credit_risk_ensemble.ipynb

{
 "cells": [
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 1,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "import warnings\n",
    "warnings.filterwarnings('ignore')"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 2,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "import numpy as np\n",
    "import pandas as pd\n",
    "from pathlib import Path\n",
    "from collections import Counter"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 3,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "from sklearn.metrics import balanced_accuracy_score\n",
    "from sklearn.metrics import confusion_matrix\n",
    "from imblearn.metrics import classification_report_imbalanced"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "metadata": {},
   "source": [
    "# Read the CSV and Perform Basic Data Cleaning"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 4,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# https://help.lendingclub.com/hc/en-us/articles/215488038-What-do-the-different-Note-statuses-mean-\n",
    "\n",
    "columns = [\n",
    "    \"loan_amnt\", \"int_rate\", \"installment\", \"home_ownership\",\n",
    "    \"annual_inc\", \"verification_status\", \"issue_d\", \"loan_status\",\n",
    "    \"pymnt_plan\", \"dti\", \"delinq_2yrs\", \"inq_last_6mths\",\n",
    "    \"open_acc\", \"pub_rec\", \"revol_bal\", \"total_acc\",\n",
    "    \"initial_list_status\", \"out_prncp\", \"out_prncp_inv\", \"total_pymnt\",\n",
    "    \"total_pymnt_inv\", \"total_rec_prncp\", \"total_rec_int\", \"total_rec_late_fee\",\n",
    "    \"recoveries\", \"collection_recovery_fee\", \"last_pymnt_amnt\", \"next_pymnt_d\",\n",
    "    \"collections_12_mths_ex_med\", \"policy_code\", \"application_type\", \"acc_now_delinq\",\n",
    "    \"tot_coll_amt\", \"tot_cur_bal\", \"open_acc_6m\", \"open_act_il\",\n",
    "    \"open_il_12m\", \"open_il_24m\", \"mths_since_rcnt_il\", \"total_bal_il\",\n",
    "    \"il_util\", \"open_rv_12m\", \"open_rv_24m\", \"max_bal_bc\",\n",
    "    \"all_util\", \"total_rev_hi_lim\", \"inq_fi\", \"total_cu_tl\",\n",
    "    \"inq_last_12m\", \"acc_open_past_24mths\", \"avg_cur_bal\", \"bc_open_to_buy\",\n",
    "    \"bc_util\", \"chargeoff_within_12_mths\", \"delinq_amnt\", \"mo_sin_old_il_acct\",\n",
    "    \"mo_sin_old_rev_tl_op\", \"mo_sin_rcnt_rev_tl_op\", \"mo_sin_rcnt_tl\", \"mort_acc\",\n",
    "    \"mths_since_recent_bc\", \"mths_since_recent_inq\", \"num_accts_ever_120_pd\", \"num_actv_bc_tl\",\n",
    "    \"num_actv_rev_tl\", \"num_bc_sats\", \"num_bc_tl\", \"num_il_tl\",\n",
    "    \"num_op_rev_tl\", \"num_rev_accts\", \"num_rev_tl_bal_gt_0\",\n",
    "    \"num_sats\", \"num_tl_120dpd_2m\", \"num_tl_30dpd\", \"num_tl_90g_dpd_24m\",\n",
    "    \"num_tl_op_past_12m\", \"pct_tl_nvr_dlq\", \"percent_bc_gt_75\", \"pub_rec_bankruptcies\",\n",
    "    \"tax_liens\", \"tot_hi_cred_lim\", \"total_bal_ex_mort\", \"total_bc_limit\",\n",
    "    \"total_il_high_credit_limit\", \"hardship_flag\", \"debt_settlement_flag\"\n",
    "]\n",
    "\n",
    "target = [\"loan_status\"]"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 5,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/html": [
       "<div>\n",
       "<style scoped>\n",
       "    .dataframe tbody tr th:only-of-type {\n",
       "        vertical-align: middle;\n",
       "    }\n",
       "\n",
       "    .dataframe tbody tr th {\n",
       "        vertical-align: top;\n",
       "    }\n",
       "\n",
       "    .dataframe thead th {\n",
       "        text-align: right;\n",
       "    }\n",
       "</style>\n",
       "<table border=\"1\" class=\"dataframe\">\n",
       "  <thead>\n",
       "    <tr style=\"text-align: right;\">\n",
       "      <th></th>\n",
       "      <th>loan_amnt</th>\n",
       "      <th>int_rate</th>\n",
       "      <th>installment</th>\n",
       "      <th>home_ownership</th>\n",
       "      <th>annual_inc</th>\n",
       "      <th>verification_status</th>\n",
       "      <th>issue_d</th>\n",
       "      <th>loan_status</th>\n",
       "      <th>pymnt_plan</th>\n",
       "      <th>dti</th>\n",
       "      <th>...</th>\n",
       "      <th>pct_tl_nvr_dlq</th>\n",
       "      <th>percent_bc_gt_75</th>\n",
       "      <th>pub_rec_bankruptcies</th>\n",
       "      <th>tax_liens</th>\n",
       "      <th>tot_hi_cred_lim</th>\n",
       "      <th>total_bal_ex_mort</th>\n",
       "      <th>total_bc_limit</th>\n",
       "      <th>total_il_high_credit_limit</th>\n",
       "      <th>hardship_flag</th>\n",
       "      <th>debt_settlement_flag</th>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "  </thead>\n",
       "  <tbody>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>0</th>\n",
       "      <td>10500.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.1719</td>\n",
       "      <td>375.35</td>\n",
       "      <td>RENT</td>\n",
       "      <td>66000.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>Source Verified</td>\n",
       "      <td>Mar-2019</td>\n",
       "      <td>low_risk</td>\n",
       "      <td>n</td>\n",
       "      <td>27.24</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>85.7</td>\n",
