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a/_sources/notebooks/33_intro_to_NHST.ipynb b/_sources/notebooks/33_intro_to_NHST.ipynb index 187e48ce..8f6f00cc 100644 --- a/_sources/notebooks/33_intro_to_NHST.ipynb +++ b/_sources/notebooks/33_intro_to_NHST.ipynb @@ -49,7 +49,7 @@ "outputs": [], "source": [ "# Plot helper functions\n", - "from minsitats import nicebins" + "from ministats import nicebins" ] }, { diff --git a/blogposts/cut_material.html b/blogposts/cut_material.html index 083ad9d3..c9b525a6 100644 --- a/blogposts/cut_material.html +++ b/blogposts/cut_material.html @@ -544,9 +544,6 @@
Matplotlib is building the font cache; this may take a moment.
-
<Figure size 640x480 with 0 Axes>
<Axes: xlabel='group', ylabel='score'>
array([36, 35, 42, 45, 54, 29, 34, 35, 44, 47])
+array([36, 39, 40, 39, 45, 36, 41, 42, 32, 44])
0.0523
+0.0509
0.0527947205279472
+0.05219478052194781
<Axes: xlabel='curriculum', ylabel='score'>
<Axes: ylabel='Count'>
<Axes: xlabel='x', ylabel='$f_{X}$'>
<Axes: xlabel='x', ylabel='$f_{X}$'>
<Axes: xlabel='x', ylabel='$f_{X}$'>
<Axes: xlabel='x', ylabel='$f_{X}$'>
<Axes: ylabel='Density'>
(202.59024, 3.4120250533403507)
+(202.62868, 3.3701503612747015)
<Axes: ylabel='Density'>
Even when we take into account of the possible variability @@ -1039,7 +1039,7 @@
<Axes: ylabel='Density'>
The boostrap etimates we obverve are very far from the @@ -1212,7 +1212,7 @@
<Axes: xlabel='d', ylabel='$f_{D}$'>
<Axes: ylabel='Density'>
2.2284457431181997
+2.234579454312682
<Axes: ylabel='Density'>
2.906217394092687
+2.942715050474587
[6, 8, 4]
+[1, 7, 5]
-
+
We can enhance the strip plot by mapping the ezlvl
variable to the colour (hue) of the points in the plot.
-
+
-
+
@@ -2390,7 +2390,7 @@ Electricity prices
-
+
@@ -2520,7 +2520,7 @@ Students’ scores
-
+
@@ -2644,7 +2644,7 @@ Kombucha volumes
-
+
@@ -2772,7 +2772,7 @@ Doctors’ sleep study
-
+
diff --git a/notebooks/13_descriptive_statistics.html b/notebooks/13_descriptive_statistics.html
index ac1701f2..6f050286 100644
--- a/notebooks/13_descriptive_statistics.html
+++ b/notebooks/13_descriptive_statistics.html
@@ -1612,7 +1612,7 @@ Strip plots<Axes: xlabel='score', ylabel='curriculum'>
-
+
@@ -1658,7 +1658,7 @@ Histograms
-<matplotlib.legend.Legend at 0x7fc003e14820>
+<matplotlib.legend.Legend at 0x7f0a1ea47af0>
diff --git a/notebooks/25_continuous_random_vars.html b/notebooks/25_continuous_random_vars.html
index 8bf16429..0cbde1b2 100644
--- a/notebooks/25_continuous_random_vars.html
+++ b/notebooks/25_continuous_random_vars.html
@@ -1465,7 +1465,7 @@ Example 1: Multivariable uniform
-<matplotlib.contour.QuadContourSet at 0x7fa4c4b6a400>
+<matplotlib.contour.QuadContourSet at 0x7f92e4f14100>
@@ -1525,7 +1525,7 @@ Example 2: Kombucha volume increasing with temperature
-<matplotlib.contour.QuadContourSet at 0x7fa4c5aeb7f0>
+<matplotlib.contour.QuadContourSet at 0x7f92f3f471c0>
@@ -1579,7 +1579,7 @@ Example 3: Temperature-dependent variability
-<matplotlib.contour.QuadContourSet at 0x7fa4c5a2ecd0>
+<matplotlib.contour.QuadContourSet at 0x7f92e4bebe80>
