Epiworld Forecasts

This project is currently under construction and will have the following functionality:

• Gets health data from public source (e.g., DHHS) for Salt Lake county or all of Utah
• Calibrates a model using the data
• Does a forecast using the calibrated model and the epiworld simulation tool
• Generates a report with figures and descriptions
• Publishes the report via GitHub Pages

The forecast will update automatically each week using GitHub Actions.

Data Sources

We are currently planning to use the weekly reports published by Utah DHHS on COVID-19.

Other possible data sources include:

• Utah DHHS publishes weekly reports on COVID-19, Influenza, and Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV).
• Germ Watch could be another great public source, but is currently unavailable (links, such as those mentioned here redirect to Intermountain's home page)
• DELPHI maintains a frequently updated COVID data API here and additional endpoints (less frequently updated) for influenza, dengue, and norovirus here
• CDC's public datasets, some are updated infrequently, others are weekly estimates (e.g., weekly flu vaccine estimates
• Germ watch

Other Relevant Resources

It's worth also taking a look at:

• DELPHI's R packages
• RSV Forecast Hub
• Epinowcast and the Epinowcast community forums

Code of Conduct

Please note that the epiworld-forecasts project is released with a Contributor Code of Conduct. By contributing to this project, you agree to abide by its terms. More information about how to contribute to the project can be found under DEVELOPMENT.md.