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Calculation of long-term temperature implications from short-term (2030) emissions trajectories plus net zero commitments.

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Emissions gap calculations

Calculation of long-term temperature implications from short-term (2030) emissions trajectories plus country-specific net zero commitments.

This repository requires an estimate of the short-term emissions and net zero estimates, which can be obtained from zenodo plus the set of complete global emissions from the SR1.5 database, which can be downloaded via pyam or zenodo [1-2]. This should be put in the input folder. All other requirements for running it are contained within. This includes the parameters for running the climate emulator FaIR [3], available from here.

To get results, you then run notebooks 01-03 and then the scripts run_fair to generate the temperature distribution and calc_temp_quants to summarise this.

[1] Huppmann, D., Rogelj, J., Kriegler, E., Krey, V. and Riahi, K.: A new scenario resource for integrated 1.5 °C research, Nat. Clim. Chang., 8(12), 1027–1030, doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0317-4, 2018.

[2] Huppmann, D., Kriegler, E., Krey, V., Riahi, K., Rogelj, J., Calvin, K., Humpenoeder, F., Popp, A., Rose, S. K., Weyant, J., Bauer, N., Bertram, C., Bosetti, V., Doelman, J., Drouet, L., Emmerling, J., Frank, S., Fujimori, S., Gernaat, D., … Zhang, R. (2019). IAMC 1.5°C Scenario Explorer and Data hosted by IIASA. https://doi.org/10.5281/ZENODO.3363345

[3] Smith, C. J., Forster, P. M., Allen, M., Leach, N., Millar, R. J., Passerello, G. A. and Regayre, L. A.: FAIR v1.3: a simple emissions-based impulse response and carbon cycle model, Geosci. Model Dev., 11(6), 2273–2297, doi:10.5194/gmd-11-2273-2018, 2018.

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