diff --git a/notebooks/33_intro_to_NHST.html b/notebooks/33_intro_to_NHST.html
index e9e6404a..bc52ef67 100644
--- a/notebooks/33_intro_to_NHST.html
+++ b/notebooks/33_intro_to_NHST.html
@@ -588,18 +588,7 @@ Notebook setup
# Plot helper functions
-from minsitats import nicebins
-
-
-
-
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-ModuleNotFoundError Traceback (most recent call last)
-Cell In[2], line 2
- 1 # Plot helper functions
-----> 2 from minsitats import nicebins
-
-ModuleNotFoundError: No module named 'minsitats'
+from ministats import nicebins
@@ -896,10 +885,7 @@ Sampling distribution of the mean under the null
-<Axes: ylabel='Count'>
-
-
-
+
The sampling distribution \(\overline{\mathbf{K}}_0 = \tt{kbars40}\)
@@ -1066,7 +1052,7 @@
Sampling distribution of the mean under the null hypothesis
-
+
Note the \(p\)-value calculation includes simulated observations in the left tail of the distribution:
@@ -1222,7 +1208,7 @@
Example 2S: test for the mean of Batch 01
-
+
@@ -1250,7 +1236,7 @@ Sampling distribution of the variance under the null
-
+
@@ -1339,7 +1325,7 @@ Example 3S: test for the variance of Batch 02
-
+
diff --git a/notebooks/34_analytical_approx.html b/notebooks/34_analytical_approx.html
index 0b39736a..3fead6c0 100644
--- a/notebooks/34_analytical_approx.html
+++ b/notebooks/34_analytical_approx.html
@@ -974,9 +974,7 @@ Calculating \(p\)-values f
Saved figure to figures/stats/intro_to_NHST/panel_p-values_t_left_twotailed_right_tests.pdf
-
-
-Saved figure to figures/stats/intro_to_NHST/panel_p-values_t_left_twotailed_right_tests.png
+Saved figure to figures/stats/intro_to_NHST/panel_p-values_t_left_twotailed_right_tests.png
diff --git a/notebooks/35_two_sample_tests.html b/notebooks/35_two_sample_tests.html
index 294c13fb..f9860375 100644
--- a/notebooks/35_two_sample_tests.html
+++ b/notebooks/35_two_sample_tests.html
@@ -1056,9 +1056,7 @@ Running a permutation test
Saved figure to figures/stats/two_sample_tests/hist_p-value_dmeans_eprices.pdf
-
-
-Saved figure to figures/stats/two_sample_tests/hist_p-value_dmeans_eprices.png
+Saved figure to figures/stats/two_sample_tests/hist_p-value_dmeans_eprices.png
@@ -1293,9 +1291,7 @@ Example 6P: lecture and debate curriculums
Saved figure to figures/stats/two_sample_tests/hist_p-value_dmeans_students.pdf
-
-
-Saved figure to figures/stats/two_sample_tests/hist_p-value_dmeans_students.png
+Saved figure to figures/stats/two_sample_tests/hist_p-value_dmeans_students.png
diff --git a/notebooks/40_extra_cut_material.html b/notebooks/40_extra_cut_material.html
index ef02dcb1..20c21d1f 100644
--- a/notebooks/40_extra_cut_material.html
+++ b/notebooks/40_extra_cut_material.html
@@ -725,7 +725,7 @@ Partial regression plots
-/tmp/ipykernel_3021/3264559806.py:31: UserWarning: *c* argument looks like a single numeric RGB or RGBA sequence, which should be avoided as value-mapping will have precedence in case its length matches with *x* & *y*. Please use the *color* keyword-argument or provide a 2D array with a single row if you intend to specify the same RGB or RGBA value for all points.