       "      <td>100.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>65687.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>38199.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>2000.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>61987.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>N</td>\n",
       "      <td>N</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>1</th>\n",
       "      <td>25000.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.2000</td>\n",
       "      <td>929.09</td>\n",
       "      <td>MORTGAGE</td>\n",
       "      <td>105000.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>Verified</td>\n",
       "      <td>Mar-2019</td>\n",
       "      <td>low_risk</td>\n",
       "      <td>n</td>\n",
       "      <td>20.23</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>91.2</td>\n",
       "      <td>50.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>271427.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>60641.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>41200.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>49197.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>N</td>\n",
       "      <td>N</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>2</th>\n",
       "      <td>20000.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.2000</td>\n",
       "      <td>529.88</td>\n",
       "      <td>MORTGAGE</td>\n",
       "      <td>56000.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>Verified</td>\n",
       "      <td>Mar-2019</td>\n",
       "      <td>low_risk</td>\n",
       "      <td>n</td>\n",
       "      <td>24.26</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>66.7</td>\n",
       "      <td>50.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>60644.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>45684.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>7500.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>43144.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>N</td>\n",
       "      <td>N</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>3</th>\n",
       "      <td>10000.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.1640</td>\n",
       "      <td>353.55</td>\n",
       "      <td>RENT</td>\n",
       "      <td>92000.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>Verified</td>\n",
       "      <td>Mar-2019</td>\n",
       "      <td>low_risk</td>\n",
       "      <td>n</td>\n",
       "      <td>31.44</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>100.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>50.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>99506.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>68784.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>19700.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>76506.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>N</td>\n",
       "      <td>N</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>4</th>\n",
       "      <td>22000.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.1474</td>\n",
       "      <td>520.39</td>\n",
       "      <td>MORTGAGE</td>\n",
       "      <td>52000.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>Not Verified</td>\n",
       "      <td>Mar-2019</td>\n",
       "      <td>low_risk</td>\n",
       "      <td>n</td>\n",
       "      <td>18.76</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>100.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>219750.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>25919.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>27600.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>20000.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>N</td>\n",
       "      <td>N</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "  </tbody>\n",
       "</table>\n",
       "<p>5 rows × 86 columns</p>\n",
       "</div>"
      ],
      "text/plain": [
       "   loan_amnt  int_rate  installment home_ownership  annual_inc  \\\n",
       "0    10500.0    0.1719       375.35           RENT     66000.0   \n",
       "1    25000.0    0.2000       929.09       MORTGAGE    105000.0   \n",
       "2    20000.0    0.2000       529.88       MORTGAGE     56000.0   \n",
       "3    10000.0    0.1640       353.55           RENT     92000.0   \n",
       "4    22000.0    0.1474       520.39       MORTGAGE     52000.0   \n",
       "\n",
       "  verification_status   issue_d loan_status pymnt_plan    dti  ...  \\\n",
       "0     Source Verified  Mar-2019    low_risk          n  27.24  ...   \n",
       "1            Verified  Mar-2019    low_risk          n  20.23  ...   \n",
       "2            Verified  Mar-2019    low_risk          n  24.26  ...   \n",
       "3            Verified  Mar-2019    low_risk          n  31.44  ...   \n",
       "4        Not Verified  Mar-2019    low_risk          n  18.76  ...   \n",
       "\n",
       "   pct_tl_nvr_dlq  percent_bc_gt_75  pub_rec_bankruptcies  tax_liens  \\\n",
       "0            85.7             100.0                   0.0        0.0   \n",
       "1            91.2              50.0                   1.0        0.0   \n",
       "2            66.7              50.0                   0.0        0.0   \n",
       "3           100.0              50.0                   1.0        0.0   \n",
