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files and code testing sensitivity to temporal autocorrelation in vital rates among plant and animal populations

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patterns_temporal_autocorrelation

This repository contains data files and code for the publication Interactive life-history traits predict sensitivity of plants and animals to temporal autocorrelation accepted for publication in Ecology Letters.

The work test sensitivity of the stochastic population growth rate to temporal autocorrelation in vital rates among plant and animal populations.

ABSTRACT

Temporal autocorrelation in demographic processes is an important aspect of population dynamics, but a comprehensive examination of its effects on different life-history strategies is lacking. We use matrix populations models from 454 plant and animal populations to simulate stochastic population growth rates (log λs) under different temporal autocorrelations in demographic rates, using simulated and observed covariation among rates. We then test for differences in sensitivities, or changes, of log λs to changes in autocorrelation among two major axes of life-history strategies, obtained from phylogenetically-informed principal component analysis: the fast-slow and reproductive-strategy continua. Fast life histories exhibit highest sensitivities to simulated autocorrelation in demographic rates across reproductive strategies. Slow life histories are less sensitive to temporal autocorrelation, but their sensitivities increase among highly iteroparous species. We provide cross-taxonomic evidence that changes in the autocorrelation of environmental variation may affect a wide range of species, depending on complex interactions of life-history strategies.

The document ELEpaniwSA.pdf is the supporting information for the publication and provides detailed information on all the data and scripts in this repository.

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files and code testing sensitivity to temporal autocorrelation in vital rates among plant and animal populations

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