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feat(prosoche): source-linked re-fetching for fact staleness validation #2848

@forkwright

Description

@forkwright

Summary

MemGuard (Apr 6 2026) found that 33% of stored facts become incorrect within 90 days. Their key technique: source-linked re-fetching — for facts that originated from external sources, periodically re-fetch the source and compare. Catches 80% of staleness without LLM costs.

How this applies to aletheia

Facts with causal provenance edges pointing to external sources (URLs, documents, API responses) can be validated by re-checking the source. This is cheaper than LLM-based re-evaluation and catches a common failure mode.

Proposed approach

  1. For facts with external source provenance, store the source URI
  2. During prosoche self-audit, re-fetch a sample of source-linked facts
  3. Compare current source content against the stored fact
  4. Flag divergences for review or automatic confidence reduction

Source

MemGuard: "Your AI Agent is Confidently Lying" (earezki.com, Apr 6 2026). 33% staleness within 90 days validates aletheia's temporal decay approach.

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