       "4           100.0               0.0                   0.0        0.0   \n",
       "\n",
       "   tot_hi_cred_lim  total_bal_ex_mort total_bc_limit  \\\n",
       "0          65687.0            38199.0         2000.0   \n",
       "1         271427.0            60641.0        41200.0   \n",
       "2          60644.0            45684.0         7500.0   \n",
       "3          99506.0            68784.0        19700.0   \n",
       "4         219750.0            25919.0        27600.0   \n",
       "\n",
       "   total_il_high_credit_limit  hardship_flag  debt_settlement_flag  \n",
       "0                     61987.0              N                     N  \n",
       "1                     49197.0              N                     N  \n",
       "2                     43144.0              N                     N  \n",
       "3                     76506.0              N                     N  \n",
       "4                     20000.0              N                     N  \n",
       "\n",
       "[5 rows x 86 columns]"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 5,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Load the data\n",
    "file_path = Path('LoanStats_2019Q1.csv')\n",
    "df = pd.read_csv(file_path, skiprows=1)[:-2]\n",
    "df = df.loc[:, columns].copy()\n",
    "\n",
    "# Drop the null columns where all values are null\n",
    "df = df.dropna(axis='columns', how='all')\n",
    "\n",
    "# Drop the null rows\n",
    "df = df.dropna()\n",
    "\n",
    "# Remove the `Issued` loan status\n",
    "issued_mask = df['loan_status'] != 'Issued'\n",
    "df = df.loc[issued_mask]\n",
    "\n",
    "# convert interest rate to numerical\n",
    "df['int_rate'] = df['int_rate'].str.replace('%', '')\n",
    "df['int_rate'] = df['int_rate'].astype('float') / 100\n",
    "\n",
    "\n",
    "# Convert the target column values to low_risk and high_risk based on their values\n",
    "x = {'Current': 'low_risk'}   \n",
    "df = df.replace(x)\n",
    "\n",
    "x = dict.fromkeys(['Late (31-120 days)', 'Late (16-30 days)', 'Default', 'In Grace Period'], 'high_risk')    \n",
    "df = df.replace(x)\n",
    "\n",
    "df.reset_index(inplace=True, drop=True)\n",
    "\n",
    "df.head()"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "metadata": {},
   "source": [
    "# Split the Data into Training and Testing"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 6,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# Create our features\n",
    "X = pd.get_dummies(df, columns=[\"home_ownership\",\"verification_status\", \"issue_d\", \"pymnt_plan\",\"initial_list_status\",\"next_pymnt_d\", \"application_type\",\"hardship_flag\", \"debt_settlement_flag\"])\n",
    "X = X.drop([\"loan_status\"], axis=1)\n",
    "\n",
    "# Create our target\n",
    "y = df[\"loan_status\"]"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 7,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/html": [
       "<div>\n",
       "<style scoped>\n",
       "    .dataframe tbody tr th:only-of-type {\n",
       "        vertical-align: middle;\n",
       "    }\n",
       "\n",
       "    .dataframe tbody tr th {\n",
       "        vertical-align: top;\n",
       "    }\n",
       "\n",
       "    .dataframe thead th {\n",
       "        text-align: right;\n",
       "    }\n",
       "</style>\n",
       "<table border=\"1\" class=\"dataframe\">\n",
       "  <thead>\n",
       "    <tr style=\"text-align: right;\">\n",
       "      <th></th>\n",
       "      <th>loan_amnt</th>\n",
       "      <th>int_rate</th>\n",
       "      <th>installment</th>\n",
       "      <th>annual_inc</th>\n",
       "      <th>dti</th>\n",
       "      <th>delinq_2yrs</th>\n",
       "      <th>inq_last_6mths</th>\n",
       "      <th>open_acc</th>\n",
       "      <th>pub_rec</th>\n",
       "      <th>revol_bal</th>\n",
       "      <th>...</th>\n",
       "      <th>issue_d_Mar-2019</th>\n",
       "      <th>pymnt_plan_n</th>\n",
       "      <th>initial_list_status_f</th>\n",
       "      <th>initial_list_status_w</th>\n",
       "      <th>next_pymnt_d_Apr-2019</th>\n",
       "      <th>next_pymnt_d_May-2019</th>\n",
       "      <th>application_type_Individual</th>\n",
       "      <th>application_type_Joint App</th>\n",
       "      <th>hardship_flag_N</th>\n",
       "      <th>debt_settlement_flag_N</th>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "  </thead>\n",
       "  <tbody>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>count</th>\n",
       "      <td>68817.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>68817.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>68817.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>6.881700e+04</td>\n",
       "      <td>68817.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>68817.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>68817.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>68817.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>68817.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>68817.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>68817.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>68817.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>68817.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>68817.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>68817.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>68817.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>68817.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>68817.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>68817.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>68817.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>mean</th>\n",
