Auto-update of the Markdown pages

filipvanlaenen · Aug 24, 2024 · ca7d3f3 · ca7d3f3
1 parent 34d09d6
commit ca7d3f3
Show file tree

Hide file tree

Showing 17 changed files with 526 additions and 519 deletions.
diff --git a/index-2024-08-31.md b/index-2024-08-31.md
@@ -10,15 +10,15 @@
 
 | Group | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
 |:-----:|:-----------:|:------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|
-| <a href="#european-people’s-party">European People’s Party</a> | 188 | 184 | 178–189 |177–190 | 176–191 | 173–194 |
-| <a href="#progressive-alliance-of-socialists-and-democrats">Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats</a> | 136 | 140 | 136–144 |134–145 | 133–146 | 132–148 |
+| <a href="#european-people’s-party">European People’s Party</a> | 188 | 178 | 172–183 |171–184 | 170–185 | 167–188 |
+| <a href="#progressive-alliance-of-socialists-and-democrats">Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats</a> | 136 | 138 | 134–142 |132–143 | 131–144 | 130–146 |
 | <a href="#patriots-for-europe">Patriots for Europe</a> | 84 | 91 | 88–94 |88–95 | 87–95 | 86–97 |
-| <a href="#european-conservatives-and-reformists">European Conservatives and Reformists</a> | 78 | 79 | 76–83 |75–84 | 75–84 | 73–86 |
-| <a href="#renew-europe">Renew Europe</a> | 77 | 71 | 69–74 |68–75 | 67–76 | 66–78 |
+| <a href="#european-conservatives-and-reformists">European Conservatives and Reformists</a> | 78 | 78 | 75–82 |74–83 | 74–83 | 72–85 |
+| <a href="#renew-europe">Renew Europe</a> | 77 | 66 | 64–69 |63–70 | 62–71 | 61–73 |
 | <a href="#european-united-left–nordic-green-left">European United Left–Nordic Green Left</a> | 46 | 44 | 41–47 |41–48 | 40–49 | 39–50 |
 | <a href="#greens–european-free-alliance">Greens–European Free Alliance</a> | 53 | 42 | 39–46 |38–48 | 38–48 | 36–50 |
 | <a href="#non-inscrits">Non-Inscrits</a> | 32 | 32 | 29–34 |28–35 | 27–36 | 26–37 |
-| <a href="#europe-of-sovereign-nations">Europe of Sovereign Nations</a> | 25 | 27 | 24–30 |24–30 | 23–31 | 22–33 |
+| <a href="#europe-of-sovereign-nations">Europe of Sovereign Nations</a> | 25 | 24 | 21–27 |21–27 | 20–28 | 19–30 |
 | <a href="#parties-currently-not-represented-in-the-ep">Parties currently not represented in the EP</a> | 1 | 3 | 2–4 |2–5 | 2–5 | 1–5 |
 
 ### European People’s Party
@@ -29,33 +29,33 @@
 
 | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
 |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:|
-| 171 | 0.1% | 100% |  |
-| 172 | 0.1% | 99.9% |  |
-| 173 | 0.3% | 99.8% |  |
-| 174 | 0.6% | 99.5% |  |
-| 175 | 1.0% | 98.9% |  |
-| 176 | 2% | 98% |  |
-| 177 | 3% | 96% |  |
-| 178 | 4% | 94% |  |
-| 179 | 5% | 90% |  |
-| 180 | 7% | 84% |  |
-| 181 | 8% | 78% |  |
-| 182 | 9% | 70% |  |
-| 183 | 10% | 61% |  |
-| 184 | 10% | 51% | Median |
-| 185 | 9% | 41% |  |
-| 186 | 8% | 32% |  |
-| 187 | 7% | 24% |  |
-| 188 | 6% | 17% | Last Result |
-| 189 | 4% | 11% |  |
-| 190 | 3% | 7% |  |
-| 191 | 2% | 4% |  |
-| 192 | 1.1% | 2% |  |
-| 193 | 0.6% | 1.1% |  |
-| 194 | 0.3% | 0.5% |  |
-| 195 | 0.1% | 0.2% |  |
-| 196 | 0.1% | 0.1% |  |
-| 197 | 0% | 0% |  |
+| 165 | 0.1% | 100% |  |
+| 166 | 0.1% | 99.9% |  |
+| 167 | 0.3% | 99.8% |  |
+| 168 | 0.6% | 99.4% |  |
+| 169 | 1.1% | 98.9% |  |
+| 170 | 2% | 98% |  |
+| 171 | 3% | 96% |  |
+| 172 | 4% | 93% |  |
+| 173 | 5% | 89% |  |
+| 174 | 7% | 84% |  |
+| 175 | 8% | 78% |  |
+| 176 | 9% | 70% |  |
+| 177 | 10% | 61% |  |
+| 178 | 10% | 51% | Median |
+| 179 | 9% | 42% |  |
+| 180 | 8% | 32% |  |
+| 181 | 7% | 24% |  |
+| 182 | 6% | 17% |  |
+| 183 | 4% | 11% |  |
+| 184 | 3% | 7% |  |
+| 185 | 2% | 4% |  |
+| 186 | 1.1% | 2% |  |
+| 187 | 0.6% | 1.2% |  |
+| 188 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Last Result |
+| 189 | 0.2% | 0.3% |  |
+| 190 | 0.1% | 0.1% |  |
+| 191 | 0% | 0% |  |
 
 ### Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats
 
@@ -65,29 +65,30 @@
 
 | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
 |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:|
-| 129 | 0% | 100% |  |
-| 130 | 0.1% | 99.9% |  |
-| 131 | 0.3% | 99.8% |  |
-| 132 | 0.7% | 99.5% |  |
-| 133 | 1.5% | 98.8% |  |
-| 134 | 3% | 97% |  |
-| 135 | 5% | 95% |  |
-| 136 | 7% | 90% | Last Result |
-| 137 | 9% | 83% |  |
-| 138 | 11% | 74% |  |
-| 139 | 12% | 63% |  |
-| 140 | 12% | 51% | Median |
-| 141 | 11% | 39% |  |
-| 142 | 9% | 28% |  |
-| 143 | 7% | 19% |  |
-| 144 | 5% | 12% |  |
-| 145 | 3% | 7% |  |
-| 146 | 2% | 4% |  |
-| 147 | 1.0% | 2% |  |
-| 148 | 0.5% | 0.8% |  |
-| 149 | 0.2% | 0.3% |  |
-| 150 | 0.1% | 0.1% |  |
-| 151 | 0% | 0% |  |
+| 127 | 0% | 100% |  |
+| 128 | 0.1% | 99.9% |  |
+| 129 | 0.3% | 99.8% |  |
+| 130 | 0.7% | 99.5% |  |
+| 131 | 1.5% | 98.8% |  |
+| 132 | 3% | 97% |  |
+| 133 | 4% | 95% |  |
+| 134 | 7% | 90% |  |
+| 135 | 9% | 84% |  |
+| 136 | 11% | 75% | Last Result |
+| 137 | 12% | 64% |  |
+| 138 | 12% | 52% | Median |
+| 139 | 11% | 39% |  |
+| 140 | 9% | 28% |  |
+| 141 | 7% | 19% |  |
+| 142 | 5% | 12% |  |
+| 143 | 3% | 7% |  |
+| 144 | 2% | 4% |  |
+| 145 | 1.0% | 2% |  |
+| 146 | 0.5% | 0.9% |  |
+| 147 | 0.2% | 0.4% |  |
+| 148 | 0.1% | 0.1% |  |
+| 149 | 0% | 0.1% |  |
+| 150 | 0% | 0% |  |
 
 ### Patriots for Europe
 
@@ -122,24 +123,24 @@
 
 | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
 |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:|
-| 72 | 0.1% | 100% |  |
-| 73 | 0.5% | 99.8% |  |
-| 74 | 1.4% | 99.4% |  |
-| 75 | 3% | 98% |  |
-| 76 | 6% | 95% |  |
-| 77 | 10% | 88% |  |
-| 78 | 14% | 78% | Last Result |
-| 79 | 15% | 65% | Median |
-| 80 | 15% | 49% |  |
-| 81 | 13% | 34% |  |
-| 82 | 10% | 21% |  |
-| 83 | 6% | 12% |  |
-| 84 | 3% | 6% |  |
-| 85 | 2% | 2% |  |
-| 86 | 0.6% | 0.8% |  |
-| 87 | 0.2% | 0.2% |  |
-| 88 | 0% | 0.1% |  |
-| 89 | 0% | 0% |  |
+| 71 | 0.1% | 100% |  |
+| 72 | 0.5% | 99.8% |  |
+| 73 | 1.4% | 99.3% |  |
+| 74 | 3% | 98% |  |
+| 75 | 6% | 95% |  |
+| 76 | 10% | 88% |  |
+| 77 | 14% | 78% |  |
+| 78 | 15% | 64% | Last Result, Median |
+| 79 | 15% | 49% |  |
+| 80 | 13% | 34% |  |
+| 81 | 9% | 21% |  |
+| 82 | 6% | 12% |  |
+| 83 | 3% | 6% |  |
+| 84 | 2% | 2% |  |
+| 85 | 0.6% | 0.8% |  |
+| 86 | 0.2% | 0.2% |  |
+| 87 | 0% | 0.1% |  |
+| 88 | 0% | 0% |  |
 
 ### Renew Europe
 
@@ -149,24 +150,25 @@
 
 | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
 |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:|
-| 64 | 0.1% | 100% |  |
-| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% |  |
-| 66 | 0.9% | 99.7% |  |
-| 67 | 3% | 98.8% |  |
-| 68 | 6% | 96% |  |
-| 69 | 11% | 90% |  |
-| 70 | 16% | 79% |  |
-| 71 | 18% | 64% | Median |
-| 72 | 17% | 46% |  |
-| 73 | 13% | 29% |  |
-| 74 | 8% | 17% |  |
-| 75 | 4% | 9% |  |
-| 76 | 2% | 4% |  |
-| 77 | 1.1% | 2% | Last Result |
-| 78 | 0.5% | 0.9% |  |
-| 79 | 0.2% | 0.4% |  |
-| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% |  |
-| 81 | 0% | 0% |  |
+| 59 | 0.1% | 100% |  |
+| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% |  |
+| 61 | 0.9% | 99.7% |  |
+| 62 | 3% | 98.8% |  |
+| 63 | 6% | 96% |  |
+| 64 | 11% | 90% |  |
+| 65 | 16% | 79% |  |
+| 66 | 18% | 64% | Median |
+| 67 | 17% | 46% |  |
+| 68 | 13% | 29% |  |
+| 69 | 8% | 17% |  |
+| 70 | 4% | 9% |  |
+| 71 | 2% | 4% |  |
+| 72 | 1.1% | 2% |  |
+| 73 | 0.5% | 0.9% |  |
+| 74 | 0.2% | 0.4% |  |
+| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% |  |
+| 76 | 0% | 0% |  |
+| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
 
 ### Greens–European Free Alliance
 
@@ -230,21 +232,21 @@
 
 | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
 |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:|
-| 21 | 0.2% | 100% |  |
-| 22 | 0.9% | 99.8% |  |
-| 23 | 3% | 98.9% |  |
-| 24 | 8% | 96% |  |
-| 25 | 15% | 88% | Last Result |
-| 26 | 21% | 73% |  |
-| 27 | 19% | 53% | Median |
-| 28 | 14% | 34% |  |
-| 29 | 10% | 20% |  |
-| 30 | 6% | 10% |  |
-| 31 | 3% | 4% |  |
-| 32 | 1.1% | 2% |  |
-| 33 | 0.4% | 0.5% |  |
-| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% |  |
-| 35 | 0% | 0% |  |
+| 18 | 0.2% | 100% |  |
+| 19 | 0.9% | 99.8% |  |
+| 20 | 3% | 98.9% |  |
+| 21 | 8% | 96% |  |
+| 22 | 15% | 88% |  |
+| 23 | 21% | 73% |  |
+| 24 | 19% | 53% | Median |
+| 25 | 14% | 34% | Last Result |
+| 26 | 10% | 20% |  |
+| 27 | 6% | 10% |  |
+| 28 | 3% | 4% |  |
+| 29 | 1.1% | 2% |  |
+| 30 | 0.4% | 0.5% |  |
+| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% |  |
+| 32 | 0% | 0% |  |
 
 ### Non-Inscrits
 

diff --git a/party-2024-08-31-europeanconservativesandreformists.md b/party-2024-08-31-europeanconservativesandreformists.md
@@ -1,24 +1,24 @@
 # European Conservatives and Reformists
 
-Members registered from **19 countries**:
+Members registered from **18 countries**:
 
-> BE, BG, CY, CZ, DK, EE, FI, FR, GR, HR, IT, LT, LU, LV, NL, PL, RO, SE, SK
+> BE, CY, CZ, DK, EE, FI, FR, GR, HR, IT, LT, LU, LV, NL, PL, RO, SE, SK
 
 ## Seats
 
 Last result: **78** seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
 
-Current median: **79** seats (+1 seats)
+Current median: **78** seats (0 seats)
 
-At least one member in **17 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more:
+At least one member in **16 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more:
 
-> BE, BG, CY, CZ, DK, FI, FR, GR, HR, IT, LT, LU, LV, PL, RO, SE, SK
+> BE, CY, CZ, DK, FI, FR, GR, HR, IT, LT, LU, LV, PL, RO, SE, SK
 
 ### Confidence Intervals
 
 | Party | Area | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
 |:-----:|:----:|:-----------:|:------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|:-----------------------:|
-| European Conservatives and Reformists | EU | 78 | 79 | 76–83 | 75–84 | 75–84 | 73–86 |
+| European Conservatives and Reformists | EU | 78 | 78 | 75–82 | 74–83 | 74–83 | 72–85 |
 | Fratelli d’Italia | IT | | 26 | 23–28 | 23–29 | 23–29 | 22–30 |
 | Zjednoczona Prawica | PL | | 17 | 16–18 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–19 |
 | Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor | RO | | 6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–7 |
@@ -31,13 +31,12 @@ At least one member in **17 countries** have a median of 1 seat or more:
 | Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga | LT | | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
 | Ελληνική Λύση | GR | | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
 | Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei | LU | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
-| Domovinski pokret | HR | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
-| Most nezavisnih lista | HR | | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
+| Domovinski pokret | HR | | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
+| Most nezavisnih lista | HR | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
 | Mouvement conservateur | FR | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | LV | | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
 | Sloboda a Solidarita | SK | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
 | Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο | CY | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
-| Има такъв народ | BG | | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | Eesti Rahvuslased ja Konservatiivid | EE | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | Hrvatski suverenisti | HR | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | Juiste Antwoord 2021 | NL | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
@@ -54,23 +53,23 @@ The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the [poll a
 
 | Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
 |:---------------:|:-----------:|:-----------:|:-------------:|
-| 72 | 0.1% | 100% |  |
-| 73 | 0.5% | 99.8% |  |
-| 74 | 1.4% | 99.4% |  |
-| 75 | 3% | 98% |  |
-| 76 | 6% | 95% |  |
-| 77 | 10% | 88% |  |
-| 78 | 14% | 78% | Last Result |
-| 79 | 15% | 65% | Median |
-| 80 | 15% | 49% |  |
-| 81 | 13% | 34% |  |
-| 82 | 10% | 21% |  |
-| 83 | 6% | 12% |  |
-| 84 | 3% | 6% |  |
-| 85 | 2% | 2% |  |
-| 86 | 0.6% | 0.8% |  |
-| 87 | 0.2% | 0.2% |  |
-| 88 | 0% | 0.1% |  |
-| 89 | 0% | 0% |  |
+| 71 | 0.1% | 100% |  |
+| 72 | 0.5% | 99.8% |  |
+| 73 | 1.4% | 99.3% |  |
+| 74 | 3% | 98% |  |
+| 75 | 6% | 95% |  |
+| 76 | 10% | 88% |  |
+| 77 | 14% | 78% |  |
+| 78 | 15% | 64% | Last Result, Median |
+| 79 | 15% | 49% |  |
+| 80 | 13% | 34% |  |
+| 81 | 9% | 21% |  |
+| 82 | 6% | 12% |  |
+| 83 | 3% | 6% |  |
+| 84 | 2% | 2% |  |
+| 85 | 0.6% | 0.8% |  |
+| 86 | 0.2% | 0.2% |  |
+| 87 | 0% | 0.1% |  |
+| 88 | 0% | 0% |  |