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City-and-Resort-Hotels-Bookings-Forecast

Topic

In this notebook I will be using the TESLA stock prices for the last year to try and forecast the said stock prices for the following month. I downloaded the dataset from the online Yahoo stock price publisher. The dataset contains the time stamps of the operations and their volume, the opening , highest, lowest, and closing price of the stocks. I will only be using the opening prices for my study and I will use three forecasting models: an ETS model, an ARIMA model and a Prophet model.

Models

  • ETS models : Holt Winter's Seasonal Method
  • ARIMA models : Seasonal ARIMA
  • Prophet model

Evaluation metrics

  • RMSE
  • MAE
  • RMSFE

Libraries

  • numpy
  • pandas
  • scipy
  • sklearn
  • prophet
  • statsmodels

Data Source

https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/jessemostipak/hotel-booking-demand?fbclid=IwAR3_-DU54iljzIN4k3u0hWJOdP1JfUyDAazpgL3GdVxeuLek5HwpGI-ydY0