add page for matchup calc

evidence/package.json

@@ -15,7 +15,7 @@
   "type": "module",
   "dependencies": {
     "@evidence-dev/bigquery": "^2.0.1",
-    "@evidence-dev/core-components": "^3.0.2",
+    "@evidence-dev/core-components": "^3.0.3",
     "@evidence-dev/csv": "^1.0.2",
     "@evidence-dev/databricks": "^1.0.1",
     "@evidence-dev/duckdb": "^1.0.2",

evidence/pages/nba/matchup_calc.md

@@ -0,0 +1,221 @@
+---
+queries:
+  - future_games: nba/future_games.sql
+  - game_trend: nba/game_trend.sql
+  - reg_season: nba/reg_season.sql
+  - standings: nba/standings.sql
+  - summary_by_team: nba/summary_by_team.sql
+  - past_games: nba/past_games.sql
+  - most_recent_games: nba/most_recent_games.sql
+---
+
+```season_stats
+    with cte_home AS (
+        SELECT 
+            game_id,
+            home_team AS team,
+            actual_home_team_score as score,
+            actual_home_team_score - actual_visiting_team_score  as margin
+        FROM ${past_games}
+    ),
+    cte_visitor AS (
+        SELECT 
+            game_id,
+            visiting_team AS team,
+            actual_visiting_team_score as score,
+            actual_visiting_team_score - actual_home_team_score as margin
+        FROM ${past_games}
+    ),
+    cte_union AS (
+        SELECT * FROM cte_home
+        UNION ALL
+        SELECT * FROM cte_visitor
+    )
+    SELECT
+        team,
+        COUNT(*) AS games_played,
+        AVG(score::real) AS points_for_num1,
+        AVG(margin) AS avg_margin_num1
+    FROM cte_union
+    GROUP BY ALL
+```
+
+```sql teams_alpha_sort
+    SELECT
+        team
+    FROM ${summary_by_team}
+    ORDER BY team 
+```
+
+
+```predictions_table
+    WITH cte_visitor_elo AS (
+        SELECT
+            'Away Elo Rating' as type,
+            game_id,
+            visitor_ELO as value,
+            1 as key
+        FROM ${filtered_future_games}
+    ),
+    cte_home_elo AS (
+        SELECT
+            'Home Elo Rating',
+            game_id,
+            home_ELO,
+            2
+        FROM ${filtered_future_games}
+    ),
+    cte_elo_diff AS (
+        SELECT
+            'Elo Difference',
+            game_id,
+            elo_diff,
+            3
+        FROM ${filtered_future_games}
+    ),
+    cte_hfa AS (
+        SELECT
+            'Home Court Advantage',
+            game_id,
+            70 as hfa,
+            4
+        FROM ${filtered_future_games}
+    ),
+    cte_elo_diff_hfa AS (
+        SELECT
+            'Total Difference',
+            game_id,
+            elo_diff_hfa,
+            5
+        FROM ${filtered_future_games}
+    ),
+    cte_unions AS (
+    SELECT * FROM cte_visitor_elo
+    UNION ALL
+    SELECT * FROM cte_home_elo
+    UNION ALL
+    SELECT * FROM cte_elo_diff
+    UNION ALL
+    SELECT * FROM cte_hfa
+    UNION ALL
+    SELECT * FROM cte_elo_diff_hfa
+    )
+    select Type, Value, Key from cte_unions
+    GROUP BY ALL
+    ORDER BY key
+```
+
+```sql filtered_future_games
+    select *
+    from ${future_games}
+    where home = '${inputs.home_team}'
+        AND visitor = '${inputs.away_team}'
+```
+
+# Experimental: Matchup Calculator
+
+This uses DuckDB WASM to calculate matchups "on the fly."
+It is experimental and can both break in unexpected ways and return incorrect information.
+
+<Dropdown
+    data={teams_alpha_sort} 
+    name=home_team
+    value=team
+    title="Select Home Team"
+>
+    <DropdownOption valueLabel="None" value=" " />
+</Dropdown>
+
+<Dropdown
+    data={teams_alpha_sort} 
+    name=away_team
+    value=team
+    title="Select Away Team"
+>
+    <DropdownOption valueLabel="None" value=" " />
+</Dropdown>
+
+{#if inputs.away_team != " " && inputs.home_team != " "}
+
+
+# <Value data={filtered_future_games} column=visitor/> @ <Value data={filtered_future_games} column=home/>
+
+<center>
+
+### Team Matchup
+
+_<Value data={summary_by_team.filter(st => st.team === inputs.away_team)}  column=team/> (<Value data={summary_by_team.filter(st =>
+        st.team === inputs.away_team)} column=record/>) | elo <Value data={summary_by_team.filter(st => st.team === inputs.away_team)}
+        column=elo_rating/> | Rk: <Value data={summary_by_team.filter(st =>
+        st.team === inputs.away_team)}  column=elo_rank/>_ <br> _<Value data={season_stats.filter(st =>
+        st.team === inputs.away_team)}  column=points_for_num1/> ppg |  <Value data={season_stats.filter(st =>
+        st.team === inputs.away_team)}  column=avg_margin_num1/> avg. margin_<br>
+_<Value data={summary_by_team.filter(st =>
+        st.team === inputs.home_team)}  column=team/> (<Value data={summary_by_team.filter(st =>
+        st.team === inputs.home_team)}  column=record/>) | elo <Value data={summary_by_team.filter(st =>
+        st.team === inputs.home_team)}  column=elo_rating/> | Rk: <Value data={summary_by_team.filter(st =>
+        st.team === inputs.home_team)}  column=elo_rank/>_ <br> _<Value data={season_stats.filter(st =>
+        st.team === inputs.home_team)}  column=points_for_num1/> ppg |  <Value data={season_stats.filter(st =>
+        st.team === inputs.home_team)}  column=avg_margin_num1/> avg. margin_
+
+</center>
+
+## Prediction Details
+
+<DataTable data={predictions_table} rows=5>
+  <Column id=type/>
+  <Column id=value/>
+</DataTable>
+
+Diff. of <Value data={filtered_future_games} column=elo_diff_hfa/> **->** <Value data={filtered_future_games} column=home_win_pct1/> Win Prob **->** <Value data={filtered_future_games} column=american_odds/> ML <br> <Value data={filtered_future_games} column=implied_line_num1/> Spread **->** Score: <Value data={filtered_future_games} column=predicted_score/> 
+
+<script>
+
+    $: test_val = Math.min(
+            ...game_trend.filter(gt => (inputs.home_team == gt.team || inputs.away_team == gt.team)
+            ).map(item => item.elo_rating)
+        )
+
+</script>
+
+<LineChart
+    data={game_trend.filter(gt => (inputs.home_team == gt.team || inputs.away_team == gt.team))} 
+    x=date
+    y=elo_post
+    title='elo change over time'
+    series=team
+    yMin={parseFloat(test_val)-25}
+    handleMissing=connect
+    colorPalette={
+        [
+        '#29BDAD',
+        '#DE4500'
+        ]
+    }
+/>
+
+## Last 5 Games - <Value data={summary_by_team.filter(st => st.team == inputs.away_team)}  column=team/>
+
+<DataTable
+    data={most_recent_games.filter(rg => (inputs.away_team == rg.visiting_team || inputs.away_team == rg.home_team ))} 
+    rows=5>
+  <Column id=matchup/>
+  <Column id=T title=" "/>
+  <Column id=winning_team/>
+  <Column id=score/>
+  <Column id=elo_change_num1/>
+</DataTable>
+
+## Last 5 Games - <Value data={summary_by_team.filter(st => st.team ==inputs.home_team)}  column=team/>
+
+<DataTable
+    data={most_recent_games.filter(rg => (inputs.home_team == rg.visiting_team || inputs.home_team == rg.home_team ))}  
+    rows=5>
+  <Column id=matchup/>
+  <Column id=T title=" "/>
+  <Column id=winning_team/>
+  <Column id=score/>
+  <Column id=elo_change_num1/>
+</DataTable>
+
+{/if}