+/tmp/ipykernel_2961/3264559806.py:31: UserWarning: *c* argument looks like a single numeric RGB or RGBA sequence, which should be avoided as value-mapping will have precedence in case its length matches with *x* & *y*. Please use the *color* keyword-argument or provide a 2D array with a single row if you intend to specify the same RGB or RGBA value for all points.
ax.scatter(x, y, c=h[0].get_color(), **scatter_kws)
@@ -894,7 +894,7 @@ Sheffé bands (several different ways)
-<matplotlib.collections.PolyCollection at 0x7f49774ec940>
+<matplotlib.collections.PolyCollection at 0x7f88ac27ef10>
@@ -1027,7 +1027,7 @@ Sheffé bands (several different ways)<matplotlib.legend.Legend at 0x7f49936caa60>
+<matplotlib.legend.Legend at 0x7f8889688a90>
diff --git a/notebooks/41_simple_linear_regression.html b/notebooks/41_simple_linear_regression.html
index 03608dee..991a98d2 100644
--- a/notebooks/41_simple_linear_regression.html
+++ b/notebooks/41_simple_linear_regression.html
@@ -1469,7 +1469,7 @@ Model summary table
-Error in callback <function _draw_all_if_interactive at 0x7f1f34bbb310> (for post_execute):
+Error in callback <function _draw_all_if_interactive at 0x7ff859dbc310> (for post_execute):
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
diff --git a/notebooks/44_regression_with_categorical_predictors.html b/notebooks/44_regression_with_categorical_predictors.html
index 6a84ba29..9da69df3 100644
--- a/notebooks/44_regression_with_categorical_predictors.html
+++ b/notebooks/44_regression_with_categorical_predictors.html
@@ -991,7 +991,7 @@ Example 3: improved model for the sleep scores
-
- 2.22% [133/6000 00:00<00:03 Sampling 2 chains, 0 divergences]
+
+ 100.00% [6000/6000 00:02<00:00 Sampling 2 chains, 0 divergences]
-
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
-ValueError Traceback (most recent call last)
-Cell In[1], line 22
- 19 y_obs = pm.Normal("y_obs", mu=mu, sigma=sigma, observed=y)
- 21 # Sampling
----> 22 trace = pm.sample(2000, return_inferencedata=True)
-
-File /opt/hostedtoolcache/Python/3.8.18/x64/lib/python3.8/site-packages/pymc/sampling/mcmc.py:791, in sample(draws, tune, chains, cores, random_seed, progressbar, step, nuts_sampler, initvals, init, jitter_max_retries, n_init, trace, discard_tuned_samples, compute_convergence_checks, keep_warning_stat, return_inferencedata, idata_kwargs, nuts_sampler_kwargs, callback, mp_ctx, model, **kwargs)
- 787 t_sampling = time.time() - t_start
- 789 # Packaging, validating and returning the result was extracted
- 790 # into a function to make it easier to test and refactor.
---> 791 return _sample_return(
- 792 run=run,
- 793 traces=traces,
- 794 tune=tune,
- 795 t_sampling=t_sampling,
- 796 discard_tuned_samples=discard_tuned_samples,
- 797 compute_convergence_checks=compute_convergence_checks,
- 798 return_inferencedata=return_inferencedata,
- 799 keep_warning_stat=keep_warning_stat,
- 800 idata_kwargs=idata_kwargs or {},
- 801 model=model,
- 802 )
-
-File /opt/hostedtoolcache/Python/3.8.18/x64/lib/python3.8/site-packages/pymc/sampling/mcmc.py:822, in _sample_return(run, traces, tune, t_sampling, discard_tuned_samples, compute_convergence_checks, return_inferencedata, keep_warning_stat, idata_kwargs, model)
- 820 # Pick and slice chains to keep the maximum number of samples
- 821 if discard_tuned_samples:
---> 822 traces, length = _choose_chains(traces, tune)
- 823 else:
- 824 traces, length = _choose_chains(traces, 0)
-
-File /opt/hostedtoolcache/Python/3.8.18/x64/lib/python3.8/site-packages/pymc/backends/base.py:601, in _choose_chains(traces, tune)
- 599 lengths = [max(0, len(trace) - tune) for trace in traces]
- 600 if not sum(lengths):
---> 601 raise ValueError("Not enough samples to build a trace.")