       "      <td>16677.594562</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.127718</td>\n",
       "      <td>480.652863</td>\n",
       "      <td>8.821371e+04</td>\n",
       "      <td>21.778153</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.217766</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.497697</td>\n",
       "      <td>12.587340</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.126030</td>\n",
       "      <td>17604.142828</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.177238</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.123879</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.876121</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.383161</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.616839</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.860340</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.139660</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>std</th>\n",
       "      <td>10277.348590</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.048130</td>\n",
       "      <td>288.062432</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.155800e+05</td>\n",
       "      <td>20.199244</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.718367</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.758122</td>\n",
       "      <td>6.022869</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.336797</td>\n",
       "      <td>21835.880400</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.381873</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.329446</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.329446</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.486161</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.486161</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.346637</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.346637</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>min</th>\n",
       "      <td>1000.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.060000</td>\n",
       "      <td>30.890000</td>\n",
       "      <td>4.000000e+01</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>2.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>25%</th>\n",
       "      <td>9000.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.088100</td>\n",
       "      <td>265.730000</td>\n",
       "      <td>5.000000e+04</td>\n",
       "      <td>13.890000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>8.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>6293.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>50%</th>\n",
       "      <td>15000.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.118000</td>\n",
       "      <td>404.560000</td>\n",
       "      <td>7.300000e+04</td>\n",
       "      <td>19.760000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>11.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>12068.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>75%</th>\n",
       "      <td>24000.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.155700</td>\n",
       "      <td>648.100000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.040000e+05</td>\n",
       "      <td>26.660000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>16.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>21735.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>max</th>\n",
       "      <td>40000.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>0.308400</td>\n",
       "      <td>1676.230000</td>\n",
       "      <td>8.797500e+06</td>\n",
       "      <td>999.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>18.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>5.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>72.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>4.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>587191.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>...</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.000000</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "      <td>1.0</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "  </tbody>\n",
       "</table>\n",
       "<p>8 rows × 95 columns</p>\n",
       "</div>"
      ],
      "text/plain": [
       "          loan_amnt      int_rate   installment    annual_inc           dti  \\\n",
       "count  68817.000000  68817.000000  68817.000000  6.881700e+04  68817.000000   \n",
       "mean   16677.594562      0.127718    480.652863  8.821371e+04     21.778153   \n",
       "std    10277.348590      0.048130    288.062432  1.155800e+05     20.199244   \n",
       "min     1000.000000      0.060000     30.890000  4.000000e+01      0.000000   \n",
       "25%     9000.000000      0.088100    265.730000  5.000000e+04     13.890000   \n",
