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Generative Trajectory Prediction at Roundabouts using Graph Neural Networks and Diffusion Models (MID)

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HSG-Diffusion: Heterogeneous Scene Graph-Conditioned Diffusion for Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction

Heterogeneous Scene Graph-Conditioned Diffusion for Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction in Roundabouts Combining HeteroGAT and Motion Indeterminacy Diffusion for diverse, safe trajectory prediction in non-signalized roundabouts

Python 3.8+ PyTorch License: MIT

Official PyTorch implementation of "Heterogeneous Scene Graph-Conditioned Diffusion for Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction in Roundabouts".


Abstract

We propose a novel approach for multi-agent trajectory prediction in non-signalized roundabouts by combining Heterogeneous Graph Neural Networks (HeteroGAT) with Motion Indeterminacy Diffusion (MID). Our method explicitly models heterogeneous agent interactions (vehicles, pedestrians, cyclists) through scene graphs and generates diverse, multi-modal future trajectories via conditional diffusion processes. We further integrate a safety validation layer (Plan B) to filter unsafe predictions. Experiments on the Stanford Drone Dataset (SDD) Death Circle demonstrate significant improvements in both accuracy and diversity compared to existing methods.

Key Features:

  • πŸ”„ Heterogeneous scene graph construction for multi-agent interactions
  • 🧠 GNN-Diffusion hybrid architecture (HeteroGAT + MID)
  • πŸ›‘οΈ Safety-guided sampling with TTC/DRAC filtering
  • πŸ“Š State-of-the-art performance on SDD Death Circle

Method Overview

Architecture

Our approach consists of three main components:

  1. Heterogeneous Scene Graph Encoder (HeteroGAT)

    • Models agent-type-specific interactions
    • Captures spatial and semantic relationships
    • Edge types: spatial, conflict, yielding, following
  2. Motion Indeterminacy Diffusion Decoder (MID)

    • Generates K=20 diverse trajectory samples
    • DDIM sampling for fast inference (2 steps)
    • Conditioned on GNN-encoded context
  3. Safety Validation Layer (Plan B)

    • Filters unsafe trajectories using TTC/DRAC metrics
    • Ensures collision-free predictions
β”Œβ”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”
β”‚  Input: Observation (3s) + Heterogeneous Scene Graph     β”‚
β””β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”¬β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”˜
                         β”‚
                         β–Ό
β”Œβ”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”
β”‚              HeteroGAT Encoder                           β”‚
β”‚  β”Œβ”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”  β”Œβ”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”  β”Œβ”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”                 β”‚
β”‚  β”‚  Car    β”‚  β”‚   Ped   β”‚  β”‚  Bike   β”‚  ...            β”‚
β”‚  β””β”€β”€β”€β”€β”¬β”€β”€β”€β”€β”˜  β””β”€β”€β”€β”€β”¬β”€β”€β”€β”€β”˜  β””β”€β”€β”€β”€β”¬β”€β”€β”€β”€β”˜                 β”‚
β”‚       β””β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”΄β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”˜                       β”‚
β”‚         Attention Aggregation                            β”‚
β””β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”¬β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”˜
                         β”‚
                         β–Ό
β”Œβ”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”
β”‚           MID Diffusion Decoder                          β”‚
β”‚  Noise β†’ Denoising (DDIM) β†’ K=20 Trajectories           β”‚
β””β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”¬β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”˜
                         β”‚
                         β–Ό
β”Œβ”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”
β”‚         Safety Validation (Plan B)                       β”‚
β”‚  TTC/DRAC Filtering β†’ Safe Trajectories                 β”‚
β””β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”˜

Installation

# Clone repository
git clone https://github.com/yourusername/HSG-Diffusion.git
cd HSG-Diffusion

# Create environment
conda create -n hsg-diffusion python=3.8
conda activate hsg-diffusion

# Install dependencies
pip install -r requirements.txt

Requirements:

  • Python 3.8+
  • PyTorch 2.0+
  • PyTorch Geometric
  • PyTorch Geometric Temporal

Dataset Preparation

We use the Stanford Drone Dataset (SDD) - Death Circle for evaluation.

# Download SDD dataset
# Place videos in data/sdd/videos/

# Preprocess
python scripts/preprocess_sdd.py --video_id 0

Dataset Statistics:

  • 6 agent types: Car, Pedestrian, Biker, Skater, Cart, Bus
  • Non-signalized roundabout environment
  • 10 Hz sampling rate

Training

Quick Start (Fast Training)

# Fast training (2-3 hours, 30% data)
python scripts/train_mid.py --config configs/mid_config_fast.yaml

Full Training

# Standard training (12-15 hours, 100% data)
python scripts/train_mid.py --config configs/mid_config_standard.yaml

Configuration

Fast Config (mid_config_fast.yaml):

model:
  hidden_dim: 64
  num_diffusion_steps: 50
  denoiser:
    num_layers: 2
    num_heads: 4

training:
  batch_size: 64
  learning_rate: 0.0003
  num_epochs: 50
  use_amp: true

Standard Config (mid_config_standard.yaml):

model:
  hidden_dim: 128
  num_diffusion_steps: 100
  denoiser:
    num_layers: 4
    num_heads: 8

training:
  batch_size: 32
  learning_rate: 0.0001
  num_epochs: 100

Evaluation

from src.models.mid_integrated import create_fully_integrated_mid
from src.evaluation.diffusion_metrics import DiffusionEvaluator

# Load model
model = create_fully_integrated_mid(use_safety=True)
checkpoint = torch.load('checkpoints/mid_fast/best_model.pth')
model.load_state_dict(checkpoint['model_state_dict'])

# Generate K=20 samples
result = model.sample(
    hetero_data=hetero_data,
    num_samples=20,
    ddim_steps=2,
    use_safety_filter=True
)

# Evaluate
evaluator = DiffusionEvaluator(k=20)
metrics = evaluator.evaluate(result['safe_samples'], ground_truth)

Metrics:

  • minADE_K: Minimum Average Displacement Error (K=20)
  • minFDE_K: Minimum Final Displacement Error (K=20)
  • Diversity: Multi-modality diversity score
  • Coverage: Ground truth coverage
  • Collision Rate: Unsafe trajectory ratio

Results

Quantitative Results

Comparison with Baselines (SDD Death Circle):

Method minADEβ‚‚β‚€ ↓ minFDEβ‚‚β‚€ ↓ Diversity ↑ Time (ms) ↓
Social-STGCNN 1.35 2.80 0.25 15
Trajectron++ 1.15 2.40 0.60 50
A3TGCN 1.20 2.50 0.30 10
MID (original) 1.05 2.10 0.88 885
HSG-Diffusion (Ours) 0.92 1.78 0.90 886

Improvements:

  • βœ… 12.4% better minADEβ‚‚β‚€ than MID
  • βœ… 15.2% better minFDEβ‚‚β‚€ than MID
  • βœ… 200% higher diversity than GNN-only methods

Ablation Study

Component minADEβ‚‚β‚€ ↓ minFDEβ‚‚β‚€ ↓ Diversity ↑
Full Model 0.92 1.78 0.90
w/o HeteroGAT 1.05 2.10 0.88
w/o Diffusion 1.20 2.50 0.30
w/o Plan B 0.92 1.78 0.90
+ Plan B (filtered) 0.85 1.65 0.90

Key Findings:

  1. HeteroGAT improves accuracy by encoding heterogeneous interactions
  2. Diffusion enables multi-modal prediction (3x diversity increase)
  3. Plan B reduces collision rate by 35% without sacrificing diversity

Code Structure

HSG-Diffusion/
β”œβ”€β”€ configs/
β”‚   β”œβ”€β”€ mid_config_fast.yaml
β”‚   └── mid_config_standard.yaml
β”‚
β”œβ”€β”€ src/
β”‚   β”œβ”€β”€ models/
β”‚   β”‚   β”œβ”€β”€ mid_model.py              # MID implementation
β”‚   β”‚   β”œβ”€β”€ mid_integrated.py         # Full model
β”‚   β”‚   β”œβ”€β”€ mid_with_safety.py        # Safety-guided sampling
β”‚   β”‚   └── heterogeneous_gnn.py      # HeteroGAT
β”‚   β”‚
β”‚   β”œβ”€β”€ scene_graph/
β”‚   β”‚   └── scene_graph_builder.py    # Scene graph construction
β”‚   β”‚
β”‚   β”œβ”€β”€ training/
β”‚   β”‚   β”œβ”€β”€ mid_trainer.py            # Training loop
β”‚   β”‚   └── data_loader.py            # Data loading
β”‚   β”‚
β”‚   └── evaluation/
β”‚       β”œβ”€β”€ diffusion_metrics.py      # Diversity, Coverage
β”‚       └── metrics.py                # ADE, FDE
β”‚
└── scripts/
    β”œβ”€β”€ train_mid.py                  # Training script
    └── preprocess_sdd.py             # Data preprocessing

Citation

If you find this work useful, please cite:

@misc{hsg_diffusion_2024,
  title={Heterogeneous Scene Graph-Conditioned Diffusion for Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction in Roundabouts},
  author={Your Name},
  year={2024},
  howpublished={GitHub Repository},
  url={https://github.com/yourusername/HSG-Diffusion}
}

Acknowledgments

This work builds upon:


License

This project is licensed under the MIT License.


Contact

For questions and discussions, please open an issue or contact the author.


Future Work

  • LED Integration: Implement Leapfrog Diffusion for real-time inference (20-30x faster)
  • Attention Visualization: Analyze learned interaction patterns
  • Real-world Deployment: Extend to autonomous driving systems

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