- 603 idxs = np.argsort(lengths)
- 604 l_sort = np.array(lengths)[idxs]
-
-ValueError: Not enough samples to build a trace.
+
Sampling 2 chains for 1_000 tune and 2_000 draw iterations (2_000 + 4_000 draws total) took 3 seconds.
+
+
+We recommend running at least 4 chains for robust computation of convergence diagnostics
@@ -649,8 +614,8 @@ Bayesian p-value
-
- 100.00% [8000/8000 00:00<00:00]
+
+ 100.00% [4000/4000 00:00<00:00]
@@ -668,7 +633,7 @@ Bayesian p-value
-Bayesian p-value: 0.4925
+Bayesian p-value: 0.49
diff --git a/notebooks/51_intro_to_Bayesian_stats.html b/notebooks/51_intro_to_Bayesian_stats.html
index d54c58fc..1aae34f9 100644
--- a/notebooks/51_intro_to_Bayesian_stats.html
+++ b/notebooks/51_intro_to_Bayesian_stats.html
@@ -679,7 +679,7 @@ Example 1: estimating the probability of a biased coin
-<matplotlib.colorbar.Colorbar at 0x7fb5ef3f55b0>
+<matplotlib.colorbar.Colorbar at 0x7f800d5b7f10>
diff --git a/notebooks/52_Bayesian_inference_computations.html b/notebooks/52_Bayesian_inference_computations.html
index f941d047..94a2e526 100644
--- a/notebooks/52_Bayesian_inference_computations.html
+++ b/notebooks/52_Bayesian_inference_computations.html
@@ -629,10 +629,10 @@ Example 1: estimating the probability of a biased coin
-
- 100.00% [4000/4000 00:01<00:00 Sampling 2 chains, 0 divergences]
+
+ 60.30% [2412/4000 00:00<00:00 Sampling 2 chains, 0 divergences]
- Sampling 2 chains for 1_000 tune and 1_000 draw iterations (2_000 + 2_000 draws total) took 1 seconds.
+
Sampling 2 chains for 1_000 tune and 208 draw iterations (2_000 + 416 draws total) took 1 seconds.
We recommend running at least 4 chains for robust computation of convergence diagnostics
@@ -680,14 +680,14 @@ Example 1: estimating the probability of a biased coin
p
- 0.684
- 0.099
- 0.513
- 0.868
- 0.003
+ 0.688
+ 0.092
+ 0.522
+ 0.861
+ 0.002
0.002
- 862.0
- 1304.0
+ 1601.0
+ 2528.0
1.0
@@ -703,9 +703,7 @@ Example 1: estimating the probability of a biased coin
@@ -766,7 +764,7 @@ Example 1: estimating the probability of a biased coin
-
+
-
+
@@ -835,7 +833,7 @@ Choice of priors
-
+
diff --git a/notebooks/53_difference_between_means.html b/notebooks/53_difference_between_means.html
index 03710926..199ad00c 100644
--- a/notebooks/53_difference_between_means.html
+++ b/notebooks/53_difference_between_means.html
@@ -798,7 +798,7 @@ Example movies genres
- 100.00% [4000/4000 00:02<00:00 Sampling 2 chains, 0 divergences]
+ 100.00% [4000/4000 00:01<00:00 Sampling 2 chains, 0 divergences]
Sampling 2 chains for 1_000 tune and 1_000 draw iterations (2_000 + 2_000 draws total) took 2 seconds.
@@ -847,35 +847,35 @@ Example movies genres
Intercept
- 5.959
- 0.070
- 5.758
- 6.159
+ 5.958
+ 0.068
+ 5.753
+ 6.154
0.003
- 2891.153
- 1635.0
+ 2217.972
+ 1310.0
1.0
C(genre, levels=levels)[Action]
- -0.663
+ -0.667
0.101
- -0.961
- -0.362
+ -0.957
+ -0.372
0.004
- 2584.164
- 1335.0
+ 2690.820
+ 1756.0
1.0
rating_sigma
1.527
- 0.038
- 1.429
- 1.629
+ 0.036
+ 1.430
+ 1.633
0.001
- 2429.451
- 1399.0
+ 2445.794
+ 1090.0
1.0
@@ -1011,58 +1011,58 @@ Regression, assuming unequal variances
-0.9762857097579093
+0.9792189645694596
@@ -1233,7 +1233,7 @@ BEST#
- 100.00% [4000/4000 00:03<00:00 Sampling 2 chains, 6 divergences]
+ 100.00% [4000/4000 00:03<00:00 Sampling 2 chains, 5 divergences]
Sampling 2 chains for 1_000 tune and 1_000 draw iterations (2_000 + 2_000 draws total) took 4 seconds.
@@ -1281,57 +1281,57 @@ BEST#
Intercept
- 5.978
- 0.072
- 5.774
- 6.175
- 0.003
- 1960.321
- 1340.0
+ 5.977
+ 0.074
+ 5.766
+ 6.185
+ 0.002
+ 2097.512
+ 1709.0
1.0
C(genre, levels=levels)[Action]
- -0.680
- 0.099
- -0.950
- -0.381
- 0.006
- 1847.065
- 1631.0
+ -0.677
+ 0.107
+ -0.965
+ -0.388
+ 0.004
+ 2264.192
+ 1554.0
1.0
sigma_Intercept
- 0.386
- 0.038
- 0.267
- 0.489
- 0.001
- 1890.536
- 1062.0
+ 0.388
+ 0.039
+ 0.269
+ 0.494
+ 0.002
+ 1647.180
+ 1347.0
1.0
sigma_C(genre, levels=levels)[Action]
- -0.002
+ -0.004
0.051
- -0.137
- 0.140
+ -0.142
+ 0.143
0.002
- 2222.471
- 1604.0
+ 1819.344
+ 1288.0
1.0
rating_nu
- 30.456
- 12.903
- 9.856
- 109.208
- 0.489
- 1725.582
- 1105.0
+ 31.845
+ 13.797
+ 9.915
+ 116.776
+ 0.979
+ 1586.884
+ 1283.0
1.0
@@ -1347,57 +1347,57 @@ BEST#
sigma[395]
- 1.471
- 0.055
- 1.307
- 1.630
- 0.002
- 1890.536
- 1062.0
+ 1.475
+ 0.057
+ 1.309
+ 1.638
+ 0.003
+ 1647.180
+ 1347.0
1.0
sigma[396]
- 1.471
- 0.055
- 1.307
- 1.630
- 0.002
- 1890.536
- 1062.0
+ 1.475
+ 0.057
+ 1.309
+ 1.638
+ 0.003
+ 1647.180
+ 1347.0
1.0
sigma[397]
- 1.471
- 0.055
- 1.307
- 1.630
- 0.002
- 1890.536
- 1062.0
+ 1.475
+ 0.057
+ 1.309
+ 1.638
+ 0.003
+ 1647.180
+ 1347.0
1.0
sigma[398]
- 1.471
- 0.055
- 1.307
- 1.630
- 0.002
- 1890.536
- 1062.0
+ 1.475
+ 0.057
+ 1.309
+ 1.638
+ 0.003
+ 1647.180
+ 1347.0
1.0
sigma[399]
- 1.471
- 0.055
- 1.307
- 1.630
- 0.002
- 1890.536
- 1062.0
+ 1.475
+ 0.057
+ 1.309
+ 1.638
+ 0.003
+ 1647.180
+ 1347.0
1.0
@@ -1489,7 +1489,7 @@ BEST with priors on variables instead of difference
- 100.00% [4000/4000 00:03<00:00 Sampling 2 chains, 9 divergences]
+ 100.00% [4000/4000 00:03<00:00 Sampling 2 chains, 1 divergences]
Sampling 2 chains for 1_000 tune and 1_000 draw iterations (2_000 + 2_000 draws total) took 3 seconds.
