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An analysis of SAT and ACT results with a focus on socioeconomic inequality.

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Project 1: SAT & ACT Analysis

Executive Summary

In the United States, the SAT and ACT are entrance exams used by colleges and universities to make admission decisions. These exams help provide colleges with a common data point that can be used to compare all applicants. While many colleges do not prefer one test over the other, and while both tests share a number of similarities in terms of subjects tested, participation rates for each test tend vary wildly across the country.

In 2016, the College Board implemented major changes to the SAT in an attempt to counter the growing popularity of the ACT. By looking at data from the subsequent years of 2017 and 2018, we can begin to measure the impact of these changes, while coming up with new strategies that may help the College Board increase their participation rates moving forward.

Problem Statement: which state should the College Board target to further raise SAT participation rates?

Summary and Recommendations

We found that states with a relatively low GDP per Capita and high ACT participation rate tend to get lower ACT scores on average. The opposite is true for states with a relatively low GDP per Captia that take the SAT. This could make a compelling argument for states that are looking to improve their position on the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP).

Given that South Carolina falls into the above group (high ACT participation, relatively low GDP, below average ACT scores) and has not yet committed to the Innovative Assessment pilot, I recommend that the College Board work with South Carolina to raise SAT participation rates.

However, the College Board must take into account the growing movement against standardized testing. Instead of trying to pile on additional tests, the College Board must partner states in their effort to reduce over-testing and market the SAT as a tool to help with this process.

Beyond just signing a contract with a state, the College Board should also look to incorporate other forms of testing such as portfolio-based assessment or adaptive testing.

With COVID-19 heavily affecting standardized testing throughout the United States and further pushing states to consider the alternative means of assessment, the College Board must continue to adapt the SAT to fit the times that we are now in.

Additional Research

Participation rates in the SAT and ACT are largely determined by state education policy. The largest jumps in SAT and ACT participation in 2018 were due to states like Colorado switching from the SAT and ACT, leading to a massive jump in their SAT participation rate from 11% to 100%. Accordingly, ACT participation rates dropped from 100% to 30%. Illinois also had a similar jump, from 9% in 2017 to 99% in 2018, due to the state switching to the SAT in 2018.

Hawaii is particularly interesting as the state is unique in terms of its location and demographics. The majority of Hawaiians live in urban areas, which seems to be contrary to the trend of urban/coastal states favoring the SAT test. One of the reasons behind high SAT and ACT participation rates could be due to Hawaii's strong testing culture, which can be traced back to the federal 'No Child Left Behind' law, when Hawaii won a $75 million Race to the Top grant that established performance outcomes tied to test scores. This suggests that schools are pushing for standardized testing beyond the norm. The ACT participation rate is greater than the SAT participation rate as public schools started made the ACT mandatory for all Hawaii public school juniors starting from 2014.

A common trend in states with above 50% participation for both the SAT and ACT has been the rise of a counter-movement against standardized testing in general. States like Georgia and North Carolina signed on to the Innovative Assessment pilot launched by the US government in 2018, which is a programme that intends to use different assessment methods as an alternative to traditional standardized tests. Hawaii and South Carolina have also signalled interest in the program.

The high ACT/SAT participation rates in Florida are likely due to the mandatory Florida Statewide Assessments (FSA). This means that students who want to apply to out of state universities still need to take the SAT and ACT. While some school officials have tried to push for the adoption of the SAT or ACT over local assessments and reduce standardized testing in general, the state has argued that the ACT and SAT is unable to replace the FSA. There continues to be further pushback against standardized testing in Florida.

Datasets

Data Dictionary

Feature Type Dataset Description
state string SAT_2017 State from which ACT and SAT data was collected
sat_2017_participation integer SAT 2017 Participation rate as a percentage out of 100
sat_2017_reading_and_writing integer SAT 2017 Average score for reading and writing (Min: 200, Max: 800)
sat_2017_math integer SAT 2017 Average math score (Min: 200, Max: 800)
sat_2017_total integer SAT 2017 Average total score (Min: 400, Max: 1600)
act_2017_participation integer ACT 2017 Participation rate as a percentage out of 100
act_2017_english float ACT 2017 Average english score (Min: 1, Max:36)
act_2017_math float ACT 2017 Average math score (Min: 1, Max:36)
act_2017_reading float ACT 2017 Average reading score (Min: 1, Max:36)
act_2017_science float ACT 2017 Average science score (Min: 1, Max:36)
act_2017_total float ACT 2017 Average total score derived as a composite of Math, Reading, English and Science scores (Min: 1, Max:36).
sat_2018_participation integer SAT 2018 Participation rate as a percentage out of 100
sat_2018_reading_and_writing integer SAT 2018 Average score for reading and writing (Min: 200, Max: 800)
sat_2018_math integer SAT 2018 Average math score (Min: 200, Max: 800)
sat_2018_total integer SAT 2018 Average total score (Min: 400, Max: 1600)
act_2018_participation integer ACT 2018 Participation rate as a percentage out of 100
act_2018_english float ACT 2018 Average english score (Min: 1, Max:36)
act_2018_math float ACT 2018 Average math score (Min: 1, Max:36)
act_2018_reading float ACT 2018 Average reading score (Min: 1, Max:36)
act_2018_science float ACT 2018 Average science score (Min: 1, Max:36)
act_2018_total float ACT 2018 Average total score derived as a composite of Math, Reading, English and Science scores (Min: 1, Max:36).
gdp_2017 integer US BEA Real estimates of Gross domestic product (GDP) by state measured in chained 2009 dollars
gdp_2018 integer US BEA Real estimates of Gross domestic product (GDP) by state measured in chained 2009 dollars
cat_gdp_2017 object US BEA Real estimates of Gross domestic product (GDP) by state measured in chained 2009 dollars, sorted by category (<40000, 40000-50000, 50000-60000, >60000)
cat_gdp_2018 object US BEA Real estimates of Gross domestic product (GDP) by state measured in chained 2009 dollars, sorted by category (<40000, 40000-50000, 50000-60000, >60000)
classification object Gallup Political affliation by state based on annual state averages of party affiliation (Democrat, Republican and Swing)

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