       "50%    15000.000000      0.118000    404.560000  7.300000e+04     19.760000   \n",
       "75%    24000.000000      0.155700    648.100000  1.040000e+05     26.660000   \n",
       "max    40000.000000      0.308400   1676.230000  8.797500e+06    999.000000   \n",
       "\n",
       "        delinq_2yrs  inq_last_6mths      open_acc       pub_rec  \\\n",
       "count  68817.000000    68817.000000  68817.000000  68817.000000   \n",
       "mean       0.217766        0.497697     12.587340      0.126030   \n",
       "std        0.718367        0.758122      6.022869      0.336797   \n",
       "min        0.000000        0.000000      2.000000      0.000000   \n",
       "25%        0.000000        0.000000      8.000000      0.000000   \n",
       "50%        0.000000        0.000000     11.000000      0.000000   \n",
       "75%        0.000000        1.000000     16.000000      0.000000   \n",
       "max       18.000000        5.000000     72.000000      4.000000   \n",
       "\n",
       "           revol_bal  ...  issue_d_Mar-2019  pymnt_plan_n  \\\n",
       "count   68817.000000  ...      68817.000000       68817.0   \n",
       "mean    17604.142828  ...          0.177238           1.0   \n",
       "std     21835.880400  ...          0.381873           0.0   \n",
       "min         0.000000  ...          0.000000           1.0   \n",
       "25%      6293.000000  ...          0.000000           1.0   \n",
       "50%     12068.000000  ...          0.000000           1.0   \n",
       "75%     21735.000000  ...          0.000000           1.0   \n",
       "max    587191.000000  ...          1.000000           1.0   \n",
       "\n",
       "       initial_list_status_f  initial_list_status_w  next_pymnt_d_Apr-2019  \\\n",
       "count           68817.000000           68817.000000           68817.000000   \n",
       "mean                0.123879               0.876121               0.383161   \n",
       "std                 0.329446               0.329446               0.486161   \n",
       "min                 0.000000               0.000000               0.000000   \n",
       "25%                 0.000000               1.000000               0.000000   \n",
       "50%                 0.000000               1.000000               0.000000   \n",
       "75%                 0.000000               1.000000               1.000000   \n",
       "max                 1.000000               1.000000               1.000000   \n",
       "\n",
       "       next_pymnt_d_May-2019  application_type_Individual  \\\n",
       "count           68817.000000                 68817.000000   \n",
       "mean                0.616839                     0.860340   \n",
       "std                 0.486161                     0.346637   \n",
       "min                 0.000000                     0.000000   \n",
       "25%                 0.000000                     1.000000   \n",
       "50%                 1.000000                     1.000000   \n",
       "75%                 1.000000                     1.000000   \n",
       "max                 1.000000                     1.000000   \n",
       "\n",
       "       application_type_Joint App  hardship_flag_N  debt_settlement_flag_N  \n",
       "count                68817.000000          68817.0                 68817.0  \n",
       "mean                     0.139660              1.0                     1.0  \n",
       "std                      0.346637              0.0                     0.0  \n",
       "min                      0.000000              1.0                     1.0  \n",
       "25%                      0.000000              1.0                     1.0  \n",
       "50%                      0.000000              1.0                     1.0  \n",
       "75%                      0.000000              1.0                     1.0  \n",
       "max                      1.000000              1.0                     1.0  \n",
       "\n",
       "[8 rows x 95 columns]"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 7,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "X.describe()"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 8,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "low_risk     68470\n",
       "high_risk      347\n",
       "Name: loan_status, dtype: int64"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 8,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Check the balance of our target values\n",
    "y.value_counts()"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 9,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "Counter({'low_risk': 51366, 'high_risk': 246})"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 9,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split\n",
    "X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, random_state=1)\n",
    "Counter(y_train)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "metadata": {},
   "source": [
    "# Ensemble Learners\n",
    "\n",
    "In this section, you will compare two ensemble algorithms to determine which algorithm results in the best performance. You will train a Balanced Random Forest Classifier and an Easy Ensemble AdaBoost classifier . For each algorithm, be sure to complete the folliowing steps:\n",
    "\n",
    "1. Train the model using the training data. \n",
    "2. Calculate the balanced accuracy score from sklearn.metrics.\n",
    "3. Print the confusion matrix from sklearn.metrics.\n",
    "4. Generate a classication report using the `imbalanced_classification_report` from imbalanced-learn.\n",
    "5. For the Balanced Random Forest Classifier onely, print the feature importance sorted in descending order (most important feature to least important) along with the feature score\n",
    "\n",
    "Note: Use a random state of 1 for each algorithm to ensure consistency between tests"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "metadata": {},
   "source": [
    "### Balanced Random Forest Classifier"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 10,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "array(['low_risk', 'low_risk', 'high_risk', ..., 'low_risk', 'low_risk',\n",
       "       'low_risk'], dtype=object)"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 10,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Resample the training data with the BalancedRandomForestClassifier\n",
    "from imblearn.ensemble import BalancedRandomForestClassifier\n",
    "\n",
    "brf_model = BalancedRandomForestClassifier(n_estimators=100, random_state=1)\n",
    "\n",
    "# Fitting the model\n",
    "brf_model = brf_model.fit(X_train, y_train)\n",
    "\n",
    "# Making predictions using the testing data.\n",
    "predictions = brf_model.predict(X_test)\n",
    "predictions"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 11,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "Confusion Matrix\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "array([[   71,    30],\n",
       "       [ 2153, 14951]])"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 11,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Display the confusion matrix\n",
    "print(\"Confusion Matrix\")\n",
    "y_pred = brf_model.predict(X_test)\n",
    "confusion_matrix(y_test, y_pred)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 12,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "Balanced Random Forest Confusion Matrix\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "data": {
      "text/html": [
       "<div>\n",
       "<style scoped>\n",
       "    .dataframe tbody tr th:only-of-type {\n",
       "        vertical-align: middle;\n",
       "    }\n",
       "\n",
       "    .dataframe tbody tr th {\n",
       "        vertical-align: top;\n",
       "    }\n",
       "\n",
       "    .dataframe thead th {\n",
       "        text-align: right;\n",
       "    }\n",
       "</style>\n",
       "<table border=\"1\" class=\"dataframe\">\n",
       "  <thead>\n",
       "    <tr style=\"text-align: right;\">\n",
       "      <th></th>\n",
       "      <th>Predicted High Risk</th>\n",
       "      <th>Predicted Low Risk</th>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "  </thead>\n",
       "  <tbody>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>Actual High Risk</th>\n",
       "      <td>71</td>\n",
       "      <td>30</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>Actual Low Risk</th>\n",
       "      <td>2153</td>\n",
       "      <td>14951</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "  </tbody>\n",
       "</table>\n",
       "</div>"
      ],
      "text/plain": [
       "                  Predicted High Risk  Predicted Low Risk\n",
       "Actual High Risk                   71                  30\n",
       "Actual Low Risk                  2153               14951"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 12,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Confusion matrix as a DataFrame\n",
    "cm = confusion_matrix(y_test, predictions)\n",
    "print(\"Balanced Random Forest Confusion Matrix\")\n",
    "\n",
    "# Create a DataFrame for the confusion matrix.\n",
    "cm_df = pd.DataFrame(\n",
    "    cm, index=[\"Actual High Risk\", \"Actual Low Risk\"], columns=[\"Predicted High Risk\", \"Predicted Low Risk\"])\n",
    "\n",
    "cm_df"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 13,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "Balanced Accuracy Score\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "0.7885466545953005"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 13,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Calculated the balanced accuracy score\n",
    "print(\"Balanced Accuracy Score\")\n",
    "balanced_accuracy_score(y_test, y_pred)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 14,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "Classification Report\n",
      "                   pre       rec       spe        f1       geo       iba       sup\n",
      "\n",
      "  high_risk       0.03      0.70      0.87      0.06      0.78      0.60       101\n",
      "   low_risk       1.00      0.87      0.70      0.93      0.78      0.62     17104\n",
      "\n",
      "avg / total       0.99      0.87      0.70      0.93      0.78      0.62     17205\n",
      "\n"
     ]
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Print the imbalanced classification report\n",
    "print(\"Classification Report\")\n",
