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Summary

  • Add blog post analyzing Scotland's Budget 2026-27 mansion tax reform by Scottish Parliament constituency
  • Edinburgh's six constituencies account for 50% of the impact from new council tax bands for £1m+ properties
  • Interactive map embedded from PolicyEngine/scotland-mansion-tax GitHub Pages

Changes

  • app/src/data/posts/articles/scotland-mansion-tax.md - Blog post with key findings, methodology, and interactive map
  • app/src/data/posts/posts.json - Added post entry
  • app/public/assets/posts/scotland-mansion-tax.webp - Cover image placeholder (may need Scottish-themed replacement)

Test plan

  • Verify blog post renders correctly at /uk/research/scotland-mansion-tax
  • Verify interactive map iframe loads from GitHub Pages
  • Check tables and links display properly

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

Add analysis of Scotland's Budget 2026-27 mansion tax reform by
Scottish Parliament constituency. Edinburgh's six constituencies
account for 50% of the impact.

- Interactive map hosted on GitHub Pages
- Links to PolicyEngine/scotland-mansion-tax repository
- Cover image placeholder (needs Scottish-themed replacement)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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@PolicyEngine review this

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policyengine bot commented Jan 16, 2026

I ran into an issue:

Claude Code failed (exit 1): Credit balance is too low

- Change title to "How the Scottish mansion tax would affect constituencies"
- Remove opinionated language and adjectives
- Use British spelling (modelled)
- Increase iframe height for better map display
- Simplify key findings section

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- Title: "Estimating the constituency distribution of the Scottish mansion tax"
- Author: vahid-ahmadi

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- Use official RoS figure (391 sales) instead of Rettie (425)
- Update Edinburgh share to 47% (population-based)
- Update top 10 table with population-weighted results
- Edinburgh Northern & Leith now #1 (by population, not affluence)
- Describe NRS population-based weighting methodology
- Bump iframe cache version to v=8

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- Link to gov.scot source for £16m estimate
- Note that Band I/J rates not yet announced
- Add Revenue Allocation section explaining proportional distribution
- Clarify difference from UK repo where rates are known

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
The Scottish Government's £16m figure has no published methodology.
Now using UK Autumn Budget 2025 rates as benchmark:

- Band I: £1,500/year (extrapolated)
- Band J: £2,500/year (UK minimum)

Implied revenue from annual sales: ~£657k
Added stock figure (~11,000 properties from Savills)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Council tax applies to all properties, not just sales.
Following uk-mansion-tax methodology:
- Stock: ~11,000 (Savills)
- Stock/sales ratio: ~26x
- Stock-based revenue: £18.5m

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- Explain why sales data needed (stock has no geographic breakdown)
- Add comparison: our £18.5m vs govt verbal £16m
- Link to LBC source for Finance Secretary quote

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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2 participants