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Analysis of what is causing models to break. #481

Closed
Tracked by #405
SamuelBrand1 opened this issue Oct 7, 2024 · 3 comments · Fixed by #489
Closed
Tracked by #405

Analysis of what is causing models to break. #481

SamuelBrand1 opened this issue Oct 7, 2024 · 3 comments · Fixed by #489

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@SamuelBrand1
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@SamuelBrand1
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At the moment as discussed elsewhere and f2f with @seabbs the working hypothesis is that wild priors are causing numerical instability.

As of current state of #445 we can run and gather evidence of this over all the scenarios and model configs.

@SamuelBrand1
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I think this is worth doing as part of SI explaining how we arrived at specific priors for specific models/scenarios.

IMO, in good practice papers with Bayesian analysis the selection of priors is an important topic. The added complexity here is that we are looking a comparison between a fairly large number of models, scenarios and time horizons (100s) and therefore we should document prior selection with that in mind.

@SamuelBrand1
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I'm lowering the scope to identifying the problem.

@SamuelBrand1 SamuelBrand1 changed the title Analysis of what is cause models to break and fix. Analysis of what is causing models to break. Oct 9, 2024
@SamuelBrand1 SamuelBrand1 linked a pull request Oct 9, 2024 that will close this issue
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