 17% | 73% | | -| 45 | 18% | 56% | Median | -| 46 | 16% | 38% | Last Result | -| 47 | 11% | 22% | | -| 48 | 6% | 11% | | -| 49 | 3% | 4% | | -| 50 | 1.0% | 1.4% | | -| 51 | 0.3% | 0.4% | | -| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | +| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | | +| 38 | 0.3% | 99.9% | | +| 39 | 1.2% | 99.6% | | +| 40 | 3% | 98% | | +| 41 | 6% | 95% | | +| 42 | 11% | 89% | | +| 43 | 15% | 78% | | +| 44 | 17% | 63% | Median | +| 45 | 16% | 46% | | +| 46 | 13% | 30% | Last Result | +| 47 | 9% | 17% | | +| 48 | 5% | 8% | | +| 49 | 2% | 3% | | +| 50 | 0.7% | 0.9% | | +| 51 | 0.2% | 0.2% | | +| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | | | 53 | 0% | 0% | | diff --git a/party-europeofsovereignnations.md b/party-europeofsovereignnations.md index 889748574..224ad0b95 100644 --- a/party-europeofsovereignnations.md +++ b/party-europeofsovereignnations.md @@ -18,12 +18,12 @@ At least one member in **6 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: | Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | |:-----:|:----:|:-----------:|:------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:| -| Europe of Sovereign Nations | EU | 25 | 24 | 22–27 | 21–27 | 21–28 | 20–29 | -| Alternative für Deutschland | DE | | 16 | 15–19 | 14–19 | 14–19 | 13–20 | -| Nowa Nadzieja | PL | | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | +| Europe of Sovereign Nations | EU | 25 | 24 | 21–27 | 21–27 | 20–28 | 19–30 | +| Alternative für Deutschland | DE | | 15 | 14–18 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 13–21 | +| Nowa Nadzieja | PL | | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | | Svoboda a přímá demokracie | CZ | | 2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | | Mi Hazánk Mozgalom | HU | | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | -| REPUBLIKA | SK | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | +| REPUBLIKA | SK | | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | | Reconquête | FR | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | Forum voor Democratie | NL | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Tautos ir teisingumo sąjunga (centristai, tautininkai) | LT | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | @@ -31,24 +31,26 @@ At least one member in **6 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: ### Probability Mass Function -![Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](average-2024-07-31-seats-pmf-europeofsovereignnations.png "Seats Probability Mass Function") +![Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](average-2024-08-31-seats-pmf-europeofsovereignnations.png "Seats Probability Mass Function") -The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll average](average-2024-07-31.html) for Europe of Sovereign Nations. +The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll average](average-2024-08-31.html) for Europe of Sovereign Nations. | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 19 | 0.2% | 100% | | -| 20 | 1.0% | 99.8% | | -| 21 | 4% | 98.8% | | -| 22 | 10% | 95% | | -| 23 | 17% | 85% | | -| 24 | 22% | 68% | Median | -| 25 | 20% | 46% | Last Result | -| 26 | 14% | 26% | | -| 27 | 8% | 13% | | -| 28 | 4% | 5% | | -| 29 | 1.1% | 1.3% | | -| 30 | 0.2% | 0.2% | | -| 31 | 0% | 0% | | +| 18 | 0.2% | 100% | | +| 19 | 0.9% | 99.8% | | +| 20 | 3% | 98.9% | | +| 21 | 8% | 96% | | +| 22 | 15% | 88% | | +| 23 | 21% | 73% | | +| 24 | 19% | 53% | Median | +| 25 | 14% | 34% | Last Result | +| 26 | 10% | 20% | | +| 27 | 6% | 10% | | +| 28 | 3% | 4% | | +| 29 | 1.1% | 2% | | +| 30 | 0.4% | 0.5% | | +| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | +| 32 | 0% | 0% | | diff --git "a/party-greens\342\200\223europeanfreealliance.md" "b/party-greens\342\200\223europeanfreealliance.md" index 56bc6da7f..d5fd29952 100644 --- "a/party-greens\342\200\223europeanfreealliance.md" +++ "b/party-greens\342\200\223europeanfreealliance.md" @@ -18,22 +18,22 @@ At least one member in **15 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: | Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | |:-----:|:----:|:-----------:|:------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:| -| Greens–European Free Alliance | EU | 53 | 42 | 39–46 | 39–47 | 38–48 | 37–50 | -| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | DE | | 11 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–15 | +| Greens–European Free Alliance | EU | 53 | 42 | 39–46 | 38–48 | 38–48 | 36–50 | +| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | DE | | 11 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–15 | | Europe Écologie Les Verts | FR | | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | | GroenLinks | NL | | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | -| Socialistisk Folkeparti | DK | | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | -| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | AT | | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | -| Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta | ES | | 2 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 1–5 | -| Volt Europa | DE | | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | -| Česká pirátská strana | CZ | | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | +| Socialistisk Folkeparti | DK | | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | +| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | AT | | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | +| Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta | ES | | 2 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 1–4 | 1–5 | +| Volt Europa | DE | | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | +| Česká pirátská strana | CZ | | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | | Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ | LT | | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | | Ecolo | BE-FRC | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | ES | | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | +| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | ES | | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | | Groen | BE-VLG | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | LIVRE | PT | | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Miljöpartiet de gröna | SE | | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | -| Možemo! | HR | | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | +| Možemo! | HR | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | | PROGRESĪVIE | LV | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | Vihreä liitto | FI | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | | déi gréng | LU | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | @@ -45,11 +45,11 @@ At least one member in **15 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: | Green Party | IE | | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | | Lehet Más a Politika | HU | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt | HU | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | -| Partia Zieloni | PL | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | +| Partia Zieloni | PL | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Partidul Ecologist Român | RO | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Partidul Verde | RO | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Pessoas–Animais–Natureza | PT | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | -| Piratenpartei Deutschland | DE | | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | +| Piratenpartei Deutschland | DE | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg | LU | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Piratska stranka Slovenije | SI | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Párbeszéd | HU | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | @@ -61,29 +61,30 @@ At least one member in **15 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: ### Probability Mass Function -![Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](average-2024-07-31-seats-pmf-greens–europeanfreealliance.png "Seats Probability Mass Function") +![Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](average-2024-08-31-seats-pmf-greens–europeanfreealliance.png "Seats Probability Mass Function") -The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll average](average-2024-07-31.html) for Greens–European Free Alliance. +The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll average](average-2024-08-31.html) for Greens–European Free Alliance. | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 36 | 0.2% | 100% | | -| 37 | 1.0% | 99.8% | | -| 38 | 3% | 98.7% | | -| 39 | 7% | 95% | | -| 40 | 12% | 88% | | -| 41 | 14% | 76% | | -| 42 | 14% | 62% | Median | -| 43 | 13% | 48% | | -| 44 | 11% | 35% | | -| 45 | 9% | 24% | | -| 46 | 7% | 16% | | -| 47 | 4% | 9% | | +| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | | +| 36 | 0.5% | 99.9% | | +| 37 | 2% | 99.4% | | +| 38 | 4% | 98% | | +| 39 | 7% | 94% | | +| 40 | 10% | 87% | | +| 41 | 13% | 76% | | +| 42 | 14% | 63% | Median | +| 43 | 13% | 49% | | +| 44 | 11% | 36% | | +| 45 | 9% | 25% | | +| 46 | 6% | 16% | | +| 47 | 5% | 10% | | | 48 | 3% | 5% | | -| 49 | 1.3% | 2% | | -| 50 | 0.6% | 0.9% | | -| 51 | 0.2% | 0.3% | | -| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | +| 49 | 1.4% | 2% | | +| 50 | 0.6% | 0.8% | | +| 51 | 0.2% | 0.2% | | +| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | | | 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | diff --git a/party-non-inscrits.md b/party-non-inscrits.md index 08c6c2727..f46bdd90f 100644 --- a/party-non-inscrits.md +++ b/party-non-inscrits.md @@ -18,12 +18,12 @@ At least one member in **8 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: | Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | |:-----:|:----:|:-----------:|:------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:| -| Non-Inscrits | EU | 32 | 32 | 29–34 | 28–35 | 28–36 | 27–37 | -| Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht | DE | | 7 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 6–10 | +| Non-Inscrits | EU | 32 | 32 | 29–34 | 28–35 | 27–36 | 26–37 | +| Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht | DE | | 7 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 5–10 | | SMER–sociálna demokracia | SK | | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | | HLAS–sociálna demokracia | SK | | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | | Partidul S.O.S. România | RO | | 2 | 2–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | -| Ruch Narodowy | PL | | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | +| Ruch Narodowy | PL | | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | | Se Acabó La Fiesta | ES | | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | | Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | GR | | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | | Die PARTEI | DE | | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | @@ -36,36 +36,37 @@ At least one member in **8 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: | Φειδίας Παναγιώτου | CY | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | Darbo Partija | LT | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Jobbik | HU | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -| Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy | CZ | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | +| Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy | CZ | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | | Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | SK | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Latvijas Krievu savienība | LV | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Liike Nyt | FI | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Pravo i Pravda | HR | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Resni.ca | SI | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -| Strana svobodných občanů | CZ | | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | +| Strana svobodných občanů | CZ | | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | ### Probability Mass Function -![Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](average-2024-07-31-seats-pmf-non-inscrits.png "Seats Probability Mass Function") +![Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](average-2024-08-31-seats-pmf-non-inscrits.png "Seats Probability Mass Function") -The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll average](average-2024-07-31.html) for Non-Inscrits. +The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll average](average-2024-08-31.html) for Non-Inscrits. | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | | -| 26 | 0.4% | 99.9% | | -| 27 | 1.3% | 99.5% | | -| 28 | 4% | 98% | | -| 29 | 8% | 95% | | -| 30 | 13% | 87% | | -| 31 | 18% | 73% | | -| 32 | 20% | 55% | Last Result, Median | -| 33 | 16% | 36% | | -| 34 | 11% | 19% | | -| 35 | 5% | 8% | | -| 36 | 2% | 3% | | -| 37 | 0.6% | 0.8% | | -| 38 | 0.1% | 0.2% | | -| 39 | 0% | 0% | | +| 25 | 0.2% | 100% | | +| 26 | 0.6% | 99.8% | | +| 27 | 2% | 99.2% | | +| 28 | 5% | 97% | | +| 29 | 10% | 92% | | +| 30 | 14% | 82% | | +| 31 | 17% | 67% | | +| 32 | 17% | 50% | Last Result, Median | +| 33 | 14% | 33% | | +| 34 | 10% | 19% | | +| 35 | 6% | 9% | | +| 36 | 2% | 4% | | +| 37 | 0.9% | 1.2% | | +| 38 | 0.2% | 0.3% | | +| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | | +| 40 | 0% | 0% | | diff --git a/party-partiescurrentlynotrepresentedintheep.md b/party-partiescurrentlynotrepresentedintheep.md index 52ca63460..ec0d67afb 100644 --- a/party-partiescurrentlynotrepresentedintheep.md +++ b/party-partiescurrentlynotrepresentedintheep.md @@ -18,10 +18,10 @@ At least one member in **2 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: | Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | |:-----:|:----:|:-----------:|:------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:| -| Parties currently not represented in the EP | EU | 1 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 1–5 | -| Bierpartei [AT] (*) | AT | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | +| Parties currently not represented in the EP | EU | 1 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 1–5 | +| Bierpartei [AT] (*) | AT | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | | Nemuno aušra [LT] (*) | LT | | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | -| Aontú [IE] (*) | IE | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | +| Aontú [IE] (*) | IE | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Bezpartyjni Samorządowcy [PL] (*) | PL | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Centrum dla Polski [PL] (*) | PL | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | DENK [NL] (*) | NL | | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | @@ -48,17 +48,18 @@ At least one member in **2 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: ### Probability Mass Function -![Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](average-2024-07-31-seats-pmf-partiescurrentlynotrepresentedintheep.png "Seats Probability Mass Function") +![Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](average-2024-08-31-seats-pmf-partiescurrentlynotrepresentedintheep.png "Seats Probability Mass Function") -The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll average](average-2024-07-31.html) for Parties currently not represented in the EP. +The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll average](average-2024-08-31.html) for Parties currently not represented in the EP. | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 1 | 2% | 100% | Last Result | -| 2 | 37% | 98% | | -| 3 | 47% | 61% | Median | -| 4 | 13% | 14% | | -| 5 | 1.0% | 1.0% | | -| 6 | 0% | 0% | | +| 1 | 0.7% | 100% | Last Result | +| 2 | 24% | 99.3% | | +| 3 | 44% | 75% | Median | +| 4 | 26% | 31% | | +| 5 | 5% | 5% | | +| 6 | 0.3% | 0.3% | | +| 7 | 0% | 0% | | diff --git a/party-patriotsforeurope.md b/party-patriotsforeurope.md index 4207248e9..c4fe341bc 100644 --- a/party-patriotsforeurope.md +++ b/party-patriotsforeurope.md @@ -18,49 +18,48 @@ At least one member in **12 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: | Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | |:-----:|:----:|:-----------:|:------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:| -| Patriots for Europe | EU | 84 | 91 | 88–93 | 87–94 | 86–95 | 85–96 | +| Patriots for Europe | EU | 84 | 91 | 88–94 | 88–95 | 87–95 | 86–97 | | Rassemblement national | FR | | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | -| ANO 2011 | CZ | | 10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–12 | +| ANO 2011 | CZ | | 10 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 | | Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt | HU | | 10 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 | | Partij voor de Vrijheid | NL | | 10 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | | Lega Nord | IT | | 8 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 | -| Vox | ES | | 7 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 5–9 | 5–9 | -| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | AT | | 6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | +| Vox | ES | | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 5–9 | +| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | AT | | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | | Chega | PT | | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 2–5 | | Vlaams Belang | BE-VLG | | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -| Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond | EE | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +| Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond | EE | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | | Latvija pirmajā vietā | LV | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | Φωνή Λογικής | GR | | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Dansk Folkeparti | DK | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | -| Motoristé sobě | CZ | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -| Přísaha | CZ | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | +| Motoristé sobě | CZ | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | +| Přísaha | CZ | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | | SME RODINA | SK | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Slovenska nacionalna stranka | SI | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -| Slovenská národná strana | SK | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | +| Slovenská národná strana | SK | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | ### Probability Mass Function -![Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](average-2024-07-31-seats-pmf-patriotsforeurope.png "Seats Probability Mass Function") +![Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](average-2024-08-31-seats-pmf-patriotsforeurope.png "Seats Probability Mass Function") -The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll average](average-2024-07-31.html) for Patriots for Europe. +The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll average](average-2024-08-31.html) for Patriots for Europe. | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 83 | 0.1% | 100% | | -| 84 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Last Result | -| 85 | 0.9% | 99.7% | | -| 86 | 2% | 98.8% | | -| 87 | 5% | 96% | | -| 88 | 9% | 91% | | -| 89 | 13% | 82% | | -| 90 | 17% | 69% | | -| 91 | 17% | 52% | Median | -| 92 | 15% | 35% | | -| 93 | 10% | 20% | | -| 94 | 6% | 10% | | -| 95 | 3% | 4% | | -| 96 | 0.9% | 1.3% | | -| 97 | 0.3% | 0.3% | | +| 84 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result | +| 85 | 0.3% | 99.9% | | +| 86 | 1.1% | 99.6% | | +| 87 | 3% | 98% | | +| 88 | 6% | 95% | | +| 89 | 11% | 89% | | +| 90 | 16% | 78% | | +| 91 | 18% | 62% | Median | +| 92 | 17% | 44% | | +| 93 | 13% | 27% | | +| 94 | 8% | 14% | | +| 95 | 4% | 6% | | +| 96 | 1.4% | 2% | | +| 97 | 0.4% | 0.5% | | | 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | | 99 | 0% | 0% | | diff --git a/party-progressiveallianceofsocialistsanddemocrats.md b/party-progressiveallianceofsocialistsanddemocrats.md index c88607a72..e213f3962 100644 --- a/party-progressiveallianceofsocialistsanddemocrats.md +++ b/party-progressiveallianceofsocialistsanddemocrats.md @@ -18,22 +18,22 @@ At least one member in **23 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: | Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | |:-----:|:----:|:-----------:|:------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:| -| Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats | EU | 136 | 138 | 134–142 | 133–143 | 132–145 | 130–147 | -| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | ES | | 21 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 19–24 | 18–24 | +| Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats | EU | 136 | 138 | 134–142 | 132–143 | 131–144 | 130–146 | | Partito Democratico | IT | | 21 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 18–24 | 17–25 | -| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | DE | | 15 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 11–18 | +| Partido Socialista Obrero Español | ES | | 20 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 19–24 | 18–25 | +| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | DE | | 14 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–17 | | Parti socialiste | FR | | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | | Partidul Social Democrat | RO | | 12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–14 | | Partido Socialista | PT | | 7 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 5–9 | 5–9 | | Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | SE | | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–9 | | Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | AT | | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | -| Nowa Lewica | PL | | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 2–5 | | Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue | FI | | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | | Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija | LT | | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | +| Nowa Lewica | PL | | 3 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 2–5 | | Partij van de Arbeid | NL | | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | | Partit Laburista | MT | | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -| Socialdemokraterne | DK | | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | -| Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske | HR | | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | +| Socialdemokraterne | DK | | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | +| Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske | HR | | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | | Κίνημα Αλλαγής | GR | | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | | Parti Socialiste | BE-FRC | | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | | Vooruit | BE-VLG | | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | @@ -43,46 +43,47 @@ At least one member in **23 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: | Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” | LV | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond | EE | | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | | Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα | CY | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -| Labour Party | IE | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | +| Labour Party | IE | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Lietuvos regionų partija | LT | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Magyar Szocialista Párt | HU | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | PRO România | RO | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Partidul Umanist Social Liberal | RO | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -| Social Democrats | IE | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | -| Sociální demokracie | CZ | | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | +| Social Democrats | IE | | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | +| Sociální demokracie | CZ | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | | Szocialisták és demokraták | HU | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών | CY | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ### Probability Mass Function -![Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](average-2024-07-31-seats-pmf-progressiveallianceofsocialistsanddemocrats.png "Seats Probability Mass Function") +![Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](average-2024-08-31-seats-pmf-progressiveallianceofsocialistsanddemocrats.png "Seats Probability Mass Function") -The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll average](average-2024-07-31.html) for Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats. +The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll average](average-2024-08-31.html) for Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats. | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 128 | 0.1% | 100% | | -| 129 | 0.2% | 99.9% | | -| 130 | 0.6% | 99.6% | | -| 131 | 1.2% | 99.1% | | -| 132 | 2% | 98% | | -| 133 | 4% | 96% | | -| 134 | 6% | 92% | | -| 135 | 8% | 86% | | -| 136 | 10% | 78% | Last Result | -| 137 | 12% | 68% | | -| 138 | 12% | 56% | Median | -| 139 | 12% | 44% | | -| 140 | 10% | 32% | | -| 141 | 8% | 22% | | -| 142 | 6% | 14% | | -| 143 | 4% | 9% | | -| 144 | 2% | 5% | | -| 145 | 1.3% | 3% | | -| 146 | 0.7% | 1.2% | | -| 147 | 0.3% | 0.5% | | -| 148 | 0.1% | 0.2% | | -| 149 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | +| 127 | 0% | 100% | | +| 128 | 0.1% | 99.9% | | +| 129 | 0.3% | 99.8% | | +| 130 | 0.7% | 99.5% | | +| 131 | 1.5% | 98.8% | | +| 132 | 3% | 97% | | +| 133 | 4% | 95% | | +| 134 | 7% | 90% | | +| 135 | 9% | 84% | | +| 136 | 11% | 75% | Last Result | +| 137 | 12% | 64% | | +| 138 | 12% | 52% | Median | +| 139 | 11% | 39% | | +| 140 | 9% | 28% | | +| 141 | 7% | 19% | | +| 142 | 5% | 12% | | +| 143 | 3% | 7% | | +| 144 | 2% | 4% | | +| 145 | 1.0% | 2% | | +| 146 | 0.5% | 0.9% | | +| 147 | 0.2% | 0.4% | | +| 148 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | +| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | | | 150 | 0% | 0% | | diff --git a/party-reneweurope.md b/party-reneweurope.md index ea4baf61c..a7516f033 100644 --- a/party-reneweurope.md +++ b/party-reneweurope.md @@ -8,7 +8,7 @@ Members registered from **23 countries**: Last result: **77** seats (General Election of 26 May 2019) -Current median: **67** seats (-10 seats) +Current median: **66** seats (-11 seats) At least one member in **18 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: @@ -18,21 +18,21 @@ At least one member in **18 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: | Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | |:-----:|:----:|:-----------:|:------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:| -| Renew Europe | EU | 77 | 67 | 64–70 | 63–71 | 63–72 | 61–74 | +| Renew Europe | EU | 77 | 66 | 64–69 | 63–70 | 62–71 | 61–73 | | La République en marche–Mouvement démocrate | FR | | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | -| Freie Demokratische Partei | DE | | 5 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–7 | +| Freie Demokratische Partei | DE | | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | | Uniunea Salvați România | RO | | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | | Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | NL | | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | -| Fianna Fáil | IE | | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | -| Progresívne Slovensko | SK | | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | +| Progresívne Slovensko | SK | | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | +| Fianna Fáil | IE | | 3 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | | Gibanje Svoboda | SI | | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | | Mouvement Réformateur | BE-FRC | | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -| Polska 2050 | PL | | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | +| Polska 2050 | PL | | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | | Democraten 66 | NL | | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | -| Freie Wähler | DE | | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | -| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | AT | | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | -| Suomen Keskusta | FI | | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -| Centerpartiet | SE | | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | +| Freie Wähler | DE | | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | +| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | AT | | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | +| Suomen Keskusta | FI | | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | +| Centerpartiet | SE | | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Demokratesch Partei | LU | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | Eesti Keskerakond | EE | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | Eesti Reformierakond | EE | | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | @@ -51,7 +51,7 @@ At least one member in **18 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: | Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco | ES | | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Fokus na bitno | HR | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Hrvatska narodna stranka–liberalni demokrati | HR | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -| Independent Ireland | IE | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | +| Independent Ireland | IE | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Independents | IE | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Istarski demokratski sabor | HR | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Italia Viva | IT | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | @@ -64,34 +64,35 @@ At least one member in **18 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more: | Partija „Laisvė ir teisingumas“ | LT | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Più Europa | IT | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | Reînnoim Proiectul European al României | RO | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–2 | -| Svenska folkpartiet i Finland | FI | | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | +| Svenska folkpartiet i Finland | FI | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | | Δημοκρατική Παράταξη | CY | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ### Probability Mass Function -![Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](average-2024-07-31-seats-pmf-reneweurope.png "Seats Probability Mass Function") +![Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced](average-2024-08-31-seats-pmf-reneweurope.png "Seats Probability Mass Function") -The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll average](average-2024-07-31.html) for Renew Europe. +The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll average](average-2024-08-31.html) for Renew Europe. | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:| -| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | | -| 61 | 0.4% | 99.9% | | -| 62 | 1.4% | 99.5% | | -| 63 | 4% | 98% | | -| 64 | 7% | 94% | | -| 65 | 12% | 87% | | -| 66 | 15% | 75% | | -| 67 | 17% | 60% | Median | -| 68 | 15% | 43% | | -| 69 | 12% | 28% | | -| 70 | 8% | 16% | | -| 71 | 4% | 9% | | -| 72 | 2% | 4% | | -| 73 | 1.2% | 2% | | -| 74 | 0.6% | 1.0% | | -| 75 | 0.2% | 0.4% | | -| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | +| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | | +| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | | +| 61 | 0.9% | 99.7% | | +| 62 | 3% | 98.8% | | +| 63 | 6% | 96% | | +| 64 | 11% | 90% | | +| 65 | 16% | 79% | | +| 66 | 18% | 64% | Median | +| 67 | 17% | 46% | | +| 68 | 13% | 29% | | +| 69 | 8% | 17% | | +| 70 | 4% | 9% | | +| 71 | 2% | 4% | | +| 72 | 1.1% | 2% | | +| 73 | 0.5% | 0.9% | | +| 74 | 0.2% | 0.4% | | +| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | | +| 76 | 0% | 0% | | | 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |