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230 changes: 116 additions & 114 deletions index-2025-01-31.md
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Expand Up @@ -11,14 +11,14 @@
| Group | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|:-----:|:-----------:|:------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|
| <a href="#european-people’s-party">European People’s Party</a> | 188 | 178 | 172–183 |170–185 | 169–186 | 166–189 |
| <a href="#progressive-alliance-of-socialists-and-democrats">Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats</a> | 136 | 128 | 121–134 |119–136 | 118–137 | 116–140 |
| <a href="#progressive-alliance-of-socialists-and-democrats">Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats</a> | 136 | 129 | 122–135 |120–137 | 119–138 | 116–140 |
| <a href="#patriots-for-europe">Patriots for Europe</a> | 84 | 103 | 98–108 |97–109 | 96–110 | 94–112 |
| <a href="#renew-europe">Renew Europe</a> | 77 | 84 | 80–87 |79–88 | 78–89 | 76–91 |
| <a href="#renew-europe">Renew Europe</a> | 77 | 83 | 80–87 |79–88 | 78–89 | 76–91 |
| <a href="#european-conservatives-and-reformists">European Conservatives and Reformists</a> | 78 | 76 | 73–80 |72–81 | 71–81 | 69–83 |
| <a href="#european-united-left–nordic-green-left">European United Left–Nordic Green Left</a> | 46 | 48 | 45–52 |44–53 | 43–53 | 41–55 |
| <a href="#greens–european-free-alliance">Greens–European Free Alliance</a> | 53 | 37 | 33–42 |32–43 | 31–44 | 29–47 |
| <a href="#europe-of-sovereign-nations">Europe of Sovereign Nations</a> | 25 | 29 | 26–32 |26–33 | 25–33 | 24–36 |
| <a href="#non-inscrits">Non-Inscrits</a> | 32 | 25 | 22–27 |21–27 | 21–28 | 20–29 |
| <a href="#europe-of-sovereign-nations">Europe of Sovereign Nations</a> | 25 | 29 | 26–32 |26–33 | 25–34 | 24–36 |
| <a href="#non-inscrits">Non-Inscrits</a> | 32 | 24 | 22–26 |21–27 | 20–28 | 20–29 |
| <a href="#parties-currently-not-represented-in-the-ep">Parties currently not represented in the EP</a> | 1 | 6 | 5–7 |5–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 |

### European People’s Party
Expand All @@ -45,19 +45,19 @@
| 176 | 8% | 69% | |
| 177 | 9% | 61% | |
| 178 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 179 | 9% | 42% | |
| 179 | 9% | 43% | |
| 180 | 8% | 34% | |
| 181 | 7% | 26% | |
| 182 | 6% | 19% | |
| 183 | 4% | 13% | |
| 183 | 4% | 14% | |
| 184 | 3% | 9% | |
| 185 | 2% | 6% | |
| 186 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 186 | 2% | 4% | |
| 187 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 188 | 0.5% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 188 | 0.6% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |

Expand All @@ -69,37 +69,37 @@

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:|
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 117 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 118 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 119 | 2% | 97% | |
| 120 | 3% | 95% | |
| 121 | 4% | 92% | |
| 122 | 5% | 88% | |
| 123 | 6% | 83% | |
| 124 | 6% | 77% | |
| 125 | 6% | 71% | |
| 126 | 6% | 65% | |
| 127 | 6% | 59% | |
| 128 | 6% | 53% | Median |
| 129 | 7% | 46% | |
| 130 | 7% | 40% | |
| 131 | 7% | 33% | |
| 132 | 6% | 26% | |
| 133 | 6% | 20% | |
| 134 | 5% | 14% | |
| 135 | 4% | 10% | |
| 136 | 3% | 6% | Last Result |
| 137 | 2% | 4% | |
| 138 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 117 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 118 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 119 | 2% | 98% | |
| 120 | 3% | 96% | |
| 121 | 3% | 93% | |
| 122 | 4% | 90% | |
| 123 | 5% | 86% | |
| 124 | 6% | 81% | |
| 125 | 6% | 75% | |
| 126 | 6% | 69% | |
| 127 | 6% | 63% | |
| 128 | 6% | 56% | |
| 129 | 6% | 50% | Median |
| 130 | 7% | 44% | |
| 131 | 7% | 37% | |
| 132 | 7% | 30% | |
| 133 | 6% | 24% | |
| 134 | 5% | 18% | |
| 135 | 4% | 12% | |
| 136 | 3% | 8% | Last Result |
| 137 | 2% | 5% | |
| 138 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 139 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | |

### Patriots for Europe

Expand All @@ -124,13 +124,13 @@
| 96 | 2% | 98% | |
| 97 | 3% | 96% | |
| 98 | 5% | 93% | |
| 99 | 6% | 88% | |
| 99 | 6% | 89% | |
| 100 | 8% | 82% | |
| 101 | 9% | 74% | |
| 102 | 10% | 65% | |
| 103 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 104 | 10% | 44% | |
| 105 | 9% | 33% | |
| 105 | 9% | 34% | |
| 106 | 8% | 24% | |
| 107 | 6% | 16% | |
| 108 | 4% | 10% | |
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -179,26 +179,27 @@

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:|
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 78 | 2% | 98% | |
| 79 | 4% | 96% | |
| 80 | 6% | 92% | |
| 81 | 9% | 86% | |
| 82 | 12% | 77% | |
| 83 | 14% | 66% | |
| 84 | 14% | 52% | Median |
| 85 | 13% | 38% | |
| 86 | 10% | 25% | |
| 87 | 7% | 15% | |
| 88 | 4% | 8% | |
| 89 | 2% | 4% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 77 | 1.4% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 78 | 3% | 98% | |
| 79 | 4% | 95% | |
| 80 | 7% | 91% | |
| 81 | 10% | 84% | |
| 82 | 12% | 74% | |
| 83 | 14% | 62% | Median |
| 84 | 14% | 48% | |
| 85 | 12% | 34% | |
| 86 | 9% | 21% | |
| 87 | 6% | 12% | |
| 88 | 3% | 6% | |
| 89 | 2% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |

### Greens–European Free Alliance
Expand All @@ -210,26 +211,26 @@
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 2% | 98% | |
| 32 | 4% | 96% | |
| 33 | 6% | 92% | |
| 34 | 8% | 86% | |
| 35 | 10% | 78% | |
| 36 | 12% | 67% | |
| 37 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 38 | 11% | 44% | |
| 39 | 9% | 33% | |
| 33 | 7% | 91% | |
| 34 | 9% | 85% | |
| 35 | 10% | 76% | |
| 36 | 11% | 65% | |
| 37 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 38 | 10% | 43% | |
| 39 | 9% | 32% | |
| 40 | 7% | 24% | |
| 41 | 6% | 17% | |
| 41 | 6% | 16% | |
| 42 | 4% | 11% | |
| 43 | 3% | 7% | |
| 44 | 2% | 4% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
Expand All @@ -250,16 +251,16 @@
| 43 | 2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 4% | 96% | |
| 45 | 7% | 92% | |
| 46 | 11% | 85% | Last Result |
| 47 | 13% | 74% | |
| 48 | 15% | 61% | Median |
| 49 | 14% | 46% | |
| 50 | 12% | 31% | |
| 51 | 9% | 19% | |
| 52 | 5% | 10% | |
| 53 | 3% | 5% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 46 | 10% | 85% | Last Result |
| 47 | 13% | 75% | |
| 48 | 15% | 62% | Median |
| 49 | 15% | 47% | |
| 50 | 12% | 33% | |
| 51 | 9% | 20% | |
| 52 | 6% | 11% | |
| 53 | 3% | 6% | |
| 54 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
Expand All @@ -272,21 +273,22 @@

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:|
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 4% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 26 | 8% | 95% | |
| 27 | 14% | 87% | |
| 28 | 18% | 73% | |
| 29 | 19% | 54% | Median |
| 30 | 15% | 36% | |
| 31 | 10% | 20% | |
| 32 | 5% | 10% | |
| 33 | 3% | 5% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 3% | 98.8% | Last Result |
| 26 | 7% | 96% | |
| 27 | 13% | 88% | |
| 28 | 17% | 76% | |
| 29 | 18% | 59% | Median |
| 30 | 16% | 40% | |
| 31 | 11% | 24% | |
| 32 | 7% | 13% | |
| 33 | 3% | 7% | |
| 34 | 2% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |

Expand All @@ -298,18 +300,18 @@

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:|
| 19 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 20 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 4% | 98% | |
| 22 | 9% | 94% | |
| 23 | 14% | 85% | |
| 24 | 19% | 71% | |
| 25 | 21% | 52% | Median |
| 26 | 17% | 31% | |
| 27 | 10% | 14% | |
| 28 | 4% | 5% | |
| 29 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 20 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 21 | 7% | 97% | |
| 22 | 14% | 91% | |
| 23 | 19% | 77% | |
| 24 | 20% | 59% | Median |
| 25 | 17% | 39% | |
| 26 | 12% | 22% | |
| 27 | 6% | 9% | |
| 28 | 2% | 3% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |

Expand All @@ -325,10 +327,10 @@
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 37% | 97% | |
| 5 | 38% | 97% | |
| 6 | 44% | 59% | Median |
| 7 | 14% | 15% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 7 | 13% | 15% | |
| 8 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |

Expand Down
14 changes: 7 additions & 7 deletions party-2025-01-31-europeanpeople’sparty.md
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -24,7 +24,7 @@ At least one member in **27 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more:
| Platforma Obywatelska | PL | | 18 | 17–20 | 16–20 | 16–21 | 15–21 |
| Tisztelet és Szabadság | HU | | 9 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 |
| Aliança Democrática | PT | | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 6–9 |
| Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern | DE | | 7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 |
| Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern | DE | | 7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 |
| Forza Italia | IT | | 7 | 6–9 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 4–10 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | GR | | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| Fine Gael | IE | | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -103,19 +103,19 @@ The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll a
| 176 | 8% | 69% | |
| 177 | 9% | 61% | |
| 178 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 179 | 9% | 42% | |
| 179 | 9% | 43% | |
| 180 | 8% | 34% | |
| 181 | 7% | 26% | |
| 182 | 6% | 19% | |
| 183 | 4% | 13% | |
| 183 | 4% | 14% | |
| 184 | 3% | 9% | |
| 185 | 2% | 6% | |
| 186 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 186 | 2% | 4% | |
| 187 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 188 | 0.5% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 188 | 0.6% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 189 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |

Expand Down
22 changes: 11 additions & 11 deletions party-2025-01-31-europeanunitedleft–nordicgreenleft.md
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -33,7 +33,7 @@ At least one member in **15 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more:
| Independents | IE | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Levica | SI | | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida | ES | | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz | DE | | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Partei Mensch Umwelt Tierschutz | DE | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Parti du Travail de Belgique | BE-FRC | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| Partij van de Arbeid van België | BE-VLG | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | NL | | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -70,16 +70,16 @@ The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll a
| 43 | 2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 4% | 96% | |
| 45 | 7% | 92% | |
| 46 | 11% | 85% | Last Result |
| 47 | 13% | 74% | |
| 48 | 15% | 61% | Median |
| 49 | 14% | 46% | |
| 50 | 12% | 31% | |
| 51 | 9% | 19% | |
| 52 | 5% | 10% | |
| 53 | 3% | 5% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 46 | 10% | 85% | Last Result |
| 47 | 13% | 75% | |
| 48 | 15% | 62% | Median |
| 49 | 15% | 47% | |
| 50 | 12% | 33% | |
| 51 | 9% | 20% | |
| 52 | 6% | 11% | |
| 53 | 3% | 6% | |
| 54 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
Expand Down
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