@@ -1537,57 +1537,57 @@ BEST with priors on variables instead of difference
sigma_C(genre, levels=levels)[Comedy]
- 0.384
- 0.040
- 0.260
- 0.494
+ 0.386
+ 0.038
+ 0.270
+ 0.498
0.002
- 2159.017
- 770.0
+ 1501.399
+ 1194.0
1.0
sigma_C(genre, levels=levels)[Action]
- 0.385
- 0.038
- 0.270
- 0.485
- 0.001
- 2035.420
- 757.0
+ 0.383
+ 0.036
+ 0.276
+ 0.495
+ 0.002
+ 1874.356
+ 1602.0
1.0
rating_nu
- 30.312
- 13.026
- 9.449
- 107.329
- 0.524
- 1823.599
- 623.0
+ 30.677
+ 12.750
+ 10.125
+ 115.099
+ 0.769
+ 1271.913
+ 1263.0
1.0
C(genre, levels=levels)[Comedy]
- 5.988
- 0.073
- 5.796
- 6.181
+ 5.987
+ 0.071
+ 5.786
+ 6.189
0.003
- 1611.842
- 1177.0
+ 2130.681
+ 1558.0
1.0
C(genre, levels=levels)[Action]
- 5.297
- 0.068
- 5.100
- 5.483
- 0.003
- 1663.670
- 1336.0
+ 5.293
+ 0.073
+ 5.094
+ 5.498
+ 0.002
+ 2144.733
+ 1660.0
1.0
@@ -1603,57 +1603,57 @@ BEST with priors on variables instead of difference
sigma[395]
- 1.468
- 0.059
- 1.297
- 1.639
+ 1.471
+ 0.055
+ 1.310
+ 1.646
0.002
- 2159.017
- 770.0
+ 1501.399
+ 1194.0
1.0
sigma[396]
- 1.468
- 0.059
- 1.297
- 1.639
+ 1.471
+ 0.055
+ 1.310
+ 1.646
0.002
- 2159.017
- 770.0
+ 1501.399
+ 1194.0
1.0
sigma[397]
- 1.468
- 0.059
- 1.297
- 1.639
+ 1.471
+ 0.055
+ 1.310
+ 1.646
0.002
- 2159.017
- 770.0
+ 1501.399
+ 1194.0
1.0
sigma[398]
- 1.468
- 0.059
- 1.297
- 1.639
+ 1.471
+ 0.055
+ 1.310
+ 1.646
0.002
- 2159.017
- 770.0
+ 1501.399
+ 1194.0
1.0
sigma[399]
- 1.468
- 0.059
- 1.297
- 1.639
+ 1.471
+ 0.055
+ 1.310
+ 1.646
0.002
- 2159.017
- 770.0
+ 1501.399
+ 1194.0
1.0
@@ -1668,7 +1668,7 @@ BEST with priors on variables instead of difference
-1.4696143214411443
+1.4666780300683986
diff --git a/notebooks/54_Bayesian_linear_models.html b/notebooks/54_Bayesian_linear_models.html
index c9463985..efc5d44e 100644
--- a/notebooks/54_Bayesian_linear_models.html
+++ b/notebooks/54_Bayesian_linear_models.html
@@ -682,24 +682,24 @@ Summary using mean
-
+
diff --git a/reports/notebooks/33_intro_to_NHST.err.log b/reports/notebooks/33_intro_to_NHST.err.log
deleted file mode 100644
index 67d9c013..00000000
--- a/reports/notebooks/33_intro_to_NHST.err.log
+++ /dev/null
@@ -1,30 +0,0 @@
-Traceback (most recent call last):
- File "/opt/hostedtoolcache/Python/3.8.18/x64/lib/python3.8/site-packages/jupyter_cache/executors/utils.py", line 58, in single_nb_execution
- executenb(
- File "/opt/hostedtoolcache/Python/3.8.18/x64/lib/python3.8/site-packages/nbclient/client.py", line 1305, in execute
- return NotebookClient(nb=nb, resources=resources, km=km, **kwargs).execute()
- File "/opt/hostedtoolcache/Python/3.8.18/x64/lib/python3.8/site-packages/jupyter_core/utils/__init__.py", line 165, in wrapped
- return loop.run_until_complete(inner)
- File "/opt/hostedtoolcache/Python/3.8.18/x64/lib/python3.8/asyncio/base_events.py", line 616, in run_until_complete
- return future.result()
- File "/opt/hostedtoolcache/Python/3.8.18/x64/lib/python3.8/site-packages/nbclient/client.py", line 705, in async_execute
- await self.async_execute_cell(
- File "/opt/hostedtoolcache/Python/3.8.18/x64/lib/python3.8/site-packages/nbclient/client.py", line 1058, in async_execute_cell