    "print(classification_report_imbalanced(y_test, y_pred))"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 15,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "Feature Importance in descending order\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "[(0.07876809003486353, 'total_rec_prncp'),\n",
       " (0.05883806887524815, 'total_pymnt'),\n",
       " (0.05625613759225244, 'total_pymnt_inv'),\n",
       " (0.05355513093134745, 'total_rec_int'),\n",
       " (0.0500331813446525, 'last_pymnt_amnt'),\n",
       " (0.02966959508700077, 'int_rate'),\n",
       " (0.021129125328012987, 'issue_d_Jan-2019'),\n",
       " (0.01980242888931366, 'installment'),\n",
       " (0.01747062730041245, 'dti'),\n",
       " (0.016858293184471483, 'out_prncp_inv'),\n",
       " (0.01641297102011915, 'total_bal_ex_mort'),\n",
       " (0.015220714904737209, 'mths_since_recent_inq'),\n",
       " (0.015115240704562424, 'issue_d_Mar-2019'),\n",
       " (0.014926655663448373, 'revol_bal'),\n",
       " (0.014899352873994727, 'max_bal_bc'),\n",
       " (0.014881069023035237, 'out_prncp'),\n",
       " (0.014859446582326507, 'mo_sin_old_rev_tl_op'),\n",
       " (0.014832564501144122, 'annual_inc'),\n",
       " (0.014613819728800227, 'bc_util'),\n",
       " (0.014487685026878092, 'tot_hi_cred_lim'),\n",
       " (0.013921085423763812, 'mo_sin_old_il_acct'),\n",
       " (0.013534131593418711, 'mths_since_rcnt_il'),\n",
       " (0.013364759441576994, 'total_rev_hi_lim'),\n",
       " (0.01332289882475225, 'avg_cur_bal'),\n",
       " (0.013265926832893358, 'bc_open_to_buy'),\n",
       " (0.01311545089813887, 'il_util'),\n",
       " (0.01304530062898567, 'total_bc_limit'),\n",
       " (0.0130446065288952, 'all_util'),\n",
       " (0.013030046723135838, 'pct_tl_nvr_dlq'),\n",
       " (0.012855901280381887, 'tot_cur_bal'),\n",
       " (0.01279908506759016, 'total_il_high_credit_limit'),\n",
       " (0.012773576514405109, 'inq_last_12m'),\n",
       " (0.011968994260747247, 'total_bal_il'),\n",
       " (0.010982948025240226, 'mo_sin_rcnt_tl'),\n",
       " (0.010579906006851516, 'loan_amnt'),\n",
       " (0.010575363106694519, 'mths_since_recent_bc'),\n",
       " (0.010320067009550682, 'num_rev_accts'),\n",
       " (0.010209212170253059, 'total_acc'),\n",
       " (0.009753839399393215, 'open_acc_6m'),\n",
       " (0.009662050208879065, 'num_il_tl'),\n",
       " (0.009632472481996241, 'num_actv_rev_tl'),\n",
       " (0.009393346012674945, 'mo_sin_rcnt_rev_tl_op'),\n",
       " (0.00872448189550355, 'num_bc_tl'),\n",
       " (0.008628938824946404, 'num_sats'),\n",
       " (0.008330966254402506, 'num_op_rev_tl'),\n",
       " (0.007570544824579072, 'num_bc_sats'),\n",
       " (0.007548811505974241, 'num_tl_op_past_12m'),\n",
       " (0.007489717491934961, 'open_act_il'),\n",
       " (0.007382231721841728, 'open_acc'),\n",
       " (0.007272665006598051, 'num_rev_tl_bal_gt_0'),\n",
       " (0.006998827313196186, 'total_rec_late_fee'),\n",
       " (0.006866662924995743, 'num_actv_bc_tl'),\n",
       " (0.006714495620628373, 'acc_open_past_24mths'),\n",
       " (0.006561432872333855, 'open_il_24m'),\n",
       " (0.006240598451492287, 'inq_fi'),\n",
       " (0.006216409633238659, 'inq_last_6mths'),\n",
       " (0.0061708920490257954, 'mort_acc'),\n",
       " (0.006083218608279307, 'total_cu_tl'),\n",
       " (0.005640206440873574, 'issue_d_Feb-2019'),\n",
       " (0.005634546230136711, 'open_rv_24m'),\n",
       " (0.005131046989565006, 'percent_bc_gt_75'),\n",
       " (0.005106000423451099, 'next_pymnt_d_Apr-2019'),\n",
       " (0.005036652777545191, 'next_pymnt_d_May-2019'),\n",
       " (0.004860024796675963, 'open_il_12m'),\n",
       " (0.004198582835532627, 'tot_coll_amt'),\n",
       " (0.004018916067963884, 'open_rv_12m'),\n",
       " (0.0037571920083085985, 'num_accts_ever_120_pd'),\n",
       " (0.003082852259926947, 'delinq_2yrs'),\n",
       " (0.0029133221443170495, 'home_ownership_RENT'),\n",
       " (0.002824523629114469, 'home_ownership_OWN'),\n",
       " (0.002204946377565813, 'verification_status_Not Verified'),\n",
       " (0.0020912385738361574, 'application_type_Joint App'),\n",
       " (0.002015258269512615, 'pub_rec'),\n",
       " (0.0019325773153555006, 'verification_status_Verified'),\n",
       " (0.001901604006185586, 'application_type_Individual'),\n",
       " (0.0015046400907840708, 'verification_status_Source Verified'),\n",
       " (0.0014589723334940362, 'home_ownership_MORTGAGE'),\n",
       " (0.0013727925120781853, 'pub_rec_bankruptcies'),\n",
       " (0.0011520703643731528, 'initial_list_status_w'),\n",
       " (0.0011005704165634263, 'initial_list_status_f'),\n",
       " (0.0009956935704327383, 'num_tl_90g_dpd_24m'),\n",
       " (0.0007150315534652695, 'collections_12_mths_ex_med'),\n",
       " (0.0004955956183545533, 'home_ownership_ANY'),\n",
       " (0.0002730803587770788, 'chargeoff_within_12_mths'),\n",
       " (0.0, 'tax_liens'),\n",
       " (0.0, 'recoveries'),\n",
       " (0.0, 'pymnt_plan_n'),\n",
       " (0.0, 'policy_code'),\n",
       " (0.0, 'num_tl_30dpd'),\n",
       " (0.0, 'num_tl_120dpd_2m'),\n",
       " (0.0, 'hardship_flag_N'),\n",
       " (0.0, 'delinq_amnt'),\n",
       " (0.0, 'debt_settlement_flag_N'),\n",
       " (0.0, 'collection_recovery_fee'),\n",
       " (0.0, 'acc_now_delinq')]"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 15,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# List the features sorted in descending order by feature importance\n",
    "importances = brf_model.feature_importances_\n",
    "print(\"Feature Importance in descending order\")\n",
    "sorted(zip(brf_model.feature_importances_, X.columns), reverse=True)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "metadata": {},
   "source": [
    "### Easy Ensemble AdaBoost Classifier"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 16,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "array(['low_risk', 'low_risk', 'low_risk', ..., 'low_risk', 'low_risk',\n",
       "       'low_risk'], dtype=object)"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 16,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Train the EasyEnsembleClassifier\n",
    "from imblearn.ensemble import EasyEnsembleClassifier\n",
    "eec_model = EasyEnsembleClassifier(n_estimators=100, random_state=1)\n",
    "\n",
    "# Fitting the model\n",
    "eec_model = eec_model.fit(X_train, y_train)\n",
    "\n",
    "# Making predictions using the testing data.\n",
    "predictions = eec_model.predict(X_test)\n",
    "predictions"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 17,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "Easy Ensemble AdaBoost Classifier Confusion Matrix\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "array([[   93,     8],\n",
       "       [  983, 16121]])"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 17,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Display the confusion matrix\n",
    "y_pred = eec_model.predict(X_test)\n",
    "print(\"Easy Ensemble AdaBoost Classifier Confusion Matrix\")\n",
    "confusion_matrix(y_test, y_pred)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 18,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "Easy Ensemble AdaBoost Classifier Confusion Matrix\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "data": {
      "text/html": [
       "<div>\n",
       "<style scoped>\n",
       "    .dataframe tbody tr th:only-of-type {\n",
       "        vertical-align: middle;\n",
       "    }\n",
       "\n",
       "    .dataframe tbody tr th {\n",
       "        vertical-align: top;\n",
       "    }\n",
       "\n",
       "    .dataframe thead th {\n",
       "        text-align: right;\n",
       "    }\n",
       "</style>\n",
       "<table border=\"1\" class=\"dataframe\">\n",
       "  <thead>\n",
       "    <tr style=\"text-align: right;\">\n",
       "      <th></th>\n",
       "      <th>Predicted High Risk</th>\n",
       "      <th>Predicted Low Risk</th>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "  </thead>\n",
       "  <tbody>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>Actual High Risk</th>\n",
       "      <td>93</td>\n",
       "      <td>8</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "    <tr>\n",
       "      <th>Actual Low Risk</th>\n",
       "      <td>983</td>\n",
       "      <td>16121</td>\n",
       "    </tr>\n",
       "  </tbody>\n",
       "</table>\n",
       "</div>"
      ],
      "text/plain": [
       "                  Predicted High Risk  Predicted Low Risk\n",
       "Actual High Risk                   93                   8\n",
       "Actual Low Risk                   983               16121"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 18,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Confusion matrix as a DataFrame\n",
    "cm = confusion_matrix(y_test, predictions)\n",
    "print(\"Easy Ensemble AdaBoost Classifier Confusion Matrix\")\n",
    "\n",
    "# Create a DataFrame for the confusion matrix.\n",
    "cm_df = pd.DataFrame(\n",
    "    cm, index=[\"Actual High Risk\", \"Actual Low Risk\"], columns=[\"Predicted High Risk\", \"Predicted Low Risk\"])\n",
    "\n",
    "cm_df"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 19,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "Easy Ensemble AdaBoost Classifier Balanced Accuracy Score\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "0.9316600714093861"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 19,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Calculated the balanced accuracy score\n",
    "print(\"Easy Ensemble AdaBoost Classifier Balanced Accuracy Score\")\n",
    "balanced_accuracy_score(y_test, y_pred)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 20,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "Easy Ensemble AdaBoost Classifier Classification Report\n",
      "                   pre       rec       spe        f1       geo       iba       sup\n",
      "\n",
      "  high_risk       0.09      0.92      0.94      0.16      0.93      0.87       101\n",
      "   low_risk       1.00      0.94      0.92      0.97      0.93      0.87     17104\n",
      "\n",
      "avg / total       0.99      0.94      0.92      0.97      0.93      0.87     17205\n",
      "\n"
     ]
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Print the imbalanced classification report\n",
    "print(\"Easy Ensemble AdaBoost Classifier Classification Report\")\n",
    "print(classification_report_imbalanced(y_test, y_pred))"
   ]
  }
 ],
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