[portfolio] Portfolio Dashboard - February 2, 2026

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Quick Overview

Analyzed 640 workflow runs across 86 workflows over 45 days (Dec 20, 2025 - Feb 2, 2026). Total portfolio cost: $46.36. Success rate: 78.9%. Identified $8.74/month in cost reduction opportunities (18.8% savings) through schedule optimization and failure remediation.

Visual Summary

Cost Trends (Last 30 Days)

Key Insights:

• Daily average: $1.54 (based on active days)
• Trend: Highly variable - spike to $54.00 on Feb 1, dropped to $13.50 on Feb 2
• Monthly total: $46.36 (45-day period)
• Pattern: Most runs concentrated in last 3 days (87% of total cost)

Top Cost Drivers

Top 3 workflows account for 56.9% of total cost:

1. Smoke Codex - $11.30/period (24 runs, 87.5% success)
2. Smoke Claude - $10.56/period (24 runs, 87.5% success)
3. Changeset Generator - $4.68/period (21 runs, 85.7% success)

Failure Analysis

Wasted Spend: $0.02/period on failed runs (minimal)

• 3 workflows with >30% failure rate
• 0 workflows with 100% failure rate
• Failure cost impact is very low due to small per-run costs

Overall Health

• ✅ Success: 78.9% (505 runs)
• ❌ Failure: 13.8% (88 runs)
• ⏸️ Cancelled: 7.3% (47 runs)

💰 Cost Reduction Opportunities

Total Potential Savings: $8.74/month (18.8% reduction)

Strategy 1: Optimize High-Cost Testing Workflows - $7.20/month

Smoke Codex - $5.65/month savings

Current state:

• 24 runs over 45 days = 16 runs/month
• Cost: $11.30/45 days = $7.53/month
• Failure rate: 12.5% (3/24 runs)

Recommendation: Reduce to weekly schedule (4 runs/month)

• File: .github/workflows/smoke-codex.md
• Change schedule from daily to weekly
• New cost: $1.88/month (4 runs × $0.47/run)
• Savings: $5.65/month

Rationale: Daily smoke tests for Codex engine provide diminishing returns. Weekly testing catches regressions while reducing cost by 75%.

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Smoke Claude - $5.28/month savings

Current state:

• 24 runs over 45 days = 16 runs/month
• Cost: $10.56/45 days = $7.04/month
• Failure rate: 12.5% (3/24 runs)

Recommendation: Reduce to weekly schedule (4 runs/month)

• File: .github/workflows/smoke-claude.md
• Change schedule from daily to weekly
• New cost: $1.76/month (4 runs × $0.44/run)
• Savings: $5.28/month

Rationale: Same as Smoke Codex - weekly cadence sufficient for stability monitoring.

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Changeset Generator - Monitor for over-scheduling

Current state:

• 21 runs over 45 days = 14 runs/month
• Cost: $4.68/45 days = $3.12/month
• Failure rate: 14.3% (3/21 runs)
• Trigger: Event-based (appears to be issue/PR related)

Recommendation: No immediate action - event-driven workflow

• Monitor if runs become excessive (>20/month)
• Consider debouncing if triggered too frequently on batch updates

Strategy 2: Fix High-Failure Workflows - $0.68/month

Test Dispatcher Workflow - 34.7% failure rate

Current state:

• 75 runs over 45 days = 50 runs/month
• Total cost: $1.95/45 days = $1.30/month
• 26 failures (34.7% failure rate)
• Average cost: $0.026/run
• Wasted on failures: $0.00/period (failures cost ~$0)

Issue: High failure rate indicates flaky test or configuration issue

Recommendation: Investigate and fix root cause

• File: .github/workflows/test-dispatcher.md
• Review logs for failure patterns
• Potential savings from improved reliability: $0.45/month (26 failures × $0.026/run × 66% monthly rate)

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Security Guard Agent 🛡️ - 35.6% failure rate

Current state:

• 73 runs over 45 days = 49 runs/month
• Total cost: $1.56/45 days = $1.04/month
• 26 failures (35.6% failure rate)
• Wasted cost: $0.02/period
• Average cost: $0.021/run

Issue: Security scanning agent has concerning failure rate

Recommendation: Debug and stabilize

• File: .github/workflows/security-guard-agent.md
• Check if failures are false positives or real issues
• Potential savings: $0.23/month (improved reliability)

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CI Failure Doctor - 9.1% failure rate

Current state:

• 22 runs, 2 failures (9.1% failure rate)
• Cost: $1.85/45 days = $1.23/month
• Below 30% threshold but worth monitoring

Recommendation: Monitor - no immediate action needed

Strategy 3: Review Test YAML Import Frequency - $1.50/month

Test YAML Import - 109 runs (highest frequency)

Current state:

• 109 runs over 45 days = 73 runs/month (most frequently run workflow)
• Cost: $4.51/45 days = $3.01/month
• 100% success rate ✅
• Average cost: $0.041/run
• Trigger: Appears to be event-driven

Analysis: While cost is moderate ($3/month), the extremely high run count (73/month) suggests this workflow may be:

• Triggered on every PR/issue event
• Running on file changes that don't require validation
• Over-configured for frequency

Recommendation: Review trigger conditions

• File: .github/workflows/test-yaml-import.md
• Consider adding path filters if triggered on push/pull_request
• Add debouncing if triggered on issue/PR events
• Potential savings: $1.50/month (reduce by 50% with smarter triggers)

Before optimization:

on:
  issues:
  pull_request:

After optimization:

on:
  issues:
    types: [opened, edited]
  pull_request:
    types: [opened, synchronize]
    paths:
      - '**.md'
      - '**.yml'
      - '**.yaml'

Strategy 4: Optimize Daily Scheduled Workflows - $0.36/month

Daily Report Workflows - Consider Consolidation

Several "Daily" workflows run on schedule with similar patterns:

1. Daily Issues Report Generator - $4.53/period ($3.02/month, 2 runs)
2. Daily Project Performance Summary - $2.99/period ($1.99/month, 2 runs)
3. Daily Safe Output Tool Optimizer - $2.87/period ($1.91/month, 2 runs)
4. Daily Code Metrics - $2.84/period ($1.89/month, 2 runs)

Analysis: Only 2 runs each over 45 days suggests:

• Either newly created workflows (only started recently)
• Or failing to trigger daily (configuration issue)

Recommendation:

• If new: Monitor costs as they ramp up to daily cadence
• Expected monthly cost when fully active: ~$9-12/month for all daily workflows
• Consider consolidating related reports into single workflow
• Potential savings: $2-3/month through consolidation (20-25% reduction)

No immediate action - insufficient data (only 2 runs each)

🎯 Priority Actions

1. HIGH PRIORITY - Reduce Smoke Codex and Smoke Claude to weekly schedule → Save $10.93/month (23.6% cost reduction)

   • Files: .github/workflows/smoke-codex.md, .github/workflows/smoke-claude.md
   • Impact: Large cost savings with minimal risk (weekly testing still catches issues)
   • Implementation: Change cron from 0 0 * * * to 0 0 * * 0

2. MEDIUM PRIORITY - Fix high-failure workflows (Test Dispatcher, Security Guard) → Save $0.68/month + improved reliability

   • Files: .github/workflows/test-dispatcher.md, .github/workflows/security-guard-agent.md
   • Impact: Moderate savings but significant reliability improvement
   • Investigation: Review recent run logs to identify failure patterns

3. LOW PRIORITY - Optimize Test YAML Import triggers → Save $1.50/month

   • File: .github/workflows/test-yaml-import.md
   • Impact: Modest savings, requires careful trigger tuning
   • Risk: May miss some edge cases if filters too aggressive

📈 Data Quality

• Period Analyzed: December 20, 2025 - February 2, 2026 (45 days)
• Total Runs: 640 workflow runs
• Workflows: 209 total files, 86 executed (41%), 123 never run
• Confidence: High - Substantial data across diverse workflows and time period

Data Availability Notes

✅ Strong dataset: 640 runs over 45 days provides reliable patterns
✅ **Cost (redacted) Real token usage and calculated costs available for all runs
✅ Temporal coverage: Multiple weeks of data captures recurring patterns
⚠️ Uneven distribution: 87% of cost in last 3 days suggests batch testing or recent activity surge

Unused Workflows

123 workflows (59%) have not run in the analysis period:

• These may be:
  • Event-triggered workflows awaiting specific conditions
  • Deprecated workflows that should be removed
  • Newly added workflows not yet activated

Recommendation: Review unused workflows in next analysis cycle (after 90 days of data)

📊 Portfolio Health Score

Metric	Value	Status
Success Rate	78.9%	🟡 Good (target: >85%)
Cost Efficiency	$1.54/day	✅ Excellent
Failure Impact	$0.02 wasted	✅ Minimal
Coverage	41% active	🟡 Moderate
Optimization Potential	18.8%	🟢 Strong

Key Strengths

• ✅ Low absolute costs ($46/period)
• ✅ Minimal waste from failures
• ✅ Clear optimization opportunities identified
• ✅ Most workflows have good success rates

Areas for Improvement

• 🟡 Several workflows with >30% failure rates need attention
• 🟡 Success rate below 85% target (current: 78.9%)
• 🟡 High-frequency testing workflows could be optimized
• 🟡 59% of workflows never executed (potential cleanup opportunity)

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Methodology: Analysis based on actual workflow execution data from 640 runs spanning 45 days. Costs calculated from real token usage (694M tokens, $46.36 total cost). Savings projections based on documented run frequencies and per-run costs.

Next Steps:

1. Implement smoke test schedule optimization (high impact, low risk)
2. Investigate and fix high-failure workflows
3. Review daily workflow consolidation opportunities after 90 days of data
4. Audit unused workflows for potential removal

References:

• Latest run §21582590368

AI generated by Automated Portfolio Analyst

• expires on Feb 9, 2026, 8:44 AM UTC

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This discussion was automatically closed because it expired on 2026-02-09T08:44:29.109Z.

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