- await self._check_raise_for_error(cell, cell_index, exec_reply)
- File "/opt/hostedtoolcache/Python/3.8.18/x64/lib/python3.8/site-packages/nbclient/client.py", line 914, in _check_raise_for_error
- raise CellExecutionError.from_cell_and_msg(cell, exec_reply_content)
-nbclient.exceptions.CellExecutionError: An error occurred while executing the following cell:
-------------------
-# Plot helper functions
-from minsitats import nicebins
-------------------
-
-
-[0;31m---------------------------------------------------------------------------[0m
-[0;31mModuleNotFoundError[0m Traceback (most recent call last)
-Cell [0;32mIn[2], line 2[0m
-[1;32m 1[0m [38;5;66;03m# Plot helper functions[39;00m
-[0;32m----> 2[0m [38;5;28;01mfrom[39;00m [38;5;21;01mminsitats[39;00m [38;5;28;01mimport[39;00m nicebins
-
-[0;31mModuleNotFoundError[0m: No module named 'minsitats'
-
diff --git a/reports/notebooks/50_extra_bayesian_stuff.err.log b/reports/notebooks/52_Bayesian_inference_computations.err.log
similarity index 87%
rename from reports/notebooks/50_extra_bayesian_stuff.err.log
rename to reports/notebooks/52_Bayesian_inference_computations.err.log
index b512a518..25cf0fe7 100644
--- a/reports/notebooks/50_extra_bayesian_stuff.err.log
+++ b/reports/notebooks/52_Bayesian_inference_computations.err.log
@@ -30,8 +30,8 @@ nbclient.exceptions.CellTimeoutError: A cell timed out while it was being execut
The message was: Cell execution timed out.
Here is a preview of the cell contents:
-------------------
-['import pymc as pm', 'import numpy as np', 'import arviz as az', '', '# Simulated data']
+['# Declare a model in PyMC', '', 'import pymc as pm', '', 'with pm.Model() as model:']
...
-[' mu = beta0 + beta1 * x', ' y_obs = pm.Normal("y_obs", mu=mu, sigma=sigma, observed=y)', ' ', ' # Sampling', ' trace = pm.sample(2000, return_inferencedata=True)']
+[' # Specify the likelihood distribution and condition on the observed data', ' y_obs = pm.Binomial("y_obs", n=1, p=p, observed=tosses)', '', ' # Sample from the posterior distribution', ' idata = pm.sample(1000)']
-------------------
diff --git a/searchindex.js b/searchindex.js
index 6c299c2b..af873a7e 100644
--- a/searchindex.js
+++ b/searchindex.js
@@ -1 +1 @@
-Search.setIndex({"docnames": ["DESIGN", "blogposts/README", "blogposts/cut_material", "blogposts/python_for_stats", "blogposts/python_for_stats2", "casestudies/README", "datasets/README", "datasets/exercises/README", "datasets/index", "examples/ANOVA", "examples/Mann-Whitney_U-test", "examples/README", "examples/one_sample_t-test", "examples/one_sample_z-test", "examples/statistical_design", "examples/two-way_ANOVA", "examples/two_sample_equivalence_test", "examples/two_sample_t-test", "exercises/datasets/README", "exercises/datasets/exercises/README", "exercises/datasets/index", "exercises/exercises_12_practical_data", "exercises/exercises_13_descr_stats", "exercises/exercises_21_discrete_RVs", "exercises/exercises_31_estimtors", "exercises/exercises_32_confidence_intervals", "exercises/exercises_33_intro_to_NHST", "exercises/exercises_35_two_sample_tests", "exercises/problems_1_data", "exercises/solutions/datasets/README", "exercises/solutions/datasets/exercises/README", "exercises/solutions/datasets/index", "exercises/solutions/exercises_31_estimtors", "exercises/solutions/exercises_32_confidence_intervals", "intro", "notebooks/10_DATA", "notebooks/11_intro_to_data", "notebooks/12_data_in_practice", "notebooks/13_descriptive_statistics", "notebooks/20_PROB", "notebooks/21_discrete_random_vars", "notebooks/22_multiple_random_vars", "notebooks/23_inventory_discrete_dists", "notebooks/24_calculus_prerequisites", "notebooks/25_continuous_random_vars", "notebooks/26_inventory_continuous_dists", "notebooks/27_random_var_generation", "notebooks/28_random_samples", "notebooks/30_STATS", "notebooks/31_estimators", "notebooks/32_confidence_intervals", "notebooks/33_intro_to_NHST", "notebooks/34_analytical_approx", "notebooks/35_two_sample_tests", "notebooks/36_design", "notebooks/37_inventory_stats_tests", "notebooks/40_LINEAR_MODELS", "notebooks/40_extra_cut_material", "notebooks/41_simple_linear_regression", "notebooks/42_multiple_linear_regression", 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"Section 3.2 \u2014 Confidence intervals", "Section 3.3 \u2014 Introduction to hypothesis testing", "Section 3.4 \u2014 Hypothesis testing using analytical approximations", "Section 3.5 \u2014 Two-sample hypothesis tests", "Section 3.6 \u2014 Statistical design and error analysis", "Section 3.7 \u2014 Inventory of statistical tests", "Chapter 4 \u2014 Linear models", "CH4 extra stuff", "Section 4.1 \u2014 Simple linear regression", "Section 4.2 \u2014 Multiple linear regression", "Section 4.3 \u2014 Interpreting linear models", "Section 4.4 \u2014 Regression with categorical predictors", "Section 4.5 \u2014 Model selection for causal inference", "Section 4.6 \u2014 Generalized linear models", "Chapter 5 \u2014 Bayesian statistics", "Chapter 5: Extra code, drafts, and cut material", "Section 5.1 \u2014 Introduction to Bayesian statistics", "Section 5.2 \u2014 Bayesian inference computations", "Section 5.3 \u2014 Bayesian difference between means", "Section 5.4 \u2014 Bayesian linear models", "Section 5.5 \u2014 Hierarchical models", "Sampling distribution of the mean details", "Estimators for categorical variables", "OLD Section 3.4 \u2014 Analytical approximation methods", "Notebooks", "<no title>", "CUT MATERIAL", "Notebooks", "Comparing one group to a known mean (unknown population variance)", "Simulation Data Cache", "<no title>", "Chapter 3 Problems", "Chapter 4 Problems", "Create a version of a tutorial without solutions", "Introduction", "Chapter 1: DATA", "Chapter 2: Probability theory", "Chapter 3: Inferential statistics", "Chapter 4: Linear models", "Statistics overview", "Appendix", "Calculus tutorial", "Appendix D \u2014 Pandas tutorial", "Appendix C \u2014 Python tutorial", "Appendix E \u2014 Seaborn tutorial", "Lists and for-loops", "Cut material from Python tutorial", "Appendix C \u2014 Python tutorial"], "terms": {"In": [0, 2, 3, 4, 17, 37, 38, 39, 40, 43, 44, 46, 47, 49, 50, 51, 53, 57, 61, 63, 65, 68, 74, 76, 77, 78, 80, 81, 83, 84, 86, 87, 88, 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