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#47 Describe predictions, prescriptions, robojudge, ensembling and demo
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ofrancon committed Sep 22, 2023
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Expand Up @@ -7,6 +7,8 @@ The tools should help decisions makers with their choices:
made to reduce CO2 emissions?
- What will be the long term CO2 impact of changing the land usage in a particular way?

It is possible to learn from historical decisions made by decision makers all around the world if they can be compared.

## Data

### ELUC
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -140,8 +142,38 @@ the percentage of land that was change. In other words decision makers have to:

### Predictions

Given **context** and **actions** -> predict **outcomes**

This is a prediction problem.

Anyone can contribute a prediction model, as long as it complies with the `predict` interface
and its inputs and outputs.

TODO: point to code that trains predictor models

### Prescriptions

Given **context** -> prescribe **actions** that optimize **outcomes**

This is an optimization problem.
Anyone can contribute a prescription model, as long as it complies with the `prescribe` interface
and its inputs and outputs.

## Robojudge

"Robojudge" is an interactive tool that can be used to compare predictors.
Some models perform better depending on the evaluation metric, the countries or the years on which they are evaluated.

## Ensembling

Ensemble models can be constructed from predicition models.

## Demo

A user interface for decision makers is available here: https://landuse.evolution.ml/

TODO: point to the demo code

## References

ELUC data provided by the BLUE model [(BLUE: Bookkeeping of land use emissions)](https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GB004997)
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