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Also, doesn't the choice we do in gp_hedge also favours exploitation? As I read the code, it randomly choses which acquisition function to use, with the probabilities depending on the NEW surrogate functions predictions for the OLD suggested next points. But an exploring acquisition function will suggest a point that has a low expected result. So if the last choice did not go with the exploring acquisition function, the new surrogate model will predict that it as a bad point, and if the last choice did go with the exploring acquisition function, it will only have an advantage in the unlikely event that it was much better than expected. Let me know if that doesn't make sense, I have a feeling I did not explain it as well as I wanted to. |
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If
acq_func = "gp_hedge"
andxi
is set too low, there is a tendency for consecutive suggested points to be very close.Playing around, this behaviour seems to be typical of
acq_func = "PI"
. I wonder if what really happens is thatLCB
is always evaluated to be bad, andEI
becomes bad ifxi
is slow, soPI
dominates?Should we remove
PI
as an option whenacq_func = "gp_hedge"
? It doesn't seem to give very good results.Note that I have only tested this on a modified Branin-Hoo score function, so there has NOT been done enough work to come to a decision.
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