This is an individual course project at George Washington University 2019 Summer DATS 6450 Bayesian Methods for Data Science

DIRECTIONS:

After you have downloaded the folder, first open "Character_Deaths_A_Song_Ice_Fire.rmd" and hit run. The source file "Character_Deaths_Source.R" and "DBDA2E-utilities.R" are linked in the rmd file. The dataset character-predictions.csv will be automatically loaded. The folders are saved pdf plots generated by JAGS. The model outputs are captured by "TEMPmodel_VarSelect.txt" and "TEMPmodel.txt". Please refer to "Character_Deathes_A_Song_of_Ice_and_Fire.html" for the final report. Since I have not included the PNG files for display within R-markdown file, so you will not see them inline, but you can look at the knitted html file.

CITATION:

• "DBDA2E-utilities.R" is provided from the book by Professor John K. Kruschke Please find the reference to and website of the book below: Kruschke, J. K. (2014). Doing Bayesian Data Analysis: A Tutorial with R, JAGS, and Stan. 2nd Edition. Academic Press / Elsevier https://sites.google.com/site/doingbayesiandataanalysis/

• Dataset for this project is Kaggle Dataset from: https://www.kaggle.com/mylesoneill/game-of-thrones

• Some codes within "Character_Deaths_Source.R" and "Character_Deaths_A_Song_Ice_Fire.rmd" are from various homework and exercises of this class, and they cited withitn those files.